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  1. J

    Identity vs Due Diligence: Northeast

    I have thought that a low to mid 3* recruit from the Northeast is better than a mid 3* recruit from the football hotbed states. Why? The kids in the northeast are athletic, but they haven't been as developed as the kids in the hotbed states. Lineman in the Northeast need to add size and...
  2. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    Is it a below market deal? Based on TV ratings, you could say the football games involving FSU, Clemson, and ND are individually below market value, but the rest of the ACC football games are probably getting above market value which kind of evens out. As for the ACC Network, in the long run...
  3. J

    New Assistant: Dan Engelstad [Official]

    He wasn't doing well as a head coach at Mt. St. Mary's so he probably started looking for a higher level assistant job as the pay is probably better. Many head coaches who were fired or not performing well become assistant coaches so I wouldn't worry about that.
  4. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    The biggest mistake that the ACC made was to add SMU, Stanford, and Cal. I would have added UConn, USF, and West Virginia (leave after the Big 12 contract expires).
  5. J

    If we don’t make the tournament next yr, is Red gone?

    When you hire an assistant coach as a head coach, you have to be prepared to give him time to develop his coaching style and team, especially in the portal era. It seems like the success model in today's college basketball is have a base of HS recruits and then add portal guys so we have to see...
  6. J

    46% of all starters of the S16 teams were transfers

    That is why player evaluation in the portal era is so crucial. If a guy isn't starring at another P6 school, why would they star at Syracuse? If a guy is scoring 20 ppg at a low level school, can he score at a P6 school? More important, you have to recruit kids that fit your system.
  7. J

    UCONN….

    I think the bigger problems for Syracuse were Boeheim's zone defense and the rumors every year that Boehiem would retire and both hurt the recruiting of top players. That is in the past and everyone needs to focus on how Red is going to rebuild the program, and yes, it is a total rebuild. What...
  8. J

    2023-24 Coaching Carousel

    UCLA, USC, Oregon, and Washington are going to be tough basketball jobs in the Big 10. I'm surprised Cronin didn't go for the Louisville job.
  9. J

    It pains me to say this, but Danny Hurley is the best coach in CBB right now

    They got one player from the portal this year, Cam Spencer from Rutgers and lost one Naheim Alleyne to St. John's. Newton and Diarra were transfers 2 years ago. I think they are finding the balance between portal, development, and freshmen. The key is how to you keep and develop the prospects...
  10. J

    It pains me to say this, but Danny Hurley is the best coach in CBB right now

    Imagine having Geno, Calhoun, and Bob Hurley Sr as coaching mentors? And, Hurley built the program slowly and he didn't run off players in the beginning and focused on building culture. That is why we have to be patient with Red and let him build the team and culture. And, do you realize that...
  11. J

    Clemson wants out of the ACC too...(shocker)

    If you read the Clemson lawsuit, they told the ACC they were interested in figuring out the financial impact of leaving the ACC and notified the ACC in early 2023 or over a year ago. Supposedly, they wanted to privately negotiate and not have a lawsuit. And, it also now appears that UNC is not...
  12. J

    Slow death of the ACC takes another major step

    Being a winning program with NIL is most important as well as having a head coach who wins and develops players. Red is unknown commodity as a coach, but I think his first year with a record of 20-12 and 11-9 in the ACC was very successful, but he probably needs a few more winning seasons to...
  13. J

    Slow death of the ACC takes another major step

    I think most people would say the GORs are solid, but there are some questions that need to be answered to help understand what comes next. Do the GORs extend past 2027 as that is when the current contract (ESPN has extension rights) runs out? If ESPN doesn't extend the media contract, are the...
  14. J

    Slow death of the ACC takes another major step

    Just look at it objectively: State flagship university? No. AAU? No. Captures a new large market? No, as Rutgers already brings the NYC cable boxes. Recent football success? No. Since 2002, Syracuse is 107-161. Recent basketball success? Yes. Since 2002, 1 championship and 3 Final Fours...
  15. J

    Clemson wants out of the ACC too...(shocker)

    If the P2 conferences get much bigger, I could see the Big 10 taking Stanford and Cal. Supposedly, the B10 presidents wanted them, but FOX did not. That could change as the Big 10 having 6 schools on the West Coast makes sense vs. 4 to reduce travel.
  16. J

    Big East Tournament versus the ACC Tournament

    The Big East basketball tournament is one of the greatest sporting events. Unfortunately, those days have passed. My neighbor went to a couple of ACC tournaments after going to a few Big East tournaments at MSG and he was very disappointed. In Greensboro, you need a car and there aren't...
  17. J

    Slow death of the ACC takes another major step

    Syracuse is not getting a Big 10 invite. There is only 1 private school in the past 90 years that has received a P2 invite and that is USC.
  18. J

    Clemson wants out of the ACC too...(shocker)

    Potential departures are why they were asked to join. They knew the deal.
  19. J

    ACC Men's BB Championship to be played in NC in 2025-2029

    North Carolina is the most central location for ACC championships so it makes sense. The ACC is not a Northeast/Midwest/Texas/Western conference. And, look at the attendance at Barclays in 2022. It was really bad.
  20. J

    No more bubble talk please

    Red inherited a flawed team and he didn't have time to make many roster changes so what did people expect? Next year should be somewhat better and the big jump should be in year 3 as he will have 2 recruiting classes and transfers.
  21. J

    The Talk

    In the long run, what kind of offense and defense does Red want to run? Clearly, he has moved on from Boeheim's system, but most of the players were recruited for the old system. Red needs to recruit to his system and then develop those players. I don't think he wanted to take the Pitino path...
  22. J

    FSU Postgame Thoughts

    I disagree. Before you bring in new players, what is the strategy for offense and defense? When you figure that out, then go get the players to fit what you are trying to do and they don't have to be top 50 players (although it helps) to make it work.
  23. J

    FSU Postgame Thoughts

    7 assists, 16 turnovers. Ouch.
  24. J

    NET and KenPom Tracker 23-24 (SU = 84 3/9/24)

    I think the metrics will start to level out. Right now, many teams have only played 3 or 4 road games (not neutral site) so far, but that is changing. And for schools in major conferences, they have more opportunities to improve their stats as their schedule gets tougher. For example, Clemson...
  25. J

    NET and KenPom Tracker 23-24 (SU = 84 3/9/24)

    Syracuse plays 1 ranked team (UNC) in the final 13 games which usually doesn't happen playing in the ACC, but the ACC is down in basketball this year. So, Syracuse could have a great record and the metrics might not indicate an NCAA bid, but I would think a 23+ win Syracuse would be in. 10-3...
  26. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    Syracuse is still a very good school but demographics and location have worked against it. The HS student population in the Northeast is declining which works against the school. And, location works against Syracuse as the states with growing population are not located near Syracuse. That is...
  27. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    I was rounding financial numbers, but the point is that ESPN can save money by moving schools to other conferences and dropping some ACC schools. As far as "losing revenues" by losing brands, if ESPN moves 4 schools to the SEC and 4 schools to the Big 12, they have more than enough college...
  28. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    Forget GORs for a second. There is a way for ESPN to reduce costs. For the sake of this example, lets assume the ACC gets $30 million per school, the SEC $60 million per school and the Big 12 gets $30 million per school with $10 million of that picked up by FOX. If the SEC, Big 10, and Big 12...
  29. J

    Duce Chestnut transferring back to the 'Cuse

    He is an example of why entering the portal isn't always a good idea. Some players do well with their new team, but most do not.
  30. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    The conference networks as part of the cable bundle are at peak revenues right now. Shortly, they will be selling the SECN, BTN, and ACCN direct to consumers as Disney will be doing with ESPN. Conference network revenues can go up if they are successful selling direct to consumers, but that is...
  31. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    There will be plenty of Eastern time zone programming. First, the Big 10 has Rutgers/Maryland/Penn St./Ohio St./Michigan/Michigan St./Indiana in the time zone, the SEC has Georgia/Florida/South Carolina/Kentucky and the Big 12 has West Virginia/UCF/Cincinnati and they currently play games...
  32. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    If a super conference is developed, I think they would still play schools outside of the super conference. Let's say Georgia was in and Georgia Tech was out, I think they would still play their annual game. And, if the super conference schools play 8 or 9 conference games, they can still get...
  33. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    You have to adjust viewership by a number of factors: 1) Thursday or Friday night game on ESPN will have viewership numbers of 1 million + no matter the school. 2) Atlantic or Coastal? Syracuse plays FSU and Clemson every year, the highest viewership in the ACC. UNC does not. Syracuse's 2...
  34. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    Pitt and GT should be ahead of Syracuse. Pitt has their Backyard Brawl rivalry with West Virginia and their rivalry with Penn State (and Notre Dame) which are valuable to the Big 12. Georgia Tech is in Atlanta which is very easy to get to with alums from all schools, is AAU, and it has an...
  35. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    I'm assuming UNC/UVa to the Big 10. Clemson/Miami/FSU/GT to SEC. Then 4 of the rest of the ACC schools to the Big 12.
  36. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    If the Big 12 goes to 20 schools and they are grabbing ACC schools after a theoretical move of schools to the SEC and Big 10, I would think their top schools would be Louisville/Pitt/VT/NC State.
  37. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    Isn't that what the ACC did with the Big East?
  38. J

    Wes Hoeh transferring to UConn

    Isn't Syracuse 4-6 all-time vs UConn?
  39. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    The Big 10 has Michigan, Ohio St., Penn St., USC, Oregon, Nebraska, Washington, Wisconsin,... The ACC doesn't come close to having that many brands and I left out schools like Michigan St. and Iowa. SMU is a small private school with a limited fan base. Look at their TV viewers during their...
  40. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    LT, there are a number of schools that want out of the ACC as some schools want to play in the SEC. The only thing potentially holding them back is the GORs, nothing else. They don't see a path to strengthen the conference. And, the additions of Cal, Stanford, and SMU if anything weakened the...
  41. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    Look at TV ratings/attendance and compare the current Big 12 schools vs the potential left behind ACC schools. I think the Big 12 looks better. Here are the TV ratings of the Big 12 Championship vs the ACC Championship in 2022 and 2021 in which the Big 12 did not have either Texas or...
  42. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    Disagree. The Big 12 got an ACC equivalent media deal after losing their 2 biggest brands, Texas and Oklahoma. How much would an ACC media deal be worth without say FSU, Clemson, UNC, and Miami? The Big 12 was perceived to be more stable because none of their school seem to have an...
  43. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    FSU is laying out their basis to sue and there seems to be some merit. I never knew that the ACC media contract is only good until 2027 and ESPN has the option to extend to 2036. And, there seems to be some ACC bylaw issues that they could sue over. I'm sure many ACC schools, including...
  44. J

    Fran's post bowl game team meeting ..

    It's not surprising that a school that fired their coach, has a new coach who is evaluating talent and pushing players and recruits out, has a limited coaching staff, kids in the portal,.. got whacked by a school in year 1 of their rebuild. Syracuse was not ready for the game and USF was...
  45. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    This could be FSU's out and is news to me.
  46. J

    USF / Boca Raton Bowl Gameday...

    What did you guys expect? Coach fired, other coaches gone, players in the portal, new coach pushing players/recruits out with probably more to come, QBs hurt, playing against a hungry team,... Brown was hired for the future and we should have expected an ugly bowl game.
  47. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    If FSU actually litigates the GORs, every school in the ACC will start thinking about their future and start talking to other conferences.
  48. J

    Syracuse gets a C+ for hiring Fran Brown...

    I wouldn't worry about the grade as it's hard to grade above C when a new head coach has never been a head coach before. On recruiting, so far, he grades an A.
  49. J

    FSU vs The ACC

    I think the meeting is to explain to the board what the options are for FSU. I don't think they are leaving, but I do think they want to test the legality of the GORs in court to better understand their options. It is interesting that the 3 schools that voted to not expand with Stanford and...
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