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  1. Cusefannotindc

    OT: hypothetical question that I heard on a podcast

    i think there are 11 guys most people would agree would probably fulfill this, Jokic, Luka, SGA, Giannis, Lebron, Kawhi, Tatum, AD, Curry, Butler and Durant. The gap is big UConn's starting lineup had a box plus minus of 53 and stetson had -5. there is another round of players, mostly guards...
  2. Cusefannotindc

    Maliq Brown in the portal

    its difficult to really compare brown and fair, they had very different roles. brown is basically a hack of the advanced analytic measures, he got rebounds, was an excellent ball hawk and only took super high value shots. he had low usage and very few turnovers. he basically only made good...
  3. Cusefannotindc

    Quadir Copeland in the portal

    pawlitical science
  4. Cusefannotindc

    Josh Hart calls Tyler Lydon trash

    he and donte greene played near an identical number of minutes (5 minute difference) and made the same number of field goals (similar number of rebounds and steals too)
  5. Cusefannotindc

    Josh Hart calls Tyler Lydon trash

    18!! he played in the 98-99 season!
  6. Cusefannotindc

    Josh Hart calls Tyler Lydon trash

    indeed. after doing some research, he has played 5k more minutes than wes and has made $15 mil more than dion.
  7. Cusefannotindc

    Josh Hart calls Tyler Lydon trash

    is jerami grant the best su pro since melo?
  8. Cusefannotindc

    this bpi index on espn has NC State winning

    the BPI model thinks NC State is a better team (BPI has been pretty down on SU all season), particularly on offense. BPI gives a 2.4 point edge and that roughly translates to a team winning 59% of the time. Things like conferences standings and w/l are less predictive than offensive and...
  9. Cusefannotindc

    Shogun

    the Portuguese is in english, the japanese is subtitled
  10. Cusefannotindc

    Girard over/under 18 points?

    good news, the prop is o/u 15.5
  11. Cusefannotindc

    Predictive rankings don't like us as much as the record would indicate

    in 2021-22 season the vegas favorite won 76% of the time
  12. Cusefannotindc

    NET and KenPom Tracker 23-24 (SU = 84 3/9/24)

    not quite, its would be more like aggregate scoring margin, but its weighted by home/away and opponent, so its really very similar to KP
  13. Cusefannotindc

    Sports Analytics Dept at SU

    damn, i cant believe analytics has ruined track and field
  14. Cusefannotindc

    Quadir Copeland

    copeland feels like 18/19 josh allen, stretches of brilliance but still mostly out of control. if he can make the next step and stay in control he has a high ceiling
  15. Cusefannotindc

    Class of 2021 QB Kyle McCord (NJ) TRANSFERRING TO SYRACUSE (12/17/23)

    per espn's FPI OSU had the 7th toughest schedule, SU had the 62nd
  16. Cusefannotindc

    Fran Brown Coaching Staff

    nah, everyone will be too excited about all the winning to remember
  17. Cusefannotindc

    Fran Brown Coaching Staff

    look, i need to stake out a number of complaints so if things dont go well i can point back at them and how smart i am
  18. Cusefannotindc

    UVA -9.5 over Cuse…..

    not what i would have expected until i looked at the scores, but SU exceed 60 points in 9 of the 15 games against UVA since joining the ACC. The new offense is playing at a faster pace and getting about 4-5 more possessions a game than the past few years according to KenPom
  19. Cusefannotindc

    UVA -9.5 over Cuse…..

    ESPN Bet has syracuse points o/u 59.5
  20. Cusefannotindc

    Wildhack rolls the dice!

    stability, in theory, would be great, but what coach who does a good turn here is going to turn down an opportunity at a bigger school? Before I made the chart below I would have called SU mid tier in the ACC, but since joining the ACC they only have a better record than Virginia. The program...
  21. Cusefannotindc

    Wildhack rolls the dice!

    Syracuse isn't a destination, at this point anything longer than a 3 year solution is likely a Dino 2.0, winning just enough to keep the job but not enough to get looks from bigger problems. The three candidates seriously talked about after Mullen are all upwardly mobile coaches, none of them...
  22. Cusefannotindc

    Fran Brown

    going to be doing this again in 3 years if it goes well too. any longer is going to be a coach who is winning just enough to keep the job. gotta be realistic about where the program is, need a coach that wins, improves recruiting and oversees improved facilities, then go fishing for a coach with...
  23. Cusefannotindc

    Clemson Opens -7.5

    long way to go for them to get there, after SU they still have Miami, ND and UNC
  24. Cusefannotindc

    Clemson Opens -7.5

    interesting spread looks like most the computer models think it should be much lower. vegas insider says 96% of the money is on SU on the spread, but hard to gauge how reliable that info actually is
  25. Cusefannotindc

    Judah Mintz returning?

    no, i give out real candy, kit kats, snickers, reese pb cups, peanut m&ms. get outta here with jr mints
  26. Cusefannotindc

    Judah Mintz returning?

    every kid's favorite candy, junior mints
  27. Cusefannotindc

    Pistol Pete's college scoring record might be broken

    it seems plausible, but unlikely, Durant could have broken the record in 3 years, he still was 200 points behind Maravich after his first season though
  28. Cusefannotindc

    Opp 3pt shooting 61-143

    its around 1% that 61/143 would occur based on the rest of the season's 33.2%. the other side would be, what tangibly changed to lead to an increase in 3pt%
  29. Cusefannotindc

    Would "any" zone defense work today?

    yea, checked my computer and couldn't find any of the charts i had posted either. I did find this site which is pretty interesting though CBB Analytics - College Basketball Analytics, Stats & Metrics, & Research
  30. Cusefannotindc

    Would "any" zone defense work today?

    I posted a bunch of stuff about 3pt shooting in this thread, though not specifically that I don't think. I was looking for updated shot location data a month or two ago, but wasn't having much luck, what i did find was giving it for less than half of the games.
  31. Cusefannotindc

    Would "any" zone defense work today?

    A few years ago I was looking at shot location data, one thing that stood out was that SU was giving up less corner 3 shot attempts . The back line of the zone was effective at preventing teams from taking 3s in the most valuable spot. My theory is that while the Warriors are probably to blame...
  32. Cusefannotindc

    Cuse opens as 1.5 point dogs to Duke

    They are tied in the sense that KenPom or Net dictate lines but they are using the same data to arrive at very similar conclusions. For example, Duke is +10.4 in ESPN's BPI (which is per 70 possession) and SU is +5.7, if you adjust KP's score (which is per 100 possessions) to 70 it comes out...
  33. Cusefannotindc

    Cuse opens as -19.5 favorites vs Lehigh

    is copeland shaving points here? (this is a joke)
  34. Cusefannotindc

    Cuse Football win probabilities per FPI.

    not if they underperform expectations. lets be honest, it wasnt a good win, they were the better team but limped out with a win
  35. Cusefannotindc

    Cuse Football win probabilities per FPI.

    the tweet was sent before they updated FPI for SU's game, the performance knocked them down a bit to 4.1-3.9 for the remaining games. it will change again tomorrow after today's games are updated, but it is currently: Wagner 99.8% NC State 56.7% Clemson 12.6% ND 45.6% Pitt 28.3% FSU...
  36. Cusefannotindc

    Summer Workouts

    I think this last season has poisoned a lot of brains. People have to crap all over anything positive that happens. Wow Cole is playing great. Actually he will just be the 15th man and get no minutes Awesome Benny is on an all team that gets to travel Well actually he is missing out on key...
  37. Cusefannotindc

    Ok, he's cool

  38. Cusefannotindc

    Brian Kelly to LSU

    Only maybe from the scheduling that would probably not have included the ND/Cincy game, without which Cincy isn't in CFP contention and an undefeated ND might be
  39. Cusefannotindc

    Brian Kelly to LSU

    Pretty sure that the ND/ACC agreement requires ND to join the ACC if they join a conference
  40. Cusefannotindc

    2022 C Peter Carey (MA) COMMITTED TO SYRACUSE

    has anyone said Craig Fifth yet?
  41. Cusefannotindc

    Sports card collecting

    I played MTG for like a year around that time, then a few years ago looked up the value of old cards I had. Value is much more on playability than rarity in those out of print cards. My biggest memory from that time was this old guy (almost certainly younger then than I am now) bragging about...
  42. Cusefannotindc

    Will we ever see another undefeated NCAA men's basketball champion?

    If college basketball moves towards NBA share of % of shots from 3, it will become much more difficult. The higher variance will make it more likely a good team will hit a bad three point shooting night and a bad team will hit a good one.
  43. Cusefannotindc

    Burger Fans

    I've been a runner for a long time and was always concerned messing with higher calorie diet (in the 2400-2600 range) would leave me drained when trying to run. Over the years injury and not much room for mistake in my diet led to me putting on more and more weight. In September last year I...
  44. Cusefannotindc

    Ready for a Girard/Richmond statistic that will blow your mind?

    Kadary took less 3s than you would in the 3 point shooting contest. Based on him going 7 for 21, there is a wide variation of outcomes if he shot the 150 3pa that Girard did. There is a 21% chance that he would make a quarter or less, with Girard there would just be a 4% chance.
  45. Cusefannotindc

    Some observations

    Two interesting stats on Buddy: up until beginning of March Buddy had shot 133 2pa and 126 3pa, since March began 34 2pa and 66 3pa. Its well documented that Buddy has shot well in March from 3 (48.5%) but he was also shooting very well in February (47.1%)
  46. Cusefannotindc

    Kenny Smith just called Buddy

    If you assumed that Buddy's 2020 3p% (37%) was his baseline in this season There is a 30.5% chance he would have his 39.6% just based on random variation There is a 17% chance he would have his 41.8% since January There is a 3% chance he would have his 48.1% since February
  47. Cusefannotindc

    Raf...

    Zach Lowe had Ian Eagle on his podcast a couple years back and a significant portion was stories about Raf https://www.espn.com/radio/play/_/id/20777699
  48. Cusefannotindc

    JB as an underdog in the NCAA's

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/hall-of-fame-coaches-could-be-the-giant-killers-this-year/
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