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  1. AZcuse77

    ACC overrated?

    Basically this... while Cuse went from bad to mediocre... UVA and FSU finished the second half with a thud. Both teams struggle to score as does Miami at times. Norte Dame had a good year I'm surprised a bit by that one.None of the others showed the potential for a deep run and neither did...
  2. AZcuse77

    Hopefully SU is watching the NIT results tonight...

    There really is no reason for it other than advanced metrics being much better because they lost every game at the very end. GT had the same overall record, better conference record, and didn't lay an egg at the end of every close game. The NIT seedings are never seem to make much sense though...
  3. AZcuse77

    I Thought They Were Over Confident

    ^^^ This. The fact is Miami played a lot better than the first game at the dome and has a good tournament team. This years Cuse team is inconsistent and not better than Miami but capable of beating or losing to almost anyone on a given day. They are heavily reliant on having good shooting...
  4. AZcuse77

    Hopefully SU is watching the NIT results tonight...

    I've been frustrated so many times with this years team... but thought Miami played really well that game. The bigger issue was the 13 losses before that leading to a must win. This squad could always lose to a team as good as Miami but there were plenty of games they didn't show up.
  5. AZcuse77

    Hopefully SU is watching the NIT results tonight...

    Good point...also three guaranteed road games but I guess there is the chance to play a P5 team for many of them which isn't a frequent option for a small school.
  6. AZcuse77

    Hopefully SU is watching the NIT results tonight...

    I imagine it's both... tougher to get motivated when you are disappointed to not get a bid to the Dance vs a team that knew they had no shot at an at-large and happy to be in the NIT.
  7. AZcuse77

    Hopefully SU is watching the NIT results tonight...

    6 of the 7 higher NIT seeds going down tonight except Illinois ... most of the bubble "contenders" who either don't care or just aren't good. #1 seed Cal getting waxed at home by #8 44-19. Utah blew it at home too so maybe the Pac 12 is just that awful. It would be nice if Cuse came 0ut and...
  8. AZcuse77

    Bubble Watch - Mon, Feb 27 to Fri, March 3

    This sounds right... though playing devil's advocate beating Stanford next game would be the third, and Colorado is also top 100 in KenPom which would be 5 by that system. They would then have to beat another top 100 being the #4/5 seed, then beat the #1 seed in Oregon/AZ to get to then lose...
  9. AZcuse77

    Bubble Watch - Mon, Feb 27 to Fri, March 3

    If Cuse wins at home vs. GT this weekend they are locked in to a bye and both GT and Wake would have to play in round 1 with no chance to meet each other in the first two rounds... so I think Wake's win yesterday and future results for GT/Wake are fairly independent other than the Cuse/GT game...
  10. AZcuse77

    Bubble Watch - Mon, Feb 27 to Fri, March 3

    Well Tennessee lost to last place LSU which was probably the nail in their coffin. TCU and Mississippi both lost but to similar ranking bubble teams.
  11. AZcuse77

    Bubble Watch - Mon, Feb 27 to Fri, March 3

    Also Lunardi's new rankings are out today. Has Cuse still in Last 4 Byes and Clemson as Next 4 Out. I just think its 0% that even Clemson winning their final 2 games for 6-12 or Pitt going 5-13 would get any real consideration even with a run to the finals. I think the worst conference record...
  12. AZcuse77

    Bubble Watch - Mon, Feb 27 to Fri, March 3

    I didn't see all of your secondary schedule but just wanted to run the math of how low some of these teams could get their rankings with a loss in the finals. As far as the 8 first place teams I agree MTSU would be the only one without long odds and the finals loss would hurt the KP ranking...
  13. AZcuse77

    Bubble Watch - Mon, Feb 27 to Fri, March 3

    It's great what you are doing here... but looking at the Bracket Matrix I think there is a big difference between the current "bubble" and bracket matrix entries VS. teams that are still in contention. I looked at a criteria/requirements of: Current Top 100 KenPom rating Ability to finish...
  14. AZcuse77

    RPI

    Because its an awful and simplistic metric. RPI can actually get better after a loss and can get worse after a win.
  15. AZcuse77

    RPI

    This is a fairly common view that conference tourney games are worth much less than regular season... that I don't totally agree with. In this #10 seed scenario if we lost in the finals we would be 21-15 with at least two more top notch wins and almost certain to be in with a better ranking in...
  16. AZcuse77

    RPI

    I agree... other than beating >200 RPI teams I believe can actually hurt your RPI (not much at this point) and that the visual of a 20 win season could help if we get to the semi-finals. The odds of us losing to GT at home are about 10-20% anyways but you never know.
  17. AZcuse77

    RPI

    We're going to have to agree to disagree that 18-15 with an RPI ~80 gives us a 85-90% chance of being in... It is interesting/flawed that who we lose to in the second round does have some RPI impact. There is actually another scenario I hadn't thought of. We don't have a first round bye locked...
  18. AZcuse77

    RPI

    I've read this before but also read it's just used "less" and other metrics are now considered. Regardless one more win means 18-15 record 2-10 on road and an RPI of almost 10 spots worse than any team to ever get in (which was SU). I think we need 19 wins to have a legit shot. If we lose to...
  19. AZcuse77

    Last 4 out...

    That is very strange... he is the only one in the whole Bracket Matrix to have Wichita State out and they are #10 on KenPom.
  20. AZcuse77

    RPI

    Winning vs GT and one in tourney would not give us 20 wins. Only beating GT then losing first round would give us a high 70's RPI at best the year after we were the first team ever to get in with a >70 RPI (I think?) and that was 71 so I sure do not see that as >60% even with a weak bubble. At...
  21. AZcuse77

    RPI

    With a 2-10 road/neutral (0-2 in NYC) record I'd be a lot more concerned in our ability to win one in the tourney and beating GT than the committee decision if that happens. It is interesting that TCU/KState both have better records, better RPIs, and better Top 40 KenPoms. Both are 6-10 in...
  22. AZcuse77

    RPI

    Seems like a win at home to GT is a must... and given their RPI it won't help us much. Beating GT then winning one in ACC tourney we would then play a low RPI team where even a loss may move us up in RPI rankings as silly as that system is... so it seems like we would end up around 70 again.
  23. AZcuse77

    ACC best ever?

    I agree on both points... comparatively the ACC is a beast this year but comparisons to big east times need to take in account that times have changed as the one and done becomes the norm. I don't really think any conference can be better than big east glory days with the current NBA rules. I...
  24. AZcuse77

    ACC best ever?

    This article seems to be written by or for a 3rd grader or someone who does not know anything about basketball. 4-11 Clemson could potentially make 12 bids to beat the Big East record? Yes the bottom of the league can win on any given night. Yes the ACC is the best league in basketball. Yes...
  25. AZcuse77

    JB on Dan Patrick Show at 11:35 today

    I agree after hearing the whole thing it does not sound like a bombshell just him continuing to or want to announce anything. That being said he is well aware of the hot topic and that one liner will get out there quick. His motivation for saying now I have no idea.
  26. AZcuse77

    JB on Dan Patrick Show at 11:35 today

    Semantics perhaps. I believe most important player, most valuable player, and most outstanding player ("best") are all different things. I believe you are right that Gillon is our most important player because we don't have an ACC caliber PG to replace him. AWIII is both our most valuable and...
  27. AZcuse77

    JB on Dan Patrick Show at 11:35 today

    Haha... it's also entirely possible he just hasn't decided yet so he generally does not want to talk about it so yes this could be just to confirm that Thamel is an idiot. Even as an "unconnected" poster I have to believe he has a heavy leaning one way or another even if he does not want to...
  28. AZcuse77

    JB on Dan Patrick Show at 11:35 today

    This would certainly make sense if true... he's deflected questions about it to this point but not sure why he'd change gears now. I do think he has a lot more respect for national media than local media so perhaps he got more candid with DP. Caling Gillon his best player is pretty strange...
  29. AZcuse77

    JB on Dan Patrick Show at 11:35 today

    Did anyone see/hear this and have more detail? I'm surprised it hasn't gotten a bigger response since all I remember reading about is from AD/chancellor and the speculative articles and JB responses that it's all BS. This is the first time I've seen that JB actually said he's considering...
  30. AZcuse77

    Andrew White

    I think its a combination of a bit of an off game for him and an excellent job face guarding by Matt Jones. If there is one player I didn't think this could happen to it's AWIII. He seems so good at creating a good shot (for him) when closely guarded, but he also has to be able to get the ball...
  31. AZcuse77

    Shout out to Taurean...

    He's definitely a negative on defense including rebounding... but its getting a little better each game I think. It's sure starting to look like we have more to worry about TT being drafted "on potential" than Lydon or Battle. Yes that seems like a crazy thought but if you only watched the...
  32. AZcuse77

    Shout out to Taurean...

    It is rather strange that his 3 point % is so low when he drains the 18 footers somewhat frequently.
  33. AZcuse77

    Dukie V...

    Yep he was excited about the finish... that seemed genuine despite it meaning his Dookie's lost. I find his telecasts very overdone and annoying but he didn't seem anti-Cuse at all.
  34. AZcuse77

    JB's Presser after Duke (K's also)

    He clearly stated that its hard to consider it a rivalry when he's such a supporter of his good friend JB and Syracuse. And the idea that EVERYONE gets stoked up to want to beat Duke... yeah that's just true. They are the Cowboys of NCAA Men's Basketball. I can't stand Duke but Coach K is...
  35. AZcuse77

    SI article about coaching legends on the verge of retirement

    I'm starting to think Lydon being back is a real possibility, in which case if battle and lydon are back and we recruit freshman or transfer PG help it's not so bleak. Lydon is probably still gone but he may fall to second round with a weak finish.
  36. AZcuse77

    What has to worry College Basketball fans

    NBA age minimum worth a review, commish says I kind of read this as the opposite... that Silver is admitting this one-and-done system is not working well with kids not even bothering to go to class. He seems to not be pushing directly for changing it to an age limit of 20 anymore (which the...
  37. AZcuse77

    We go as far as we shoot...

    True but our offense has never had much flow it's a ton of ISO ball and Gillon driving off a pick. AWIII creates his own shot, and Gillon when he's on will drain from NBA range to bring his man out for driving and (preferably) passing. Our offense is generally good because we have four 40%...
  38. AZcuse77

    The alley oops - stop

    With our height there is a time and place its the right play for sure... but that one aginst GT Gillon started from well outside the 3 point line (to TT I think) had to be one of the dumbest I've ever seen. Lammers could have had a picnic while he just sat there and waited for it to come right...
  39. AZcuse77

    We go as far as we shoot...

    This three game losing streak should reinforce what many already knew. This is not a team that can win when it does not shoot well. Yes Gillon's poor play has been a big factor too but as I said earlier this season Gillon being able to drive and be a threat is highly dependent on him being...
  40. AZcuse77

    Team is effectively dead...

    It's hard not to feel negative from what we watched out there regardless of making it close the last couple minutes. It's inexpiable how much less energy we play with on the road... then again FSU has a pretty good team and they have the same problem of looking just awful on the road. We...
  41. AZcuse77

    JB's Presser after Tech

    Well, saying that a guard you've previously trashed pretty good in pressers (along with yourself) as the PG play being the major reason we are so bad (along with the D) earlier in the year than saying the other guy is 10 miles better than you isn't exactly a compliment for Frank.
  42. AZcuse77

    How many years will it be

    I just threw up in my mouth a little at "Howard learns to play point guard"... we have no shot to be a top 10 team without a point guard, but I think the chances of it being a freshman overachiever or another grad transfer are better than Howard growing a basketball IQ and learning to shoot this...
  43. AZcuse77

    JB's Presser after Tech

    Its clearer on the gtswarm.com recording... The guy asks "Did it seem like the offense was a little impatient at times?" which apparently was such an out of line question/observation that JB said "You think?" and proceeded to rip him for asking such a question while not being the coach. At...
  44. AZcuse77

    UNC vs NCSU

    Not to mention they have almost as many offensive rebounds as State made shots.
  45. AZcuse77

    UNC vs NCSU

    State down 27-10 at home already... Tar Heels on pace to put up 120 on the vaunted Wolfpack D. UNC really looks like the front runner to take the ACC.
  46. AZcuse77

    Report: NC State to fire Mark Gottfried at end of season

    On offense it's debatable NCS has more talent. They are the somewhere around #300 in defensive efficiency and yes some of that is on coaching but to be that bad they really don't have a talented defender on the whole squad... Anya was good on D before he had the weight problems. Syracuse has...
  47. AZcuse77

    Report: NC State to fire Mark Gottfried at end of season

    I think getting DSJ was a bit of a curse for them not that I think Gottfried is a good coach... He knows he's a one and done and has zero interest in playing D... combined with another very weak defender in Rowan and its a revolving door up top. Kapita had a good game and seems to be a good...
  48. AZcuse77

    The chemistry is fully fixed...

    That's good to hear. I think there was definitely something going on to screw up the chemistry earlier this season but what is fact or fiction I'm not important enough to know. The hints from those who know more I still think are likely and they seem to have been properly dealt with. These...
  49. AZcuse77

    That's a crusher for our tourney hopes

    I think it's generally the opposite from having a top communications schools and such a huge presence in the press. There may be some haters reactionary to that a bit in the press but I think an unbiased view would see us at least getting an even deal. Then again I also tend to ignore / gloss...
  50. AZcuse77

    Thompson time

    It's true TT looked special the start of the second half... and his D is arguably better. He seems to have hit and miss games on the offensive end but when he's good he's a legit weapon and getting better on D I think/hope. I was screaming for Robey being the better lineup and Robey had a...
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