Against Ranked Teams (basketball) Week 19 | Syracusefan.com

Against Ranked Teams (basketball) Week 19

SWC75

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This year I will be again charting how teams have done “against ranked teams”, which is something that always comes up at the end of the year when the arguments over who should be in the NCAA tournament start. As usual, this is not meant to end those arguments, just to give those making them something to look at in forming their opinions. This is just one thing to look at. But I think it’s a big thing.

I’m going to do it a bit differently this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)

Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference between this year and last year if that I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to try to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.

WEEK 19

Auburn beat #8 Tennessee 84-64 = +38 points
St. Mary’s beat #1 Gonzaga 60-47 = +38 points
Florida State beat #2 Virginia 69-59 = +34 points
Cincinnati beat #11 Houston 69-57 = +27 points
Tennessee beat #4 Kentucky 82-78 = +26 points
Duke beat #12 Florida State 73-63 = +24 points
Duke beat #3 North Carolina 74-73 = +24 points
West Virginia beat #7 Texas Tech 79-74 = +24 points
Iowa State beat #17 Kansas 78-66 = +21 points
Michigan State beat #10 Michigan 65-60 = +21 points
San Diego State beat #14 Nevada-Reno 65-56 = +21 points
Florida beat #9 Louisiana State 76-73 = +20 points
North Carolina lost to #5 Duke 73-74 = +20 points
Michigan State beat #19 Wisconsin 67-55 = +19 points
Iowa State beat #15 Kansas State 63-59 = +15 points
Michigan lost to #6 Michigan State 60-65 = +15 points
Minnesota beat #13 Purdue 75-73 = +15 points
Kentucky lost to #8 Tennessee 78-82 = +14 points
Nebraska beat #21 Maryland 69-61 = +13 points
Ohio State lost to #6 Michigan State 70-77 = +13 points
Florida State beat #16 Virginia Tech 65-63 = +12 points
Memphis lost to #11 Houston 58-61 = +12 points
Virginia Tech lost to #12 Florida State 63-65 = +12 points
Florida State lost to #5 Duke 63-73 = +11 points
Mississippi State lost to #8 Tennessee 76-83 = +11 points
Louisville lost to #3 North Carolina 70-83 = +10 points
Syracuse lost to #5 Duke 72-84 = +9 points
Wisconsin lost to #6 Michigan State 55 -67 = +9 points
Seton Hall beat #23 Marquette 81-79 = +5 points
Alabama lost to #4 Kentucky 55-73 = +4 points
Boise State lost to #14 Nevada-Reno 69-77 = +4 points
Central Michigan lost to #18 Buffalo 81-85 = +4 points
North Carolina State lost to #2 Virginia 56-76 = +4 points
Virginia lost to #12 Florida State 59-69 = +4 points
Nebraska lost to #19 Wisconsin 62-66 = +3 points
Texas Christian lost to #15 Kansas State 61-70 = +2 points
Florida lost to #22 Auburn 62-65 = +1 point
Texas lost to #17 Kansas 57-65 = +1 point
Pepperdine lost to #1 Gonzaga 74-100 = -1 point
Seton hall lost to #25 Villanova 72-74 = -1 point
Wichita State lost to #24 Cincinnati 63-66 = -1 point
Xavier lost to #24 Villanova 67-71 = -3 points
Iowa lost to #10 Michigan 53-74 = -5 points
U of Miami lost to #16 Virginia Tech 56-71 = -5 points
South Carolina lost to #22 Auburn 64-73 = -5 points
West Virginia lost to #17 Kansas 74-88 = -5 points
Bowling Green lost to #18 Buffalo 73-87 = -6 points
Missouri lost to #22 Auburn 71-81 = -6 points
UNC Greensboro lost to #20 Wofford 58-70 = -6 points
Southern Methodist #24 Cincinnati 74-82 = -6 points
Houston lost to #24 Cincinnati 57-69 = -10 points
Providence lost to #25 Villanova 62-73 = -10 points
Minnesota lost to #10 Michigan 49-76 = -11 points
Tennessee lost to #22 Auburn 64-84 = -16 points
Connecticut lost to #11 Houston 45-84 = -24 points
Akron lost to #18 Buffalo 46-82 = -28 points
St. John’s lost to #23 Marquette 54-86 = -29 points

Comments: Two in-state rivalries that looked better than ever from the beginning this year were Michigan-Michigan State and Virginia-Virginia Tech. Michigan State a Virginia were just a bit better than their in-state rivals. A more established rivalry, 9on the national scene) was Duke-North Carolina. In that case, Duke pulled out the biggest of their three games and then beat FSU for the conference title.

For all Syracuse’ struggles, we wound up with +90 points, which makes us the 19th best team in the country against ranked teams. We were 3-9 against teams who were ranked in the top 25 when we played them. We were outscored by a net 89 points in those games, or an average of 7 points, although the range was wild, (we beat Louisville by 20 and lost to Virginia by 26).

I’m posting the entire results for the season to this point in case anyone wants to look at them before making predictions. I'll be combining this information with my "NCAA Seed Stats" formula for my sheet.


THE TOP 25

Duke +277 points
North Carolina +272 points
Michigan State +260 points
Michigan +195 points
Virginia +187 points

Louisville +166 points
Iowa State +156 points
Florida State +142 points
Kentucky +138 points
Kansas +134 points

Auburn +112 points
Tennessee +112 points
Wisconsin +109 points
Indiana +101 points
Marquette +101 points

Florida +97 points
Louisiana State +93 points
Virginia Tech +91 points
Syracuse +90 points
Texas +80 points

Maryland +79 points
Alabama +74 points
Purdue +72 points
Texas Tech +67 points
Iowa +65 points

The worst total so far is Tennessee Tech with -104 points

Alphabetical

Air Force 0 points
Akron -20 points
Alabama +74 points
Alabama-Birmingham +8 points
Alabama State -21 points
Alcorn State -22 points
Appalachian State -19 points
Arizona +8 points
Arizona State +59 points
Arkansas +30 points
Arkansas-Pine Bluff -5 points
Army 0 points
Auburn +112 points
Austin Peay -20 points

Ball State -22 points
Baylor +6 points
Binghamton +2 points
Boise State +17 points
Boston College +28 points
Bowling Green +2 points
Brigham Young -30 points
Bryant -3 points
Bucknell +9 points
Buffalo +6 points
Butler +1 points

Cal State Bakersfield -15 points
California +4 points
California Baptist -15 points
Canisius -30 points
Central Arkansas -29 points
Central Connecticut -41 points
Central Florida +37 points
Central Michigan -7 points
Charleston -5 points
Charleston Southern -5 points
Chattanooga -35 points
Cincinnati +27 points
The Citadel -16 points
Clemson +52 points
Cleveland State -24 points
Colorado State -17 points
Connecticut +10 points
Coppin State -61 points
Creighton +42 points

Dartmouth -35 points
Davidson -28 points
Dayton +18 points
Denver -37 points
De Paul +11 points
Duke +277 points

East Carolina -51 points
East Tennessee State -5 points
Eastern Kentucky -21 points
Eastern Michigan -26 points
Eastern Washington -46 points
Elon -51 points

Fairfield -31 points
Florida +97 points
Florida Gulf Coast -8 points
Florida State +142 points
Fort Wayne -20 points
Fresno State +17 points
Fullerton State -23 points
Furman +26 points

Gardner-Webb -17 points
Georgetown +41 points
George Washington -13 points
Georgia -44 points
Georgia State -11 points
Georgia Tech -5 point
Gonzaga +44 points
Grand Canyon +12 points
Grambling -21 points
Green Bay -10 points

Hartford -17 points
Harvard -9 points
High Point -5 points
Houston +30 points
Holy Cross -12 points

Idaho State -18 points
Illinois +43 points
Indiana +101 points
Iowa +65 points
Iowa State +156 points

Jacksonville -26 points

Kansas +134 points
Kansas State +65 points
Kent State -19 points
Kentucky +138 points
Kennesaw State -1 point

LaSalle -4 points
Lehigh -5 points
LeMoyne -25 points
Lenoir Rhyne -25 points
Lipscomb +17 points
Little Rock -8 points
Long Beach State -25 points
Louisiana +9 points
Louisiana-Monroe -6 points
Louisiana State +93 points
Louisiana Tech -3 points
Louisville +166 points
Loyola (Chicago) -4 points
Loyola (Md.) -27 points
Loyola Marymount +13 points


Marist -23 points
Marquette +101 points
Marshall -14 points
Maryland +79 points
Maryland Eastern Shore -29 points
Massachusetts -3 points
McNeese State -9 points
Memphis +6 points
U of Miami +26 points
Miami U. -17 points
Michigan +195 points
Michigan State +260points
Middle Tennessee 0 points
Milwaukee -14 points
Minnesota +61 points
Mississippi +62 points
Mississippi College -34 points
Mississippi State +51 points
Missouri +14 points
Monmouth -30 points
Morehead State -4 points
Morgan State -22 points
Murray State +14 points

Nebraska -2 points
Nevada-Reno +12 points
New Jersey Tech -17 points
New Mexico +38 points
New Mexico State +21 points
Norfolk State -12 points
North Alabama -26 points
North Carolina A&T -9 points
North Carolina Central -16 points
North Carolina +272 points
North Carolina State +57 points
UNC Ashville -8 points
UNC Greensboro -10 points
UNC- Wilmington -56 points
North Dakota -42 points
North Dakota State -17 points
North Florida -31 points
Northern Iowa -19 points
Northeastern -18 points
Northern Illinois +4 points
Northwestern +16 points
Northwestern (Louisiana) State -20 points
Notre Dame +26 points

Oakland -14 points
Ohio State +8 points
Ohio U. -42 points
Oklahoma -4 points
Oklahoma State +17 points
Old Dominion +7 points
Oral Roberts -11 points
Oregon +26 points

Pacific -8 points
Penn State +64 points
Pennsylvania +10 points
Pepperdine -5 points
Pittsburgh +25 points
Portland -2 points
Portland State -15 points
Presbyterian -23 points
Princeton -17 points
Providence -29 points
Purdue +72 points

Quinnipiac -16 points

Radford +12 points
Rio Grande Valley -10 points
Robert Morris -36 points
Rutgers +41 points

St. Bonaventure -9 points
St. Francis (Pa.) -62 points
St. John’s +31 points
St. Joseph’s -7 points
Saint Louis -9 points
St. Mary’s +30 points
St. Peter’s -32 points
Samford -24 points
Sam Houston State -8 points
San Diego +17 points
San Diego State +29 points
San Francisco +1 point
San Jose State -23 points
Santa Clara -51 points
Savannah State -74 points
Seton Hall +29 points
South Alabama -28 points
South Carolina +48 points
South Carolina State -26 points
South Carolina Upstate -13 points
South Dakota -11 points
South Dakota State +15 points
South Florida +1 points
SE Louisiana -28 points
Southeast Missouri -2 points
Southern California +9 points
Southern Illinois +8 points
Southern Methodist -9 points
Southern University -35 points
Stanford +4 points
Stetson -41 points
Syracuse +90 points

Temple +20 points
Tennessee +112 points
Tennessee State +1 point
Tennessee Tech -104 points
Texas +80 points
Texas A&M -8 points
Texas A&M Corpus Christi -8 points
UT Arlington -16 points
Texas Christian +14 points
Texas Southern -1 point
Texas Tech +67 points
Toledo -30 points
Towson -10 points
Troy -1 point
Tulane -20 points
Tulsa +7 points

UCLA -5 points
UNLV 0 points
Utah -15 points
Utah State +11 points

Vanderbilt +17 points
Vermont +8 points
Villanova +65 points
Virginia +187 points
Virginia Commonwealth +14 points
Virginia Military -27 points
Virginia Tech +91 points

Wake Forest -8 points
Washington +17 points
Western Carolina -15 points
Western Kentucky +1 points
Western Michigan +14 points
West Virginia -7 points
Wichita State -1 points
William & Mary -11 points
Winthrop +9 points
Wisconsin +109 points
Wofford +4 points
Wright State +5 points
Wyoming -14 points

Xavier +22 points

Yale -10 points
Youngstown -8 points
 

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