Reply to thread

Message

[QUOTE="Cusefannotindc, post: 4571846, member: 1567"]
They are tied in the sense that KenPom or Net dictate lines but they are using the same data to arrive at very similar conclusions. For example, Duke is +10.4 in ESPN's BPI (which is per 70 possession) and SU is +5.7, if you adjust KP's score (which is per 100 possessions) to 70 it comes out +10.6 and +6.

Further, ATS records aren't really measure of skill or predictive of the future. If someone flips a coin 11 times and gets 8 heads, it doesn't mean they are good at flipping heads. SU and Duke are out on the tails of the distribution of ATS but well within what would be expected and about 12% would be expected to have same or better/worse (respectively) ATS records just based on random variation.

The aggregate spread results this season on a few variables:

[TABLE]
[TR]
[TD]4+ Days Rest[/TD]
[TD][RIGHT]49.9%[/RIGHT][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2-3 Days Rest[/TD]
[TD][RIGHT]49.8%[/RIGHT][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1 Days Rest[/TD]
[TD][RIGHT]51.1%[/RIGHT][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Rest Advantage[/TD]
[TD][RIGHT]49.1%[/RIGHT][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]After win[/TD]
[TD][RIGHT]50.1%[/RIGHT][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]After loss[/TD]
[TD][RIGHT]49.9%[/RIGHT][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Home dogs[/TD]
[TD][RIGHT]52.2%[/RIGHT][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Home dogs are a little high this season in covering, it is not as high in the past 5 season combined, but even so, if you had bet on all of them you would still be losing money.
[/QUOTE]

Verification

What is a Syracuse fan's favorite color?