Deep Dive: Florida State | Syracusefan.com

Deep Dive: Florida State

SWC75

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I took a deep dive into the stats to see how we compared to big, bad Florida State. So here is everything on this page:
NCAA College Football FBS current team Stats | NCAA.com

SCORING OFFENSE SU- 30 FSU- 34
TOTAL OFFENSIVE YARDS SU- 369 FSU- 483
OFFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 183 FSU- 215
OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 149 FSU- 212
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 220 FSU- 272
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 13 FSU- 14
OFFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 146 FSU- 155
OFFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 62 FSU- 62
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 39 FSU- 48
OFFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS SU- 162in34 = 5 FSU- 189in44 = 4
SACKS ALLOWED SU- 28 FSU- 13
TACKLES FOR A LOSS ALLOWED SU- 53 FSU- 53
BLOCKED KICKS ALLOWED SU- 2 FSU- 0
(I’m assuming blocked kicks are placekicks and added them to blocked punts)

SCORING DEFENSE SU- 18 FSU- 20
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 307 FSU- 308
DEFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 154 FSU- 172
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 141 FSU- 143
(We went from 95 rushing yards allowed per game to 123. Clemson gained 34% of the rushing yards we have surrendered.)
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 166 FSU- 165
DEFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 115 FSU- 124
DEFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 62 FSU- 57
DEFENSIVE THIRD AND FOURTH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 39 FSU- 39
DEFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS SU- 105in26 = 4 FSU- 72in29 = 2
SACKS SU- 20 FSU- 26
TACKLES FOR A LOSS SU- 51 FSU- 56
BLOCKED KICKS SU -2 FSU- 2
DEFENSIVE TOUCHDOWNS SU- 3 FSU- 0

KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 27 FSU- 25
OPPONENT KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 22 FSU- 20
KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 20/53 = 38% FSU - 12/48 = 25%
PUNT RETURNS SU- 6 FSU- 14
OPPONENT PUNT RETURNS SU- 8 FSU- 4
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 12/29 = 41% FSU - 13/35 = 37%
NET PUNTING SU- 36 FSU- 38
FIELD GOAL PERCENTAGE SU- 12/13 = 92 FSU - 9/12 = 75%
LONGEST FG SU- 54 FSU- 48
40 YARDS + SU- 3/4 FSU- 4/5
EXTRA POINTS MISSED SU- 0 FSU- 0

TURNOVER MARGIN SU- +7 FSU- +1
(But were +6 to Notre Dame’s -6 but we had 2 to their 1)
PENALTIES SU- 74/565yds FSU - 66/590yds
TIME OF POSSESSION SU- 28 FSU- 30
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE SU- #36 FSU #23
(Everybody has their own system for this: I averaged the sources on this page: College football strength of schedule: 2022 mid-season rankings )
COMMON OPPONENTS:
We beat Louisville 31-7: FSU beat them 35-31
We beat NC State 24-9; FSU lost to them 17-19
We lost to Clemson 21-27; FSU lost to them 28-34

I looked at that and there is what it tells me that seems to be in Florida State’s favor:
- They’ve outgained by 114 yards a game.
- Even with our (used to be a) Heisman trophy candidate at running back, FSU is out-rushing us by 63 yards per game.
- FSU passes for 52 yards more per game than we do.
- They’ve made 32 more first downs.
- They’ve converted 48% of their third and 4th downs to our 39%
- Both teams have blocked 2 kicks but we’ve gotten blocked twice and FSU hasn’t allowed a block. We saw what happened vs. Notre Dame.
- They have 8 fewer penalties but for more years, which means we have more ‘mental mistake’ penalties and they have more ‘physical mistake’ penalties. Edge to them.
- 25% of their kickoffs have been returned compared to 38% of ours. Both teams are good at returning them, (27 yards per return for us: 25 for them).
- Their punt return defense is better than ours, (4 yards vs. 8) and they return punts better than we do (14 vs. 6)
- Our Red Zone defense is good (105/26) but theirs is exceptional (72/29).
- We actually aren’t that far behind FSU in TFLs (50-56) and sacks (20-26) and both teams are even in TFLs allowed (53). But there is a significant difference in sacks allowed: (28 for us, 13 for them).

Our advantages:
- We are +6 in turnover margin compared to FSU.
- We have three defensive touchdowns. They have none.
- We’ve given up 18 fewer first downs.
- Our defensive passing efficiency is better (115 vs. 124)

Of course, our statistics are mostly from a time when we were reasonably healthy. Now we have problems at quarterback, in both lines, the secondary and a lot of guys who will play but will play hurt. Florida State no doubt has some problems, too, (it’s the 10th game), but I doubt they are as serious as ours.
 

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