Orangeyes Daily Articles for Friday - for Football | Syracusefan.com

Orangeyes Daily Articles for Friday for Football

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Welcome to World Elephant Day!

World Elephant Day asks everyone to "help conserve and protect elephants from the numerous threats they face" and "to experience elephants in non-exploitive and sustainable environments where elephants can thrive under care and protection." It is a day to express concern, share knowledge, and support solutions for the better care of captive and wild elephants; it is a day to honor elephants, spread awareness about the critical threats they face, and to support solutions to help ensure their survival. It brings "attention to the urgent plight of Asian and African elephants" and is "a vehicle by which organizations can rally together to give voice to the issues threatening elephants."

The day was thought up in 2011 by Canadian filmmakers Patricia Sims and Michael Clark, and by the Elephant Reintroduction Foundation, specifically by Sivaporn Dardarananda, the Foundation's Secretary-General. It was founded on August 12, 2012, by Patricia Sims and the Elephant Reintroduction Foundation, and first observed on that day. The Foundation is a non-profit that was started in 2002 as a Royal Initiative of Her Majesty Queen Sirikit of Thailand, and has the mission of acquiring captive elephants and reintroducing them to live as wild elephants in protected forest habitats. The day was created in part to celebrate the work of the Foundation. On the first World Elephant Day, Patricia Sims and Michael Clark released Return to the Forest, a documentary which focuses on the work of the Elephant Reintroduction Foundation.


SU News

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Offensive lineman Enrique Cruz Jr. lines up against an opponent during Syracuse football fall camp Tuesday, Aug. 9. Cruz signed a $5,000 NIL deal with a group of Orange fans earlier this summer. N. Scott Trimble | strimble@syracuse.com

Cruz on NIL deal with SU football fan tailgate: ‘I just went for it’ (PS; $; Leiker)

Enrique Cruz Jr. wasn’t sure what he was getting himself into when he applied for a fan-sponsored name, image, and likeness deal earlier this summer.

The Syracuse football offensive lineman hadn’t seen anything else like it, but it seemed like a good opportunity.

“I just went for it, and it was a complete blessing,” Cruz said.

In July, a prominent group of SU tailgaters announced they’d agreed to an NIL deal with Cruz that would allow them to name their tailgate after him. The “SYRACRUZ Tailgate” will be held in the Henry Street Lot this fall.

Cruz gets $5,000 up front from the deal and will do a number of other things for the group including sign autographs, make appearances and help create merchandise.

Mark Cupelo, one of the tailgate’s organizers, previously told syracuse.com the group wants to “truly be partners” with Cruz and fullback Chris Elmore, another player who is part of the deal.

“It’s amazing ‘cause we’re both from Chicago, so it’s really repping the city right now,” Cruz said of Elmore’s involvement in the deal.

Through the first two weeks of fall camp, Cruz has taken a significant number of snaps as Syracuse works to solidify its starting five offensive linemen.
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Orange football head coach Dino Babers owed more than $10m at end of season (TNIAAM; Pregler)

The Syracuse Orange football season has begun fall camp, and many of the conversations around the team have centered around the need for success this season, as the Orange and head coach Dino Babers are still looking for just the second winning season as he heads into his 7th year at the helm of the program. This unfortunate overall record has stoked discussions about Babers’ job security, but with little known about his contract, any conversation eventually circles around to the unknowns of a buyout, and years remaining on the contract.

Pete Thamel of ESPN wrote a roundup of college football coaches on the hot seat for this upcoming season. (ESPN+ Sub Needed) The biggest piece of revelatory information regarding the Orange is the confirmation from Thamel that head football coach Dino Babers will be owed over $10 million after the 2022 season.

Last year, we wrote an article speculating on Babers’ contract after Split Zone Duo’s Steven Godfrey mentioned that the head coach’s job security was high due to prohibitive buy out costs. Based on publicly available information, we were able to make an educated guess that Babers was going to have somewhere between $5 and $10 million left on the contract after last season. Clearly, we underestimated the average annual value (AAV) of the contract, or do not have enough information on the distribution of the deal that would impact a correct guess at the AAV but incorrect guess at the money left to be paid out.
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Is Syracuse Forced to Ride Out Babers' Contract? (audible.com; podcast; Locked on Syracuse)

Matt Bonaparte and Owen Valentine discuss whether it's even a possibility that Syracuse could move on from Dino Babers after this season. Also the guys talk about the new 315 foundation and how that will effect the community as well as recruiting.

Ja'Had Carter Injury, Garret Shrader INTs, and Good Defense at Training Camp (audible.com; podcast; Locked on Syracuse)

Matt Bonaparte and Owen Valentine give you the most pressing stories from Syracuse football training camp thus far. The guys discuss an injury sustained by Ja'Had Carter, a couple Garrett Shrader interceptions, and some stout defense on this episode

Syracuse Set To Step Up NIL Game With First-Ever “Collective” – Orange Fizz – Daily Syracuse Recruiting News & Team Coverage (orangefizz.met; Bainbridge)

Three months ago, Syracuse’s NIL shortcomings flashed across the pan as a short-lived topic of concern. Headlines made by other ACC players’ earnings through name-image-likeness opportunities forced SU Athletic Director John Wildhack to answer questions about what his teams were doing with regards to new NIL chances. At the time, Wildhack didn’t offer many specifics – but predicted that Syracuse would have an “NIL collective” by Fall.

Yesterday, that prediction came to fruition.

A new group called the “315 Foundation” has recently entered the fray as Syracuse’s newest collective. Its organizers, Mike Bristol and Tony DeSorbo, have been planning its unveiling for nearly a calendar year, and has been organized as a not-for-profit 501(c)(3). Per Syracuse.com, the group is planning to go public shortly.

For anyone not caught up to speed, an “NIL collective” is something new now allowed under recently-implemented name-image-likeness rules for college athletes. Simply put, collectives are a way for boosters and fans to pool money together to pay athletes to perform a service. It’s a concrete way to make sure players can get compensated for one thing or another without having to hunt for a position as a spokesman for a product, for example.
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Predicting Syracuse football's 2022 defensive statistics - The Juice Online (the juice; Sears)

As the 2022 season rapidly approaches, it’s fair to wonder how exactly each individual player on the Syracuse roster will perform over the year.

I’ve decided to put out stat predictions based on an optimistic yet reasonable assumption for each player, should they play a full slate of games. That means no injuries are accounted for, and each player plays at or above their expected level.

Also, without a final depth chart released, we’ll be using my projected starters for this exercise. With that said, let’s get right down to it.

Today we’ll begin with the defense.

  • “TT”- Total tackles
  • “TFL”- Tackles-for-loss
  • “PBU”- Pass Break-ups
  • “INT”- Interceptions
  • “FF”- Forced Fumbles
  • “FR”- Fumble Recoveries
DEFENSIVE LINE

DE Caleb Okechukwu
– long, strong and experienced, Okechukwu should have his best season yet as the de facto leader of this defensive line group.

  • 2021 Stats: 21 TT’s, 2 TFL’s, 1 sack, 1 FR
  • 2022 Prediction: 30 TT’s, 5 TFL’s, 3 sacks, 2 FF
DT Terry Lockett– Lockett had a strong showing last year given not much was expected out of him. That won’t be the case this year as he’ll need to eat up blocks to free SU’s playmaking linebackers.
  • 2021 Stats: 12 TT’s, 2 TFL’s, 2 sacks
  • 2022 Prediction: 20 TT’s, 3.5 TFL’s, 1 sack, 2 PBU’s
DE Steve Linton– tall but light defensive end that has great speed and should thrive with more playing time. Should be able to exploit mismatches against lesser tackles.
  • 2021 Stats: 6 TT’s, 1 TFL, 1 sack, 1 PBU
  • 2022 Prediction: 25 TT’s, 7 TFL’s, 4 sacks, 3 PBU’s, 1 FR
LINEBACKERS

LB Stefon Thompson
– a starter since he stepped on the field as a true freshman and a second team All-ACC LB last year, Thompson’s sack numbers are on the rise and I see that continuing.

  • 2021 Stats: 79 TT’s, 7 TFL’s, 6 sacks, 2 FF’s
  • 2022 Prediction: 82 TT’s, 5 TFL’s, 8 sacks, 1 FF, 1 FR
LB Mikel Jones– the heart and soul of the Orange defense, Jones should continue his stellar college career and punch his ticket to the NFL with another great season on one of the nation’s top defenses.
  • 2021 Stats: 110 TT’s, 7.5 TFL’s, 2 sacks, 1 FR
  • 2022 Prediction: 100 TT’s, 7 TFL’s, 4 sacks, 1 INT, 3 PBU’s, 1 FF, 2 FR’s
LB Marlowe Wax– a fantastic overall edge player, Wax sports the combo of true pass rush ability and speed to bring down ball carriers on outside runs. He’s expected to have a big year.
  • 2021 Stats: 60 TT’s, 7 TFL’s, 4 sacks, 1 PBU, 1 FF
  • 2022 Prediction: 85 TT’s, 5.5 TFL’s, 7 sacks, 2 FF, 2 FR’s
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Syracuse Football: Battle may be brewing for No. 2 spot at quarterback (itlh; Adler)

Syracuse football is just getting underway with its pre-season camp ahead of the 2022 campaign that begins in early September.

Unless something unforeseen transpires, I’m getting the sense that quarterback Garrett Shrader, who started the bulk of games in 2021 for the Orange, will be the starting quarterback to commence this coming season.

However, the door seems relatively wide open at this juncture as it pertains to who will be Shrader’s primary back-up at the No. 2 slot when ‘Cuse kicks off its 2022 stanza by hosting Louisville on Saturday, Sept. 3.

With redshirt freshman quarterback Justin Lamson unfortunately sidelined, the No. 2 quarterback on the Orange depth chart is expected to be one of JaCobian Morgan, Michigan transfer Dan Villari or Florida transfer Carlos Del Rio-Wilson.

It will be interesting to see which Syracuse football QB ends up at No. 2 on the depth chart.

According to Stephen Bailey of 247Sports, ‘Cuse head coach Dino Babers discussed the team’s quarterback room in a recent session with media members.

Babers said that a foot issue caused Rio-Wilson to miss a practice, although Bailey reported that Rio-Wilson is getting a good amount of reps.

Coming out of high school, both Rio-Wilson and Villari were highly ranked by recruiting services. Morgan, meanwhile, has been with the Syracuse football program for several years now.

Per the 247Sports article, Babers said that all three of these quarterbacks need additional reps before a decision can get made about who will serve as Shrader’s primary back-up at quarterback.
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Syracuse Football: Projecting Orange’s ACC record during 2022 season (itlh; Adler)

The Atlantic Coast Conference’s pre-season media poll, which the league recently released, wasn’t all too kind to Syracuse football, as the Orange is projected to finish at No. 7, or dead last, in the Atlantic Division during the upcoming campaign.

Given that the ‘Cuse finished up 2021 at 5-7, losing its final three contests and failing to make a bowl game, and the Orange is prognosticated to have a potentially brutal schedule in 2022, it’s not terribly surprising that ACC media members are forecasting Syracuse football to finish in the Atlantic Division basement this coming term.


There are hints of optimism recently doled out to the ‘Cuse by a handful of national experts as it pertains to the Orange’s 2022 stanza, but make no mistake about it, Syracuse football will have its hands full trying to attain six or more victories this fall.

Let’s project how Syracuse football will fare in the ACC portion of its 2022 schedule.

The good news about the Orange’s ACC docket is that three of its first four league battles are in Central New York. That bad news is that the ‘Cuse will head out on the road for three of its final four conference clashes.

September 3 vs. Louisville (6-7 last year)
2022 Prediction: No. 4 in Atlantic Division

The Orange begins its 2022 season with an ACC affair, as the ‘Cuse welcomes Louisville to the Hill. The Cardinals have a terrific quarterback who will be tough for the Orange’s defense to contain, and Louisville is picked to finish higher in the Atlantic Division than Syracuse football.
No worries. For some instinctual reason, I feel like the Orange is going to bust out of the gates with a stellar performance in front of a boisterous home crowd.
Syracuse Football Prediction: Win

September 23 vs. Virginia (6-6 last year)
2022 Prediction: No. 4 in Coastal Division

This is a really intriguing match-up, because two of the Orange’s top assistant coaches on offense this season were with the Cavaliers a stanza ago. You know that Syracuse football head coach Dino Babers and his assistants, along with the team of course, will want to pummel UVA into the turf. I think that’s going to happen.
Syracuse Football Prediction: Win
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Clemson Football: Is the ACC poised to bounce back in 2022? (rubbingtherock.com; Chancey)

USA Today released the preseason edition of their coaches poll on Monday, and Clemson football was ranked #4th in the country. This isn’t the only poll that has ranked Clemson as high as the top five, so it isn’t an outlier, but it is a bit surprising considering Clemson finished #16 in the final poll of 2021.

This is a strong indicator that head coach Dabo Swinney has built the program to the point that observers have confidence that Clemson can achieve at a high level, even following a year which isn’t quite up to the standard they expect from the Tigers based on the past seven seasons.

Even more surprising is that the poll includes five total ACC teams. That is the most ACC teams included in the preseason poll since 2010, which is the last time the ACC got five. Just three years ago in 2019, Clemson was the only ACC team in the preseason poll.

That puts things into perspective when it comes to the lack of respect the ACC has gotten nationally. In 2019, Clemson was the preseason #1 team in the USA Today coaches poll, and not a single other team in the conference was ranked.

NC State has a received a decent amount of preseason respect and is ranked just outside the top ten at #12. Pittsburgh, Miami and Wake Forest are all ranked in the teens.

This is a good thing for Clemson, and it couldn’t happen at a better time. Enthusiasm within the conference has been low for much of the summer. Now we can look at the schedule and see that the ACC will have multiple matchups throughout the season that could feature two Top 25 teams.

Clemson faces Wake Forest & NC State in Weeks 4 & 5 respectively, and then hosts Miami in late November. NC State faces Wake in the first weekend of November, and then Miami and Pitt meet in the final week of the regular season.
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BOZICH | From Syracuse to Kentucky, ranking Louisville's most important football games (wdrb.com; Bozich)

The countdown to football at the University of Louisville has been cut to 23 days.

I’ve heard predictions of an eight-win season for Scott Satterfield’s team. ESPN’s football power index has the Cardinals closer to 6-6.

I’m waiting several weeks before sharing the season predictions for Louisville, Kentucky, Indiana and Western Kentucky from the WDRB Sports staff.

But with more than three weeks until kickoff, this is the perfect day to rank the dozen games on Louisville’s schedule in order of importance.

Let’s go.

12. USF, Sept. 24 — The Bulls are in a serious funk. They recruited Jeff Scott from Dabo Swinney’s staff at Clemson, hoping Scott could pick up the pieces left by Charlie Strong. Not yet. USF is 3-18 under Scott. They were out-gained by 121 yards per game last season, losing eight games by 12 points or more. Not much reflected glory from winning this one.

11. James Madison Nov. 5 — The Cards won’t earn many credibility points by beating the Dukes but the fine print shows this team is better than USF. After making the FCS playoffs eight straight seasons, the Dukes have upgraded to the Sun Belt Conference. They played West Virginia tough in 2019 and North Carolina State tough in 2018 — and the Dukes will come to Cardinal Stadium following an off week. Satterfield knows what it means to a Sun Belt team to get a crack at a Power 5 opponent.

10. At Virginia Oct. 8 — The Cavaliers have won back to back games against the Cards, including last season when Virginia quarterback Brennan Armstrong threw for 487 yards. Armstrong is back but he’s playing for Tony Elliott, a first-year head coach who made his name directing the Clemson offense. And the Cavaliers are down a dozen starters.

9. At Boston College Oct. 1 — I rank this one more important than the Virginia game because the Eagles play in Louisville’s division. The Cards out-gained BC by 172 yards last season in a 28-14 win but have lost their last two trips to lovely Chestnut Hill, Mass. BC’s Jeff Hafley is supposed to be one of the game’s rising coaches.

8. At Clemson Nov. 12 — The Tigers start the season ranked No. 4 in the USA Today coaches poll. They’re still trying to understand how they lost the Atlantic Division title to Wake Forest last season. After years of stability, Swinney had to find new offensive and defensive coordinators. Quarterback D.J. Uiagalelei remains an enigma. There’s a lot going on at Clemson. But it’s a road game and the Cards have never won there. It would be the biggest win of the season but I can’t rank it high on the must win scale.

7. Pittsburgh, Oct. 22 — Some are picking the Panthers to repeat as Coastal Division champions even though quarterback Kenny Pickett is one of seven starters gone from Pitt’s 11-3 team. Coach Pat Narduzzi is counting on USC transfer Keon Slovis to replace Pickett but Slovis had 11 TD passes with eight interceptions last season. Definitely a swing game.

6. North Carolina State Nov. 10 — The Wolfpack have replaced Louisville as the team most likely to challenge Clemson in the Atlantic Division. They’re ranked in the Top 25 in the preseason magazines as well as the USA Today coaches poll (No. 13). Phil Steele ranks Wolfpack quarterback Devin Leary the second-best in the ACC. Hard to question a guy who had 35 TD passes and only five picks last season. Would be a statement win.

5. Wake Forest Oct. 29 — Anybody else forget the Demon Deacons averaged 41 points and won the Atlantic last season? I did. But the narrative around Wake changed this week as the game moved into the winnable category with the news that Wake quarterback Sam Hartman will miss an indefinite amount of time with a non-football related medical condition. Wake coach Dave Clawson said Hartman underwent a medical procedure and that he expected him to return this season. But until Hartman does return, it’s difficult to view Wake as a Top 20 team. Another game the Cards could get.

4. At Kentucky, Nov. 26 — Phil Steele ranks U of L (No. 33) ahead of UK (No. 35) but I have not seen the Cards ahead of the Wildcats in any other forecast — or on the scoreboard lately. Three straight Kentucky wins by a combined margin 153-44 make this a game Louisville needs to save an entire recruiting class from finishing their careers without beating the Wildcats. At minimum, the Cards have to avoid another blowout.


3. At Central Florida, Sept. 9 — Howard Schnellenberger beat UCF during his inaugural season at Louisville. Strong lost to UCF during his final season here. Satterfield needed a 66-yard return of a tipped interception with 13 seconds to play to beat UCF last season. Those three games were played in Louisville. This will be the Cards’ first trip to the Bounce House, where UCF has won 30 of its last 32. Steele says the Knights have the best running backs and receivers in the American Athletic Conference. If Ole Miss transfer John Rhys Plumlee comes through at quarterback, this game will require Louisville’s best. Need this week to create momentum for the following week.

2. At Syracuse Sept. 3 — The Cards have won 7 of 8 as well as well as 10 of the last 12 against the sagging Orange. Syracuse coach Dino Babers is a consensus candidate on the coaching Hot Seat lists. But the fine print shows that although Syracuse finished 5-7 last season, they lost back-to-back-to-back games by three points to Florida State, Clemson and Wake Forest. Sean Tucker led the Atlantic Coast Conference in rushing — and Steele named him a third-team preseason all-American. U of L is currently favored by 3 at VegasInsider.com, so this is hardly a putt in the leather.
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Louisville linebacker Yasir Abdullah is one of the fiercest defenders in the ACC. The 2021 second-team All-ACC selection spent loads of time in opponents' backfields last season. Abdullah finished 2nd in the conference with 10.0 sacks and also racked up 16.5 stops behind the line of scrimmage. Louisville head coach Scott Satterfield, quarterback Malik Cunningham, offensive lineman Caleb Chandler and Abdullah himself tell you why you better know where No.22 is at all times.

ACC football: Most important game for each team in 2022 (247sports.com; Trotter)

The ACC division races are as wild and crazy as anything you’ll find in college football. 2022 should be no different. Clemson and NC State are the frontrunners in the ACC Atlantic and should duke it out all season. Wake Forest absolutely deserved to be in that conversation too before the scary announcement that quarterback Sam Hartman will miss an undisclosed amount of time due to a medical condition. Could that open the door for Florida State or Boston College to make a surge? We're about to find out.

Shifting to the ACC Coastal, good luck and best wishes to anyone who thinks they can predict what will happen. Miami, North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Virginia and Virginia Tech all have their strengths. But each team also has a lot of questions to answer.

Let's dive into the most important game on the 2022 schedule for each ACC team with realistic goals for success in mind.

EDITOR'S NOTE: this is the third edition of a series detailing the most important game for each team in the Power Five conferences. You can read the Big Ten version or the SEC version that has been completed.

BOSTON COLLEGE

Home vs. Clemson, Oct. 1
This Boston College team is good enough to go bowling. But that's not the objective. Boston College wants to make some noise in the ACC, and knocking off Clemson would send a message to the rest of the country. Boston College had the ACC’s worst offense in 2021, but that should change next season with a fully healthy Phil Jurkovec back at quarterback. His top two offensive targets return, but the offensive line is a big question mark. The Eagles return just one starter in the trenches, though that single starter just happens to be a reigning first-team All-ACC selection in Christian Mahogany. The defense should be in pretty good shape at every level, as leading sacker Marcus Valdez, leading tackler Kam Arnold and safety Jaiden Woodbey are all back.

PITTSBURGH

Away vs. Miami, Nov. 26
Pat Narduzzi
and the Panthers are going to have a major chip on their shoulders after superstar wideout Jordan Addison left for USC.
“I always say this to our players — name, image and likeness is great, and we want our kids to get paid,” Narduzzi said. “But if you’re a player out there and you’re going to a school because you’re getting paid and you’re getting this much as opposed to what you’re getting over here, then you made a mistake and we’re going to see that portal just continue to grow.”
The final week of the regular season should be bonkers in the ACC. That matchup between Pittsburgh and Miami could very well be the difference in the topsy-turvy ACC Coastal.

WAKE FOREST

Home vs. Clemson, Sept. 24
Wake Forest has super high expectations, but a bombshell was dropped this week following Wake Forest's announcement that Hartman, who leads one of the nation's top returning offensive units, is out indefinitely with a medical condition. That changes everything for the Demon Deacons. Dave Clawson will have to play a backup quarterback until Hartman returns. Can he get back in time to play against Clemson? That remains to be seen.

GEORGIA TECH

Home vs. Virginia, Oct. 20
Georgia Tech just has a brutal schedule. Georgia, Clemson, Miami, Ole Miss and Pittsburgh are all Top 25 programs. So Geoff Collins and the Yellow Jackets will have to make it count against some of the teams who aren't in that elite tier. Georgia Tech will have nearly two weeks ahead of a big Thursday night primetime showdown against a Virginia team that might not be world-beaters This seems like a make-or-break year for Collins, so having less than half of his total production back is concerning. In three seasons with Georgia Tech, he has amassed a 9-25 overall record and has yet to win more than three games in a single year.

SYRACUSE

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(Photo: USA TODAY Sports)

Away vs. Boston College, Nov. 26
It's not inconceivable to believe that Syracuse will head into the season-finale with five wins, with Boston College the only thing standing in its way of a bowl game. The Orange have not had much success since Dino Babers led a magical 10-3 run in 2018 in his second year on the job. Missing out on the postseason could doom Babers, whose seat is warm, but not the hottest in the conference heading into September.
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Links, News and Rumors: 2022 Aug 12th (RX; HM)

Links, News and Rumors: 2022 Aug 12th

From Yahoo! Sports "10 college football teams who could take a step back in 2022", here's the list of 10 teams along with comments for the two which hail from the ACC (click link to read about the others):


Arizona State (8-5 in 2021)
Baylor (12-2)
Cincinnati (13-1)
Kentucky (10-3)
Louisiana (13-1)
Michigan State (11-2)
Oklahoma State (12-2)
Pittsburgh (11-3)
...

BC Interruption Debates: 2022 ACC Football Rankings (bcinterruption.com; Flannery, Bailin & Patel)

Curtis: So how do we think the ACC shakes out this year? Are we finally in an era post-Clemson? Or will they avoid being out of the picture for a 2nd straight year? To give everyone an idea of the general consensus: Most analysts are picking either Clemson or NC State to come out of the Atlantic, and either Pitt or Miami to come out of the Coastal.


Niraj: Clemson still has to have the nod here despite the lingering questions around DJ and finally some turnover on staff. They are still loaded with talent, particularly on defense. Even though they were so remarkably un-Clemson-like last season, they finished the season so strong, including an absolute beatdown of Wake. NC State has a lot to like and have particularly inviting odds, even if they do always blow it. Last year’s dramatic double OT win over Clemson might actually be a difference this time. I’ll give them the nod.
Miami is more interesting with how quickly it seems Mario Cristobal is changing the program (including retiring the turnover chain). A strong new staff and an excellent quarterback make quite the pairing. I like them coming out of the Coastal. Pitt losing Pickett and Addison is too important, and don’t forget new offensive coordinator Frank Cignetti. Lots of talent still, but too rich for me. I’ll take Miami there.

Curtis: Point taken on Frank Cignetti especially for Pitt. I think Boston College fans have a unique perspective on just how underwhelming that hire was for them to replace Mark Whipple. For that reason, and the loss of Pickett & Addison, I’m also taking Miami in the Coastal. But I don’t think Miami is even necessarily super strong themselves.
In the Atlantic, I’m actually a bit more bearish on Clemson. The talent is absolutely there, but I think the transition from both Brent Venables and Tony Elliot is going to be too much chaos and I expect the Tigers to take a slight step back this year. They’ll still be near the top of the division, maybe even win it, but rankings like #4 in the nation in the Coaches’ Poll are way too optimistic in my view.
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Curtis: Syracuse is definitely an interesting team this year. Although I try to disregard games lost in large part by Dennis Grosel (and Emmett Morehead), the Orange did beat BC last season and they’re returning one of the conference’s best RBs in Sean Tucker. I’m not going to predict them to finish above last in the Atlantic, but I wouldn’t be particularly shocked if they did. Not to mention Dino Babers will be coaching hard to keep his job.

Arthur: Oh, how the mighty have fallen.


Potential ACCN revenue growth (RX; HM)

Potential ACCN revenue growth

Wednesday we were told that the ACC has hired a revenue consultant, but what can they actually do at this point? More than you might think! First, let's look at ACC Network revenue - can this be grown?


ACCN Distribution (Summer 2022)

TV ProviderType#HomesACCN date
Comcastcable18.5MDec-21
Spectrumcable16MAug-19
ATTsatellite15MDec-19
Dishsatellite8.5MAug-19
NCTCcable6MJul-19
YouTubeinternet4MAug-19
Huluinternet4MMar-19
Coxcable3.5MSep-19
Alticecable3MOct-19
Fiosfiber3.5MDec-18
Slinginternet2.5MAug-19
Fubointernet1MJun-20
Googlefiber0.5MMar-19
CableOnecable0.5MJul-20
Cogecocable0.5MAug-21
Frontierfiber0.5MAug-21
Vidgointernet0.5MJul-20
Mediacomcable0.5MAug-21
Total88.5M
note1: other small providers (not listed) also carry ACCN.
note2: in most cases, some customers don't get ACCN.

__________
That's the potential reach of the ACC Network (actual subscribers are estimated at 42 million).
We've also been told that the ACCN gets an average of $0.72 per subscriber per month.
That means that the gross revenue ceiling is $764,640,000 per year (currently estimated at $362,880,000 per year).
Half of that would go to ESPN ($382,320,000), and the other half would be split 15 ways, or $25,488,000 each. That's the maximum ACCN revenue. Current estimates are more like $181.4M for ESPN and $12.1M per ACC member school.
__________

Rx:

So, there are two ways for the ACC to continue to grow ACCN revenue:
1. Work to increase subscription saturation (i.e. get a higher percentage of the 88.5 million potential customers to convert to actual paying customers). This can be accomplished by getting more teams into the Top 25 and staying there; do this primarily by winning non-conference games, which makes those ACC games more valuable and more people want to watch them.
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What can 2021 Upsets Tell us about 2022? (RX; HM)

What can 2021 Upsets Tell us about 2022?

From Phil Steele's "UPSET METER for 2022":


My hypothesis going into my research was that teams that pulled many upsets the previous year would be overvalued and see their record get weaker the following year... Similarly, teams that were upset numerous times as favorites the previous year would be undervalued and would see their record improve.

2021 Net Upsets (Upset wins - upset losses) for ACC teams:
North Carolina-4
Georgia Tech-2
Clemson-2
NC State-2
Louisville-1
Miami-1
Pitt-1
Duke 0
Virginia 0
Virginia Tech+1
Notre Dame+1
Wake Forest+1
Florida State+2
Syracuse+2
Boston College+2
...

Other

CQ74NZCXVVAJPEX5LKYKKT4LUA.jpg

JMA Wireless CEO John Mezzalingua, left, speaks at a press conference held by U.S. Sen. Charles Schumer, right, at a National Grid substation in Clay on Monday, Aug. 1, 2022. (Rick Moriarty | rmoriarty@syracuse.com)

How a fast-growing Syracuse company could benefit from CHIPS Act money (PS; $; Moriarty)

The CHIPS and Science Act signed by President Joe Biden on Tuesday includes $52 billion in incentives for companies to open semiconductor factories in the U.S.

But a lesser-known bit of funding in the bill could benefit a growing Syracuse company.

The act contains $1.5 billion to promote U.S.-based development of 5G networks that can compete with Chinese companies such as Huawei, which dominates the 5G industry.

JMA Wireless, which opened a $50 million 5G factory on Syracuse’s South Side last month and moved its headquarters there from Clay, is currently the only company that makes 5G equipment in the United States. That gives JMA a running start on grabbing some of the $1.5 billion in grants that the bill makes available for 5G development.

The grants will be limited to no more than $50 million for any one research project, so there’s plenty of money there for multiple companies to benefit.

The factory opened by JMA on Tallman Street in July is the first of what the company says will be a multi-building 5G campus. It will employ 200 people to start.
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