Forget the 2003 comparisons, how about 2012 vs. 2010 ? | Syracusefan.com

Forget the 2003 comparisons, how about 2012 vs. 2010 ?

IthacaMatt

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To me, that's the comparison to make. The 2010 team was a #1 seed, dominant team.

The 2003 team was unheralded, but got better as the season went along. Nobody compares to Melo. He could score at will. As good as Hakim was, he wasn't his senior self yet; he was still deferring on offense to Melo & Gerry. So forget comparisons to the 2003 team. This team doesn't stack up in terms of talent. Offensively, the 2003 team was a juggernaut by tourney time. This team is not that strong.

Comparisons to the 2010 and 2009 teams seem more fitting to me.


2012 vs. 2010 - 2010 team had a more physical presence to defend low post players. Arinze and Rick were both more earthbound than Fab and Baye, but could body up against low post players and played very good positional defense. Those guys rebounded better than Fab and Baye, too. Plus both were offensive threats who were good for 60% from the field. We have no low post game to speak of with this year's centers, although both of them are more effective than Forth was in 2003. However, neither of the 2010 guys could hit a foul shot to save their lives, which our centers this year can actually do. Our centers this year are better shot blockers and more mobile on defense, as well.

In terms of the forwards, Wes Johnson, Rick sometimes at the 4 and sophomore Kris as the 6th man sparkplug, versus Senior Kris, C.J., James and Christmas. Wes was a better talent than any of them. Better shot blocker, better weak side rebounder than Kris (but maybe not Fair...), and had a better 3 point shot. Wes was Kris' equal, or close to it, running the break. If Christmas can suddenly turn it on and begin to give us some rebounding in the next 6-8 weeks, we will be a much better team for it, but right now, 2010 looks better at the forward position.

2010 guards - Andy, Scoop and Triche sharing PG, vs. Senior Scoop, Dion, Triche and Mike C-W. Andy - best 3 point shooter of the group by far, excellent defensive player, very good passer, pushed the ball well on the break, found the open man, but forced too many passes and turned it over too much. Scoop and Triche splitting PG duties in 2010 - Scoop was more effective, but Brandon was a solid rotation guy. 2012 - Dion is the best driving guard we've had since Flynn, but is more powerful. Nobody on this team can shoot 3's as well as Andy, but we have more guys who are consistent, to the point that all 3 primary guards on the 2012 team are better than Scoop / Triche in 2010. Better penetration on this team by far compared to 2010.

To me, the 2010 team was a better team, but not as deep. The injury to Arinze derailed what should have been a Final Four team. I'm not sure that they would have won the championship, but they were close. This year's team is not as well rounded as the 2010 team - we don't have the inside outside balance, and we don't have the dead-eye shooters.

But this year's team comes at people in waves and wears them down. They play better defense in terms of forcing turnovers and getting out on the break. This year's team is constructed to withstand injuries and off nights much better than the 2010 team, where there was less margin for error. I think this year's team still has to get better in the half court to compare to the 2010 team. I'm concerned that JB talking up Dion may make him go all Jonny Flynn on us, and start hogging the ball, pounding the dribble at the top of the key, looking to drive every time he touches it.

Apparently JB thinks that Dion is our key to the promised land. He definitely dissed Kris Joseph in the post game comments (when I was saying Kris was pissed at Dion for not passing) - JB made a point of saying, "Scoop is our only leader" - that was quite a shot at Kris, who already was sulking. But Kris had just played 34 minutes (a season high, I believe) and only got 2 rebounds. So maybe Kris needed to be called out.

I don't think this team is as good as 2010 yet, although they might get there. We look on track to get a #1 seed, which gives you automatic entry into the Sweet 16. If we can't make a Final Four this year, I will be deeply disappointed.
 
I'm trying to find out rebounding stats from '10...but from what I remember..I loved the Wes-Ricky-AO line from a rebounding stand point.

The same way the Forth/McNeil-Melo-Hak line was in the zone.

It's what worries me about this year's team.

Can KJo or Fair get a board in a key spot like Melo or Wes did? I hope so...but not betting on it.
 
That '10 team was made for a final four run. Combination of Onuokus injury and facing Butler was too much to overcome.
 
Assuming orangehoops.org is correct, Fab is actually rebouding at a higher rate than AO did in 2009-10. Fab's average according to SU through 19 games is 5.4 rpg. AO's average for the season according to orangehoops.org was just 5.1. I actually feel like Fab's rebounding has been improving which I guess technically it has because he is averaging 5.5 in Big East play. They both play similar minutes per game around 22 mpg.

I am surprised that AO's numbers were that low.
 
As much as I loved the 2010 team, I think this team is a little better. That said, in 2010 I felt we were clearly the best team in the country. This year I'm not as sure.
 
As much as I loved the 2010 team, I think this team is a little better. That said, in 2010 I felt we were clearly the best team in the country. This year I'm not as sure.

I feel the same way. When the '10 team was rolling (cal and carolina at msg, nova and gtown at the dome), i had no doubt we were the best team and pretty much unbeatable. Even though we've been blowing teams out, i still dont get the sense we're clearly the best team. Maybe its because the big east is so down its hard to get a good feel on how good we truly are. If we roll through nd and cincy this week im sure ill feel differently.
 
i think both teams were great and had/have a chance to win it all. But i would favor this team, we are bigger down low and i think our defense would help us alot. Dion BT and Scoop facing essentially Andy, a frosh, and Scoop's 2nd yr. I think our guards would eat them apart and wouldnt be able to handle it. This year with our depth we would be able to press that team that really couldnt handle the press all that well.
 
Great analysis. I think this year's team is a little better. As great as the 2010 team was, it had to fight back from 19 down against a BAD DePaul and also had to fight back from 13 down against a bad (and Gonzo coached) Seton Hall. I just can't see this year's version ever getting off to such a horrible start - slow start yes, but not having to eek out a win against the dregs of the Big East.

Also, I think this year's Scoop and BT would handle whatever pressure Andy gave them at the top of the zone much better than the 2010 version would hand Dion's pressure at the top of the zone. That and our depth would be the difference, and I think the 12 Orange wins by 8.
 
Neither Fab nor AO are/were great on the defensive glass. Both did awesome work on the offensive boards.
 
Great topic. The 2010 team at full strength probably looked more spectacular on the highlight reel, but the 2012 team is more steady and relentless. Either team could beat the other on a given night. The question is really who would win in a series, say best of 7.

To compare, you want to assume both teams are completely healthy. Don't forget that the 2010 team didn't play well for a long stretch after Wes took a bad fall in a home game --was it against Gtown on 1/25, or UConn 2/10? Wes looked like he was back to 100% strength only in the second round of the NCAA tournament against Gonzaga, after AO was already gone. So to look at the 2010 team at full strength, you have to look at them mid-season right before Wes' injury. Otherwise it's not particularly close -- this year is a notch better.

Though the two teams are fairly comparable at full strength, I'd still vote for the 2012 team to win a best-of-7 series 4-3. This year's team is far less turnover-prone, and they are far better able to absorb off nights from key players.
 
I think a healthy 2010 team could go big against us and keep Jackson at the 4. Offensively, Ricky and Arinze would go nuts against Fab and the Christmas/Fair/South platoon.
 
I think a healthy 2010 team could go big against us and keep Jackson at the 4. Offensively, Ricky and Arinze would go nuts against Fab and the Christmas/Fair/South platoon.

The 2010 Big Boyz would get Fab and Baye and Xmas in foul trouble - but would then miss all the foul shots, giving 2012 the win !!
 
The 2010 Big Boyz would get Fab and Baye and Xmas in foul trouble - but would then miss all the foul shots, giving 2012 the win !!

The great equalizer. Hadn't considered that possibility.
 
I was just thinking about this comparison recently. Tough call, but if I'd have to choose, I'd probably go 2010 because of much better inside scoring. Now if this team wins it all, all bets are off.
 
That '10 team was made for a final four run. Combination of Onuokus injury and facing Butler was too much to overcome.
Without the injury, Butler was no concern. Injury changed everything.
 

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