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Las Vegas sets Syracuse football's over-under win total at 4.5

Discussion in 'Syracuse Football Board' started by bevosu, May 15, 2018 at 2:50 PM.

  1. bevosu

    bevosu All American

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  2. Trueblue25

    Trueblue25 Great Dungey’s Kneecap

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  3. FrancoPizza

    FrancoPizza All Conference

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    That's what they projected last year, and it was spot on. Vegas does their homework, so this has me concerned. Figured we'd come in at 5.5 at least.
     
    SoBeCuse likes this.
  4. Trueblue25

    Trueblue25 Great Dungey’s Kneecap

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    I’d have to imagine a large portion of concern is coming from the WR position. I have faith Dino will have that group ready and next in line behind amba and steve
     
  5. OrangeDW

    OrangeDW Living Legend

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    Year 3 + senior QB and better QB depth + easier schedule = most likely an improved record barring a disastrous run of injuries or something.

    I think we get 5 or hopefully 6.
     
  6. rrlbees

    rrlbees 2017 ESPN Tourney Challenge Winner Staff Member

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    they don't really do their homework other to set win totals, like they do lines, at what they think bettors will do. its as much perception as anything.
     
  7. upperdeck

    upperdeck Living Legend

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    even so we had 4 wins last year and didnt really have any good stuff happen late in any game to get to 5-6 wins.
     
    OrangeDW likes this.
  8. OburgOrange

    OburgOrange All American

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    They’re on drugs
     
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  9. elimunelson

    elimunelson Starter

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    i mean it's the right line. gun to head i'm taking the over but a reasonable person can see a 3 win season also
     
    orange_in_VA likes this.
  10. Trueblue25

    Trueblue25 Great Dungey’s Kneecap

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    They’re betting on Dungey getting hurt maybe then.

    Thing is, the officers not march out onto the field this season. Tommy is.
     
    orange_in_VA likes this.
  11. 007

    007 All Conference

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    No. They are betting on people on both sides of the O/U thinking it's "free money."
     
    Last edited: May 15, 2018 at 5:19 PM
  12. djorange1989

    djorange1989 All American

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    dead on. Guessing they didn't have Purdue and Iowa State with more than 3-4 wins last year and those were wrong, Vegas gets it wrong sometimes too, including this time. 6 wins.
     
  13. DBCooper

    DBCooper Walk On

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    No reasonable person that knows what they are talking about thinks Syracuse will win less than four games.
     
    Chris02M and OrangeMojo like this.
  14. CarolinaCuse

    CarolinaCuse Scout Team

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    I'm not a gambler but I'm tempted on this one. Vegas can suck it.
     
  15. SUFaninNJ

    SUFaninNJ All American

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    I lost money 3 years ago taking the over when the line was 4.5. I thought I was in good shape early.
     
    MSOrange and two3zone like this.
  16. Cuseregular

    Cuseregular All American

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    This ain't 3 years ago, take the over.
     
  17. 690West

    690West Moneyline Master

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    I just cashed in my kid's 529's. All in....Over or Bryant and Stratton.
     
  18. LAOrange

    LAOrange 2nd String

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    Bet the house. The schedule alone will get us there.
     
    two3zone likes this.
  19. cliftonparksufan

    cliftonparksufan Iggy Award Magistrate

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    The world needs ditch diggers too.
     
  20. Ish88888

    Ish88888 All Conference

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    Yes, last year with that crazy schedule. This year with ED healthy we get 6+. But, again, with ED healthy. Hell, even if TD is summoned , i like 6+.
     
  21. Ish88888

    Ish88888 All Conference

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    The 4.5 is based on people bettors that see SU football and its rep the last 10 years, not people that actually follow recruiting and the program. That's where vegas went wrong .
     
  22. orange79

    orange79 Internet Sleuth Staff Member

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    Vegas didn't go wrong. This is what Bees is saying above. Vegas isn't in the business of accurately predicting game spreads. Vegas is in the business of making money. They set their spreads, not based on what they actually believe will happen, but on what they believe will draw approximately even betting on either side of the bet. It's all about predicting public perception.

    At least that's what sharps like 690West tell me. ;)
     
    General20, SUskibum, two3zone and 5 others like this.
  23. rocklloyd

    rocklloyd All Conference

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    Knowing what we know, I like the over. 4 wins would be a failure in my mind
     
  24. money3189

    money3189 All Conference

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  25. OrangeinBoston

    OrangeinBoston Starter

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    And what exactly do we know?
    1. That we have no idea how the top 2 WRs will be replaced.
    2. That the LBs will be largely untested.
    3. That the same less-than-spectacular RBs are back.
    4. We really don't know if the OL is any better.
    5. We don't know if DL depth is any better.

    Vegas evaluation, AT THIS TIME WITHOUT FURTHER EVIDENCE, is spot on. No answers to these questions probably until game 3 of the season.
     
    Ish88888 likes this.