SWC75
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I’ll continue doing a statistical analysis of games this year with some of the off-beat numbers I like to look at. I’ll post them after each game, probably the next day.
The first thing I’ll look at is “NET POINTS”. The idea is that each statistic in the box score is arguably worth a point, (that is, somewhere between 0.5 and 1.5 points). A point is a point. Teams score an average of a point per possession so anything that gets you possession is a point. A missed shot will more often than not wind up in the possession of the other team. Most baskets are for two points so if the passer who set up the shot is given half credit, that’s worth a point. One half of the blocked shots will likely have gone in and they are almost always two pointers, so that’s a point. If you add up the “positives”, (points, + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) and subtract the “negatives”, (missed field goals, missed free throws, turnovers and fouls), you have a number that summarizes a player’s statistical contributions to a game. Then, by averaging the net points per 40 minutes of play, you factor out differences in playing time and have a look at the player’s rate of production. Both are important. The game is won based on what you actually did, not the rate at which you did it. But the rate is a better measure of the skills you can bring to the game.
Of course, there are things player do both on and off the court that contribute to victory. Leadership, hard work, keeping the team loose, scrambling for loose balls, (that could be a statistic: when neither team is in control of the ball, who winds up with it?), sneaker-sneaker defense, keeping the ball moving on offense, etc. etc. My experience is that with rare exceptions, the players who are the most statistically productive are the ones who grade highest in the things not measured by statistics, as well.
Here are the NET POINTS of our scholarship player in the most recent game and their averages per 40 minutes of play for the season, (exhibitions games not included):
C. J. Fair………………. 22NP in 29 minutes season: 116NP in 319 minutes per 40: 14.5
Trevor Cooney…… 20NP in 26 minutes season: 126NP in 263 minutes per 40: 19.2
Jerami Grant……….. 18NP in 18 minutes season: 100NP in 211 minutes per 40: 19.0
DaJuan Coleman…. 17NP in 22 minutes season: 65NP in 137 minutes per 40: 19.0
Michael Gbinije …. 11NP in 15 minutes season: 40NP in 137 minutes per 40: 11.7
Ron Patterson…….. 7NP in 15 minutes season: 11NP in 38 minutes per 40: 11.6
Tyler Roberson……. 4NP in 14 minutes season: 12NP in 51 minutes per 40: 11.6
Rakeem Christmas 3NP in 10 minutes season: 53NP in 187 minutes per 40: 11.3
Baye Moussa Keita 0NP in 13minutes season: 24NP in 130 minutes per 40: 7.4
Tyler Ennis………….. -2NP in 19 minutes season: 121NP in 279 minutes per 40: 17.3
B. J. Johnson……….. -4NP in 14 minutes season: -5NP in 40 minutes per 40: -5.0
Comment: Tyler Ennis’ Hall of Fame plaque is on hold for the moment. Trevor Cooney si suddenly the best player on the team. Jerami Grant and DaJuan Coleman both had strong comeback games and their average shot up as a result. Baye Moussa Keita continues to be disturbingly unproductive. Michael Gbinije had a strong game and Tyler Roberson and Ron Patterson did well. BJ Johnson is secruign a spot at the end of the bench.
Tyler Ennis has led in net points 4 times, no mean feat for a guard. CJ Fair has now eld 3 times and Trevor Cooney twice, (once tied with Ennis. DaJuan Coleman has led the team in net points once in games this year.
Possession:
Before you can score you’ve got to get the rock. Syracuse had 21 offensive and 24 defensive rebounds. They had 13 offensive and 23 defensive rebounds. When we missed we got the ball 21 of 44 times, (47.7%). When they missed, they got the ball 13 of 37 times (35.1%). We’ve averaged getting 42.4% of our misses and our opposition has gotten 33.1% of theirs. We have won the rebounding battle by this measure 6 times in 9 games, (this was the first since the Minnesota game).
Of our 9 turnovers, 3 were their steals and 6 were our own miscues. Of their 18 turnovers, 12 were Syracuse steals and 6 were their fault. Syracuse has had fewer turnovers in all games, (88-156) and are also ahead in unforced errors, (48-60). That’s very impressive for a team with a young backcourt.
If you add our 45 rebounds to their 18 turnovers, we had 63 “manufactured possessions”. They had 36 + 9 = 45, so we were +18. We’ve won that battle every time this season, with an average margin of +12.9, It’s the main reason we are 9-0. But what happens when we lose this battle?
Shooting:
It’s still what the game is all about. We were 20 for 36, (.556), inside the arc, 13 for 36, (.361), outside it and 14 for 24 (.583) from the line. They were 13/28, (.464), 6/22 (.273) and 21 for 32, (.656). It’s interesting that Syracuse, the larger team took 36 three pointers, and went to the line 8 fewer times. JB attributed it to Binghamton playing zone. He said that shooting three pointers is what teams do to us so we decided to do it to them. On the season, Syracuse is shooting .497/.364/.686, the opposition .497/.359/.692. Here are our two point percentages for every year of this decade: 2009-10: .571-.462 (+109), 2010-11: .562-.444 (+118), 2011-12: .519-.425 (+94), 2012-13: .485-.425 (+60). So far this year, (9 games but 5 games against opponents we should dominate inside): .497-.497 = even.
We had 93 points, 34 in the paint, 39 from the arc and 14 from the line so we scored 6 points from what I’ll call the “Twilight Zone”: that area between the paint and the arc that is the land of the pull-up jump shot, a lost art but a great weapon. They had 65-20-18-21 =6 points in the Twilight Zone. Overall, we had 45 POP: Points Outside the Paint to 24 for them. So far this year Syracuse is averaging 27 POP, 8 from the TZ, the opposition 28/4.
24 of our 33 baskets were assisted (.727) and 9 of their 19 (.474), an indication that you get more assists the more jump shots you attempt. And the more you depend on jump shots, the more likely you are to lose. For the year we are assisting on 52.5% of our baskets to 61.4% for the opposition, who have had more assists and a higher percentage in 6 of 9 games, all of which we’ve won. .
You compute “Offensive Efficiency” by taking field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted and dividing that into the number of points. We were 72 FGA -21 OREBs + 9 TOs + (.475 x 24) = 71.4 possessions. They were 50 – 13 + 18 + (.475 x 32) = 70.2 possessions. Since possessions shouldn’t be more than one off, I’ll count that as 71 possessions in which we scored 93 points, (1.310) and 70 possessions in which they scored 65 points, (0.929). For the year we are 1.195 vs. 0.929. We’ve been more efficient than our opposition in every game so far, which is also why we are 9-0.
Every other level of basketball plays quarters. To check the consistency of our performance, I look at what the score was at the 10 minute mark of each half to see what the quarterly scores would be. At a minimum, I think we want to score at least 15 points in each quarter and try to hold the opposition to less than that. The quarterly breakdown for this game: 26-15, 28-15, 22-17, 17-18. The average for the season is: 17-13, 21-17, 20-15, 19-17, (it takes a while for both teams to get warmed up, apparently). We’ve won 24 quarters, lost 10 and tied 2. We’ve scored at least 15 in 31 of 36 quarters and held the opposition under that 14 times.
Hubert Davis once told us to “Get an offensive dude”. I decided to name an “Offensive Dude Of the Game, or an O-Dog. and use the hockey concept of points + assists. In this game, CJ Fair scored 19 points and passed for 3 assists for 22 hockey points to lead the team in this game. So far C.J. Fair’s done it 5 times, Tyler Ennis 3 times, Trevor Cooney twice and Jerami Grant has done it once .
I also like to keep track who sits us down in each half. Besides being fun it gives an indication of who Coach B likes to design plays for since opening possessions are more likely to be scripted that those later in the game, (although sometimes we don’t score until later in the game). Tyler Ennis sat us down with a trey 1:29 into the first half. DaJuan Coleman did 14 seconds into the second half with a lay-up. CJ Fair has now sat us down 6 times, Trevor Cooney, Tyler Ennis and Coleman have now sat us down 4 times each.
The first thing I’ll look at is “NET POINTS”. The idea is that each statistic in the box score is arguably worth a point, (that is, somewhere between 0.5 and 1.5 points). A point is a point. Teams score an average of a point per possession so anything that gets you possession is a point. A missed shot will more often than not wind up in the possession of the other team. Most baskets are for two points so if the passer who set up the shot is given half credit, that’s worth a point. One half of the blocked shots will likely have gone in and they are almost always two pointers, so that’s a point. If you add up the “positives”, (points, + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) and subtract the “negatives”, (missed field goals, missed free throws, turnovers and fouls), you have a number that summarizes a player’s statistical contributions to a game. Then, by averaging the net points per 40 minutes of play, you factor out differences in playing time and have a look at the player’s rate of production. Both are important. The game is won based on what you actually did, not the rate at which you did it. But the rate is a better measure of the skills you can bring to the game.
Of course, there are things player do both on and off the court that contribute to victory. Leadership, hard work, keeping the team loose, scrambling for loose balls, (that could be a statistic: when neither team is in control of the ball, who winds up with it?), sneaker-sneaker defense, keeping the ball moving on offense, etc. etc. My experience is that with rare exceptions, the players who are the most statistically productive are the ones who grade highest in the things not measured by statistics, as well.
Here are the NET POINTS of our scholarship player in the most recent game and their averages per 40 minutes of play for the season, (exhibitions games not included):
C. J. Fair………………. 22NP in 29 minutes season: 116NP in 319 minutes per 40: 14.5
Trevor Cooney…… 20NP in 26 minutes season: 126NP in 263 minutes per 40: 19.2
Jerami Grant……….. 18NP in 18 minutes season: 100NP in 211 minutes per 40: 19.0
DaJuan Coleman…. 17NP in 22 minutes season: 65NP in 137 minutes per 40: 19.0
Michael Gbinije …. 11NP in 15 minutes season: 40NP in 137 minutes per 40: 11.7
Ron Patterson…….. 7NP in 15 minutes season: 11NP in 38 minutes per 40: 11.6
Tyler Roberson……. 4NP in 14 minutes season: 12NP in 51 minutes per 40: 11.6
Rakeem Christmas 3NP in 10 minutes season: 53NP in 187 minutes per 40: 11.3
Baye Moussa Keita 0NP in 13minutes season: 24NP in 130 minutes per 40: 7.4
Tyler Ennis………….. -2NP in 19 minutes season: 121NP in 279 minutes per 40: 17.3
B. J. Johnson……….. -4NP in 14 minutes season: -5NP in 40 minutes per 40: -5.0
Comment: Tyler Ennis’ Hall of Fame plaque is on hold for the moment. Trevor Cooney si suddenly the best player on the team. Jerami Grant and DaJuan Coleman both had strong comeback games and their average shot up as a result. Baye Moussa Keita continues to be disturbingly unproductive. Michael Gbinije had a strong game and Tyler Roberson and Ron Patterson did well. BJ Johnson is secruign a spot at the end of the bench.
Tyler Ennis has led in net points 4 times, no mean feat for a guard. CJ Fair has now eld 3 times and Trevor Cooney twice, (once tied with Ennis. DaJuan Coleman has led the team in net points once in games this year.
Possession:
Before you can score you’ve got to get the rock. Syracuse had 21 offensive and 24 defensive rebounds. They had 13 offensive and 23 defensive rebounds. When we missed we got the ball 21 of 44 times, (47.7%). When they missed, they got the ball 13 of 37 times (35.1%). We’ve averaged getting 42.4% of our misses and our opposition has gotten 33.1% of theirs. We have won the rebounding battle by this measure 6 times in 9 games, (this was the first since the Minnesota game).
Of our 9 turnovers, 3 were their steals and 6 were our own miscues. Of their 18 turnovers, 12 were Syracuse steals and 6 were their fault. Syracuse has had fewer turnovers in all games, (88-156) and are also ahead in unforced errors, (48-60). That’s very impressive for a team with a young backcourt.
If you add our 45 rebounds to their 18 turnovers, we had 63 “manufactured possessions”. They had 36 + 9 = 45, so we were +18. We’ve won that battle every time this season, with an average margin of +12.9, It’s the main reason we are 9-0. But what happens when we lose this battle?
Shooting:
It’s still what the game is all about. We were 20 for 36, (.556), inside the arc, 13 for 36, (.361), outside it and 14 for 24 (.583) from the line. They were 13/28, (.464), 6/22 (.273) and 21 for 32, (.656). It’s interesting that Syracuse, the larger team took 36 three pointers, and went to the line 8 fewer times. JB attributed it to Binghamton playing zone. He said that shooting three pointers is what teams do to us so we decided to do it to them. On the season, Syracuse is shooting .497/.364/.686, the opposition .497/.359/.692. Here are our two point percentages for every year of this decade: 2009-10: .571-.462 (+109), 2010-11: .562-.444 (+118), 2011-12: .519-.425 (+94), 2012-13: .485-.425 (+60). So far this year, (9 games but 5 games against opponents we should dominate inside): .497-.497 = even.
We had 93 points, 34 in the paint, 39 from the arc and 14 from the line so we scored 6 points from what I’ll call the “Twilight Zone”: that area between the paint and the arc that is the land of the pull-up jump shot, a lost art but a great weapon. They had 65-20-18-21 =6 points in the Twilight Zone. Overall, we had 45 POP: Points Outside the Paint to 24 for them. So far this year Syracuse is averaging 27 POP, 8 from the TZ, the opposition 28/4.
24 of our 33 baskets were assisted (.727) and 9 of their 19 (.474), an indication that you get more assists the more jump shots you attempt. And the more you depend on jump shots, the more likely you are to lose. For the year we are assisting on 52.5% of our baskets to 61.4% for the opposition, who have had more assists and a higher percentage in 6 of 9 games, all of which we’ve won. .
You compute “Offensive Efficiency” by taking field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted and dividing that into the number of points. We were 72 FGA -21 OREBs + 9 TOs + (.475 x 24) = 71.4 possessions. They were 50 – 13 + 18 + (.475 x 32) = 70.2 possessions. Since possessions shouldn’t be more than one off, I’ll count that as 71 possessions in which we scored 93 points, (1.310) and 70 possessions in which they scored 65 points, (0.929). For the year we are 1.195 vs. 0.929. We’ve been more efficient than our opposition in every game so far, which is also why we are 9-0.
Every other level of basketball plays quarters. To check the consistency of our performance, I look at what the score was at the 10 minute mark of each half to see what the quarterly scores would be. At a minimum, I think we want to score at least 15 points in each quarter and try to hold the opposition to less than that. The quarterly breakdown for this game: 26-15, 28-15, 22-17, 17-18. The average for the season is: 17-13, 21-17, 20-15, 19-17, (it takes a while for both teams to get warmed up, apparently). We’ve won 24 quarters, lost 10 and tied 2. We’ve scored at least 15 in 31 of 36 quarters and held the opposition under that 14 times.
Hubert Davis once told us to “Get an offensive dude”. I decided to name an “Offensive Dude Of the Game, or an O-Dog. and use the hockey concept of points + assists. In this game, CJ Fair scored 19 points and passed for 3 assists for 22 hockey points to lead the team in this game. So far C.J. Fair’s done it 5 times, Tyler Ennis 3 times, Trevor Cooney twice and Jerami Grant has done it once .
I also like to keep track who sits us down in each half. Besides being fun it gives an indication of who Coach B likes to design plays for since opening possessions are more likely to be scripted that those later in the game, (although sometimes we don’t score until later in the game). Tyler Ennis sat us down with a trey 1:29 into the first half. DaJuan Coleman did 14 seconds into the second half with a lay-up. CJ Fair has now sat us down 6 times, Trevor Cooney, Tyler Ennis and Coleman have now sat us down 4 times each.