SWC75
Bored Historian
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We aspire to be a top 25 programs so I’m comparing the performances of our best players in passing, running and receiving to the performances top 25 teams tend to get.
The average quarterback of a top 25 team last year completed 224 of 351 passes (65.8%) for 2895 yards, 23TDs and 9 interceptions. That’s 12.9 yards per completion, 8.3 yards per attempt and an NCAA quarterback rating of 149.6.
Ryan Nassib, if you multiply his numbers by 12/7, is on pace to wind up with 254 of 384 passes, (66.1%) for 2611 yards, 26TDs and 7 interceptions. That’s 10.3 yards per completion, 6.8 yards per attempt and an NCAA quarterback rating of 142.0. After slipping for several weeks, his numbers are looking much more like that pof a top 25 quarterback. The thing that’s still missing is the vertical passing game. But with the continued development of the offensive line, the running game and the short passing game, I see that as becoming a bigger part of our offense in the second half of the season. Expect more Pinstripe-like performances down the line.
The average top running back for a top 25 team last year carried the ball 199 times for 1093 yards, (5.5 yards per attempt) and 12TDs.
Antwon Bailey, when you multiply his numbers by 12/7, is on pace for 250 carries for 1162 yards, (4.6) and 10TDS. He’s still gaining 78% of our rushing yards compared to 68% for Delone Carter last year. (Carter also averaged 5.3 yards per carry despite not being as fast.) We’re still looking for that sidekick that he was to carter. It seems that Jerome Smith, not Adonis Ameen Moore, is being groomed for that role while Moore is being used as a goal-line guy. I will always feel that we need more than one running threat in the game at the same time. Antwon is on a pace for 24 receptions for 163 yards and no scores after getting 35/306/3 last year. His role as a primary runner is limiting his greatest quality: his versatility. If he was paired with a power-running fullback, he’d be a more effective player. I’m encouraged that Nassib is occasionally running on a planned run or roll-out. We don’t want him hurt but it gives the defense something else to think about.
The average leading receiver for a top 25 team last caught 63 passes for 947 yards, (15.0), and 8 TDs.
Alec Lemon is on a pace to catch 58 passes for 602 yards, (10.4) and 5 TDs. Van Chew is on a pace for 39 catches for 566 yards, (14.5) and 5TDs. Basically a top 25 ace receiver is a combination of Alec Lemon and Van Chew. Nick Provo has passed Chew in receptions and is on a pace for 48 for 559 yards (11.6) and 9 big TDs. Dorian Graham is coming on as a receiving threat and is on pace for 31 receptions, 355 yards (11.4) and 3TDs. The thing is, he’s the one guy with deep speed yet we have him running possession routes. When we break out with the vertical game, he’ll be the guy.
The average quarterback of a top 25 team last year completed 224 of 351 passes (65.8%) for 2895 yards, 23TDs and 9 interceptions. That’s 12.9 yards per completion, 8.3 yards per attempt and an NCAA quarterback rating of 149.6.
Ryan Nassib, if you multiply his numbers by 12/7, is on pace to wind up with 254 of 384 passes, (66.1%) for 2611 yards, 26TDs and 7 interceptions. That’s 10.3 yards per completion, 6.8 yards per attempt and an NCAA quarterback rating of 142.0. After slipping for several weeks, his numbers are looking much more like that pof a top 25 quarterback. The thing that’s still missing is the vertical passing game. But with the continued development of the offensive line, the running game and the short passing game, I see that as becoming a bigger part of our offense in the second half of the season. Expect more Pinstripe-like performances down the line.
The average top running back for a top 25 team last year carried the ball 199 times for 1093 yards, (5.5 yards per attempt) and 12TDs.
Antwon Bailey, when you multiply his numbers by 12/7, is on pace for 250 carries for 1162 yards, (4.6) and 10TDS. He’s still gaining 78% of our rushing yards compared to 68% for Delone Carter last year. (Carter also averaged 5.3 yards per carry despite not being as fast.) We’re still looking for that sidekick that he was to carter. It seems that Jerome Smith, not Adonis Ameen Moore, is being groomed for that role while Moore is being used as a goal-line guy. I will always feel that we need more than one running threat in the game at the same time. Antwon is on a pace for 24 receptions for 163 yards and no scores after getting 35/306/3 last year. His role as a primary runner is limiting his greatest quality: his versatility. If he was paired with a power-running fullback, he’d be a more effective player. I’m encouraged that Nassib is occasionally running on a planned run or roll-out. We don’t want him hurt but it gives the defense something else to think about.
The average leading receiver for a top 25 team last caught 63 passes for 947 yards, (15.0), and 8 TDs.
Alec Lemon is on a pace to catch 58 passes for 602 yards, (10.4) and 5 TDs. Van Chew is on a pace for 39 catches for 566 yards, (14.5) and 5TDs. Basically a top 25 ace receiver is a combination of Alec Lemon and Van Chew. Nick Provo has passed Chew in receptions and is on a pace for 48 for 559 yards (11.6) and 9 big TDs. Dorian Graham is coming on as a receiving threat and is on pace for 31 receptions, 355 yards (11.4) and 3TDs. The thing is, he’s the one guy with deep speed yet we have him running possession routes. When we break out with the vertical game, he’ll be the guy.
