Updated Odds to win the National Title (entering the round of 32)

[jncuse]

Per Bet 365. Any thoughts on good value / bad value?

Odds updated before Sunday games
Gonzaga +220 +200
Arizona +550
Kansas +900 +525
Baylor +1100 n/a
Auburn +1200 +1400
Duke +1400 +1500
Purdue +1400 +1300
Tennessee +1800 n/a
Texas Tech +2200 +2000
Houston +2200 +1800
Villanova +2500 +2000
UCLA +3000 +1700
Texas +3500
Illinois +4000
Wisconsin +6000 +5000
Arkansas +7500 +4000
Michigan +8000 +4000
St. Mary's +8000 n/a
Providence +10000 +5000
North Carolina +10000 +1800
St Peters n/a +7000
Murray State +10000 n/a
Memphis +15000 n/a
Ohio St +15000 +8000
Michigan St +15000
TCU +15000 +20000
Richmond +20000 n/a
Notre Dame +20000
Seton Hall +20000 n/a
Creighton +25000 n/a
Iowa State +25000 +20000

If I had to pick a team it would be Gonzaga, but +220 is too high for me. Would not touch it.
I like Tennessee at +1800... they are playing very strong to end the year.
For a long shot nothing immediately jumps out at me.

That being said I made most of my picks in early December and some i February and already have 10 teams (7 left). Will not add to that list because at that point I will have diluted my bet too much. At the time of the bet I Got Arizona at 20-1, Providence at 80-1, Purdue 10-1, Auburn 60-1, Baylor 16-1, Tennessee 70-1, Wisconsin 80-1 (Out Iowa 100-1, San Francisco 150-1, USC 80-1).

 

[bevosu]

I wouldn't put a penny on Seton Hall.

 

[UpstateSM]

Per Bet 365. Any thoughts on good value / bad value?

Gonzaga +220
Arizona +550
Kansas +900
Baylor +1100
Auburn +1200
Duke +1400
Purdue +1400
Tennessee +1800
Texas Tech +2200
Houston +2200
Villanova +2500
UCLA +3000
Texas +3500
Illinois +4000
Wisconsin +6000
Arkansas +7500
Michigan +8000
St. Mary's +8000
Providence +10000
North Carolina +10000
Murray State +10000
Memphis +15000
Ohio St +15000
Michigan St +15000
TCU +15000
Richmond +20000
Notre Dame +20000
Seton Hall +20000
Creighton +25000
Iowa State +25000

If I had to pick a team it would be Gonzaga, but +220 is too high for me. Would not touch it.
I like Tennessee at +1800... they are playing very strong to end the year.
For a long shot nothing immediately jumps out at me.

That being said I made most of my picks in early December and some i February and already have 10 teams (7 left). Will not add to that list because at that point I will have diluted my bet too much. At the time of the bet I Got Arizona at 20-1, Providence at 80-1, Purdue 10-1, Auburn 60-1, Baylor 16-1, Tennessee 70-1, Wisconsin 80-1 (Out Iowa 100-1, San Francisco 150-1, USC 80-1).

You better grab that number on Villanova other books are hanging +1200

 

[orangenauburn]

Per Bet 365. Any thoughts on good value / bad value?

Gonzaga +220
Arizona +550
Kansas +900
Baylor +1100
Auburn +1200
Duke +1400
Purdue +1400
Tennessee +1800
Texas Tech +2200
Houston +2200
Villanova +2500
UCLA +3000
Texas +3500
Illinois +4000
Wisconsin +6000
Arkansas +7500
Michigan +8000
St. Mary's +8000
Providence +10000
North Carolina +10000
Murray State +10000
Memphis +15000
Ohio St +15000
Michigan St +15000
TCU +15000
Richmond +20000
Notre Dame +20000
Seton Hall +20000
Creighton +25000
Iowa State +25000

If I had to pick a team it would be Gonzaga, but +220 is too high for me. Would not touch it.
I like Tennessee at +1800... they are playing very strong to end the year.
For a long shot nothing immediately jumps out at me.

That being said I made most of my picks in early December and some i February and already have 10 teams (7 left). Will not add to that list because at that point I will have diluted my bet too much. At the time of the bet I Got Arizona at 20-1, Providence at 80-1, Purdue 10-1, Auburn 60-1, Baylor 16-1, Tennessee 70-1, Wisconsin 80-1 (Out Iowa 100-1, San Francisco 150-1, USC 80-1).

Arizona, Kansas, Baylor are still nice.

Nova 2500 is tempting

 

[UpstateSM]

Totally forgot that I’m holding a Providence 150-1.

Also have standing an Arizona 18-1, a heavy Texas Tech 50-1, a Murray State 250-1 and a Final Four 45-1, and a Providence Final Four 25-1. Had Kentucky 25-1, sadly.

Added St. Mary’s 80-1 and Nova 21-1 tonight.

 

[jncuse]

I wouldn't put a penny on Seton Hall.

Ha, Not sure why they were on the list. Went back and checked and they are still there,

 

[jncuse]

You better grab that number on Villanova other books are hanging +1200

I don't really like Nova and didn't want to dilute my title bets any further, but I decided to add Villanova based on this above info.. They were still at +2500.

I better get a Final 4 team out of that region now, since I also got Arizona and Tennessee at great odds in December as per above.

 

[PoppyHart]

TTU

 

[FRANKIEFAN]

Auburn. Jabari Smith reminds me of Melo. Their team reminds me of us in 2003.

And if Jabari Parker can win a title his one and done so can Jabari Smith.

 

[upperdeck]

B10 was lucky to avoid an epic collapse. Ill/Pur/Wisc all very lucky to escape as high seeds. MSU was on the ropes until David forgot how to shoot as well.

My long shot once you get past the top 3-4 would be TT.

 

[OrangeDW]

I like Auburn and Texas Tech a lot. Got both of them in my final four.

No Big East or ACC teams are on my radar.

 

[PoppyHart]

TTU

 

[HRE Otto IV]

Outside of Gonzaga, Kansas has the easiest path IMO.

 

[Trueblue25]

Arkansas and Houston are very underrated

 

[ORRange]

Houston +2200.

 

[jncuse]

TTU

Tennessee and Texas Tech are probably my two top mid odd picks.
I cashed out on my earlier Nova pick and went with Texas Tech instead.
1. To get some representation out West
2. My two best December picks were already in the Nova region
3. I think Tech is better than Nova, even if Nova had some value on B365.

 

[Briancuse]

Auburn. Jabari Smith reminds me of Melo. Their team reminds me of us in 2003.

And if Jabari Parker can win a title his one and done so can Jabari Smith.

He is prob is they don't have a Gmac and their guards are way too selfish.

 

[FRANKIEFAN]

He is prob is they don't have a Gmac and their guards are way too selfish.

Guard play typically wins final four games. Smith and Kessler is better than anyones front court by miles though. I wouldn't be surprised if Kessler wins NPOTY as a Junior I assume he'll return. They are their Hak and Melo. I think its a good comparison. 20 years ago teams kept an extra big on the court at all times now everyone plays an extra guard so Forth shouldn't factor into the comparisons lol.

 

[Col. Bleep]

So St. Peter's is given no chance whatsoever?

That's ok...Hoboken will be backing our nextdoor neighbors tonight.

 

[CousCuse]

NM State has a complete team,

 

[bpo57]

Per Bet 365. Any thoughts on good value / bad value?

Gonzaga +220
Arizona +550
Kansas +900
Baylor +1100
Auburn +1200
Duke +1400
Purdue +1400
Tennessee +1800
Texas Tech +2200
Houston +2200
Villanova +2500
UCLA +3000
Texas +3500
Illinois +4000
Wisconsin +6000
Arkansas +7500
Michigan +8000
St. Mary's +8000
Providence +10000
North Carolina +10000
Murray State +10000
Memphis +15000
Ohio St +15000
Michigan St +15000
TCU +15000
Richmond +20000
Notre Dame +20000
Seton Hall +20000
Creighton +25000
Iowa State +25000

If I had to pick a team it would be Gonzaga, but +220 is too high for me. Would not touch it.
I like Tennessee at +1800... they are playing very strong to end the year.
For a long shot nothing immediately jumps out at me.

That being said I made most of my picks in early December and some i February and already have 10 teams (7 left). Will not add to that list because at that point I will have diluted my bet too much. At the time of the bet I Got Arizona at 20-1, Providence at 80-1, Purdue 10-1, Auburn 60-1, Baylor 16-1, Tennessee 70-1, Wisconsin 80-1 (Out Iowa 100-1, San Francisco 150-1, USC 80-1).

Bad value- Gonzaga and Duke.

Good Value- Tennessee and Texas Tech

Major Long Shot- St. Mary's

 

[jncuse]

So St. Peter's is given no chance whatsoever?

That's ok...Hoboken will be backing our nextdoor neighbors tonight.

They were not on the list for whatever reason last night.

 

[jncuse]

Odds updated before Sunday games
UNC and UCLA were the big movers (in terms of those now below 20-1 odds), which makes sense since the #1 and #2 seeds are out in their region
UNC fell from 100-1 to 18-1
UCLA fell from 30-1 to 17-1


Gonzaga +220 +200
Arizona +550
Kansas +900 +525
Baylor +1100 n/a
Auburn +1200 +1400
Duke +1400 +1500
Purdue +1400 +1300
Tennessee +1800 n/a
Texas Tech +2200 +2000
Houston +2200 +1800
Villanova +2500 +2000
UCLA +3000 +1700
Texas +3500
Illinois +4000
Wisconsin +6000 +5000
Arkansas +7500 +4000
Michigan +8000 +4000
St. Mary's +8000 n/a
Providence +10000 +5000
North Carolina +10000 +1800
St Peters n/a +7000
Murray State +10000 n/a
Memphis +15000 n/a
Ohio St +15000 +8000
Michigan St +15000
TCU +15000 +20000
Richmond +20000 n/a
Notre Dame +20000
Creighton +25000 n/a
Iowa State +25000 +20000

 

[FloridaFan]

St. Peter having better odds then OSU lol

 

[jncuse]

St. Peter having better odds then OSU lol

And not that far off from Providence.
Providence is certainly not respected in the odds or lines but keep winning