Why Louisville will win | Syracusefan.com

Why Louisville will win

SWC75

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- Because they are Louisville and we are just Syracuse. Since 2009, they’ve beaten us 9 times in 11 games, outscoring us by an average of 21-35. Their last 5 wins have bene by an average of 18-49. When I think of Louisville, I think of speed – and of Syracuse defenders running after them in vain.

- The last SU coach to win a game at Louisville was….Greg Robinson, 14 years ago.

- This game might be Malik Cunningham vs. Garrett Shrader: Cunning has run for 690 yards at 5.2 yards per carry and 15TDs. He’s completed 60.5% of his passes for 2,077 yards, 9TDs and 5 interceptions. He’s averaging 8.2 yards per attempt and 13.6 per completion. Shrader has rushed for 670 yards at 5.6 per carry and scored 13TDs. He’s completed 50.9% of his passes for 1,11 yards, 7TDs and 3 interceptions. He’s averaged 6.5 yards per attempt and 12.8 per catch. The advantage is clearly Cunningham’s due to his passing ability, although it doesn’t really show up in the two most important stats: TDs and interceptions. Still: advantage Cunningham.

- Louisville is only 4-5 but Coach Scott Satterfield says ““They know that they’re so close. ... It’s the same things that they’ve done the first three quarters of these games, we just have to carry it on to the last one.” (ESPN). That sounds like us. They’ve out-gained the opposition in 9 of their last 14 losses.

- The Cardinals are 87th in the country in defense but let’s break that down: They are 42nd against the run and 117th against the pass. Can we take advantage of their weakness with ours?

- James Williams is no longer 92ed and last in the country in punting, (there’s a minimum number involved). He’s now 90th and next to last. The team is 127th out of 130 teams. Our net figure is +33.6 yards, Louisville’s 40.8. In other words, in an exchange of punts, expect to lose 7 yards each time.

- Their strength-of-schedule is 14th. Ours is 83rd. That makes their 4-5 more impressive than our 5-4.
 

All4SU

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DPCuse

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I fully expect Cunningham to run all over us leaving me in my chair screaming all game “I thought he was hurt!”
 

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