Why Stanford Will Win | Syracusefan.com

Why Stanford Will Win

SWC75

Bored Historian
Joined
Aug 26, 2011
Messages
33,857
Like
65,283
- The Cardinal lost a competitive game to a school that played for the national championship two seasons ago, (28-34 to TCU). Then they beat an FCS team like you’re supposed to beat an FCS team, (41-7 over Cal Poly SLO). That may not impress you but that’s not the record of a walk-over.

- You can’t think of Stanford without thinking of last year’s Colorado game when they were down 0-29 at halftime in Boulder and came back to win 46-43. SU has to be pedal-to-the-metal for 60 minutes against these guys.

- From my season preview: “Stanford’s history is of alternating good and bad stretches, (similar to Syracuse and a lot of FBS programs). From 1919-35 they had just one losing season, (and that was 4-5). But they had losers in 1936. 1938 and 1939 before having their greatest team in 1940, when HC Clark Shaughnessy and QB Frankie Albert led them to a 10-0-0 record and a Rose Bowl win over Nebraska: they’d been 1-7-1 on 1939. They had winning records in 1941 and 1942 but didn’t play due to the war in 1943-45 and getting the program started again was difficult: they were 0-9-0 in 1947. But they had six winning teams from 1949-57, including a 9-1 team in 1951 went to the Rose Bowl. But then they didn’t have another winning record until 1965, including 0-10 in 1960. From 1968-78 they had 11 winning seasons in a row and won two Rose Bowls. In 1981 they had their first losing record since 1964 but it was the first of four in a row and nine in ten years. They had 6 winners from 1991-2001, then went into a tailspin with 7 straight losers. Then they had a great ten year stretch from 2009-2018 with winning seasons every year and 10+ wins six times. Since then, the ball has rolled back down the hill with four losing seasons in five years, the outlier being a 4-2 Covid year in 2020. You know a program with that history will be back and their comeback will take place in a year when nobody expected them to be any good.”
The Cardinal could announce themselves tomorrow night.

- They will have a hard time covering Oronde Gadsden but we will have a hard time covering Elic Ayomanor, a 6-2 210 who caught 62 balls last year for 1,013 yards and 6TDs. But his big numbers came in that Colorado comeback: 13 catches for 294 yards and 3TDs, one from 97 yards out, (the others were 60 and 30). He can turn a game around in a hurry.

- So can Tiger Bachmeier, who took a punt 90 yards for a score and returned a kickoff for 27 yards vs. Cal Poly.

- Emmett Kenney hasn’t missed a kick this year: 4 for 4 on field goals and 5 for 5 on extra points. He’ll love kicking in the Dome.



Stats that favor Stanford:
BLOCKED KICKS ALLOWED SU- 2 ST - 0
(I’m assuming blocked kicks are placekicks and added them to blocked punts)
SCORING DEFENSE SU- 25.00 ST – 20.50
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 407.00 ST – 343.00
DEFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 22.50 ST – 18.50
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 183.50 ST – 64.50
DEFENSIVE AVERAGE ON RUNNING PLAYS ( - SACKS) SU – 6.6 ST – 2.8
BLOCKED KICKS SU - 0 ST - 1
KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 23.33 ST – 27.00
OPPONENT KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 15.50 ST – 11.00
KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 2/7 = 14.29% ST - 1/13 = 7.69%
PUNT RETURNS SU- 1.67 ST – 34.00
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 0/7 = 00.00% ST – 3/8 = 37.50%
FIELD GOAL PERCENTAGE SU- 2/3 = 66.67% ST – 4/4 = 100.00%
LONGEST FG SU- 33 ST - 45
40 YARDS + SU- 0/1 = 00.00% ST – 2/2 = 100.00%
TURNOVER MARGIN SU- 1/1 = 0 ST - 3/2 = +1
PENALTIES SU- 5.50/46.00 ST – 4.00/27.00yds

It’s still early in the season and the stats can be deceiving. None of Stanford’s favored numbers are offensive numbers. Their defense has been statistically better, enormously so in rushing defense. Of course, we know we’ve had one bad game followed by a good game: Stanford has had two good games. The Cardinal has a very dangerous kick returner in Tiger Bachmeier, (now there’s a name). We have a couple of potential weapons there in Trebor Pena and Malachi James, but we haven’t been able to spring them yet. Their kicker, Emmet Kenney, has been excellent, (4/4 FG, two from 40+, 4/4XP). Our special teams have been shaky.
 
Stanford's only chance to win is to rush the passer early. They did. Our OL did not protect QB well. Although the mistake has been corrected later, it has change the outcome of the game enough to give Stanford the win.
 
Stanford's only chance to win is to rush the passer early. They did. Our OL did not protect QB well. Although the mistake has been corrected later, it has change the outcome of the game enough to give Stanford the win.

Plus the Pic 6 and the 4th and 9.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
170,143
Messages
4,873,713
Members
5,989
Latest member
OttosShoes

Online statistics

Members online
445
Guests online
2,016
Total visitors
2,461


...
Top Bottom