Why Syracuse Will Win | Syracusefan.com

Why Syracuse Will Win

SWC75

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- Two lists of Notre Dame coaches: Rockne, Leahy, Parseghian, Devine, Holtz, Kelly. Hunk Anderson, Elmer Layden, Terry Brennan, Joe Kuharich, High Devore, Gerry Faust, Tyrone Willingham and Charley Weiss. Where do you think Marcus Freeman will wind up. Our three wins against Notre Dame came against Devore, Willingham and Weiss.

- I took a dive into the stats to see how we compared to big, bad Notre Dame.

SCORING OFFENSE SU- 34 ND- 27
TOTAL OFFENSIVE YARDS SU- 412 ND-386
OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 179 ND- 178
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 232 ND- 208
OFFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 163 ND- 139
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 44 ND- 42
OFFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS SU- 141in30 = 4.7 ND- 114in26 = 4.4
SACKS ALLOWED SU- 18 ND- 10
TACKLES FOR A LOSS ALLOWED SU- 35 ND- 26

SCORING DEFENSE SU- 15 ND- 22
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 295 ND- 341
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 123 ND- 139
(We went from 95 rushing yards allowed per game to 123. Clemson gained 34% of the rushing yards we have surrendered.)
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 174 ND- 202
DEFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 116 ND- 131
DEFENSIVE THIRD AND FOURTH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 38 ND-35
DEFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS SU- 60in16 = 3.8 ND- 93in17 = 5.5
SACKS SU- 18 ND- 20
TACKLES FOR A LOSS SU- 44 ND- 41

KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 27 ND- 16
OPPONENT KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 22 ND- 18
KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 17/47 = 36% ND- 7/38 = 18%
PUNT RETURNS SU- 6 ND- 10
OPPONENT PUNT RETURNS SU-7 ND- 10
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 8/31 = 26% ND- 6/29 = 21%
NET PUNTING SU- 37 ND- 42
FIELD GOAL PERCENTAGE SU- 11/12 = 91.7 ND- 8/10 = 80%
LONGEST FG SU- 50 ND- 47
40 YARDS + SU- 2/3 ND- 4/6
EXTRA POINTS MISSED SU- 0 ND- 0

TURNOVER MARGIN SU- +6 ND- -6
PENALTIES SU- 67/510yds ND- 30/267yds
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE SU- #37 ND #32
COMMON OPPONENTS None

Here’s what I see that favors Syracuse:

- Every offensive category except sacks and TFLs.
- Every defensive statistic except 3rd/4th downs and sacks, (but both were close.)
- We may be the most penalized BCS team in the country but they are worst at preventing scores in the Red Zone: 17 occasions, 14TDs and 3 field goals. We are 14th in the country in Red Zone offense with 19TDs and 9 field goals in 30 tries.
- We are much better at returning kickoffs and covering punts.
- Andre has a higher FG percentage and greater established range.
- We have a huge advantage in turnover margin, which is often the difference in having a strong season or a disappointing one. The thing is: how reliable is that as a specific game factor?

- Yeah, the Irish have done well on the road – in a sample of two games. Would you be willing to bet based on an anomaly like that? And there’s the ‘road’ and then there’s the ‘Loud House’.

- How about Sean Tucker scores 5 times in a 38-12 SU rout?



6-1 and 5+ to go!

LET’S GO ORANGE!!!
 

bballbeadle

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I couldn’t read your Why ND Will Win. I hope you’re right with this one. I feel nauseatingly nervous.
 

SWC75

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I couldn’t read your Why ND Will Win. I hope you’re right with this one. I feel nauseatingly nervous.

You couldn't read it or you chose not to?
 

buffalorange

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More whys:
  • The SU QB is better than ND's
  • We have Tucker and two good back-ups so the running game can be relentless
  • The ND O line is big; so is ours, and combined with our better RB...
  • ND hasn't seen a D like ours; best in the ACC
  • ND doesn't realize what it really means for SU to have the 12th man, but they will learn a hard lesson about the LOUD HOUSE
 

SWC75

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More whys:
  • The SU QB is better than ND's
  • We have Tucker and two good back-ups so the running game can be relentless
  • The ND O line is big; so is ours, and combined with our better RB...
  • ND hasn't seen a D like ours; best in the ACC
  • ND doesn't realize what it really means for SU to have the 12th man, but they will learn a hard lesson about the LOUD HOUSE

We have two good back-ups for Tucker?
 

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