Winning Plays - Clemson | Syracusefan.com

Winning Plays - Clemson

SWC75

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This season I will once again be charting Syracuse’s games in terms of “winning plays”. I look at the results of each play and decide which team got the minimum they wanted out of the play. Rather than making instinctive judgments, I use a formula:

- On first down, the offensive team wants to get at least a third of the way to a new first down: they will have two more plays before they might have to surrender the ball and if they gain that same amount of yards on each of those two plays, they’ll get the first down. If they don’t make it a third of the way to a new first down, the defense won the play.
- On second down, the offense wants to get at least halfway to a new first down by the same logic.
- On third and fourth down, they want to get the first down.
- Penalties, if added onto a play by the referees, are added on to the results above. If the offense gains 5 yards on first down but there was holding and they lost yardage instead, the defense won the play. If a running back made a 25 yard run on first and ten and the holding was 20 yards downfield, turning it into a 5 yard gain, that’s still a win for the offense. If the defense is penalized and it’s tacked on, again the net result is what is evaluated. The penalties I’ve listed negated the play entirely and are a “loss” for the penalized team and thus a win for their opponent.
- If a penalty was not tacked onto a play, it’s a lost play for the team being penalized. I'll count them separate from the other plays from scrimmage because I don't know if the intended play before the penalty would have been a run or a pass - so I wouldn't know where to put it in the chart below.
- A turnover is, obviously, a win for the team that wound up with the ball.
- On a kick-off a touchback brings the ball out to the 25 yard line. Teams still seem to be trying to kick the ball into the end zone and avoid a runback if they can, so any kick-off that results in the receiving team starting between their goal line and their 25 is a win for the kicking team. Beyond that, the receiving team wins.
- On a punt, a touchback takes the ball out of the 20. So any punt that results in the other team taking over from their goal line to their 20 is a win for the punting team. If the next change in field position is at least 40 yards, the punting team has also won the play.
- A successful place kick is, obviously, a win for the kicking team.
- Any play that results in a touchdown is, obviously, a win for that team that scores it.
- A “victory play” where a team accepts a loss just to let the clock run out, is a win for the offensive team.

I will indicate in parenthesis how many yards there were to go to get a new first down, (if other than 10), unless it was for no gain or negative yardage. If it was a touchdown, (“TD)” a scramble/sack (“S”) a victory play (“V”) or involved a penalty (P). I’ll treat a scramble or a sack as a passing play as the Cuse.com play by play now tells you when it’s either of those two. 1R means first down running plays. 1P means first down passing plays, etc.

I have decided to list the “Big Plays” at the bottom of each team’s summary. A big play is a play from scrimmage of over 20 yards, (or 20+ yards lost), kickoff returns of +25 yards, punt returns of +20, blocked kicks, missed kicks, and turnovers on fumbles, interceptions and downs.

When Syracuse had the ball:

Drive Starts: S25, S25, S15,S32, S25, S4, S20, 50, S25, S25, S19, S25 = 290/12 = S24 with 910 yards to go

KO: C25, C36, C25, C25
Total: Syracuse 3 Clemson 1
P: 39 to C47, 37 to S41, 45 to S11, 23 to C20, 40 to C39, 42 to C18, 29 to S49(p)
Total: Syracuse 4 Clemson 3
FG: none (Andre Szmyt’s miss was negated by Coach Baber’s time out.)
Total: Syracuse 0 Clemson 0
XP: Good, Good, Good
Total: Syracuse 3 Clemson 0
Kicking plays total: Syracuse 10 Clemson 4

1r: 11, 6, 6, 3, 1, 8, -2v, 3, 23, -3, 15, 3 -3
Total: Syracuse 7 Clemson 6
1p: 18, 25, 12TD, 3, I, 13, 5, I, 5, -9(s), 10, 3, Interception
Total: Syracuse 7 Clemson 6
First Down Total: Syracuse 14 Clemson 12
2r: 25(4), 3(2), 12(7), 1, 6(7)
Total: Syracuse 4 Clemson 1
2p: +13(p), 2(4), -2, 17(7), -6(s), 12, -5, 10(13), 1950, 2(13), 22(19), I
Total: Syracuse 6 Clemson 6
Second Down Total: Syracuse 10 Clemson 7
3r: 11(7), 2(13), 7TD, 4(11)
Total: Syracuse 2 Clemson 2
3p: 3(6), -1(s), I, I, I, -4(s), 19(7)
Total: Syracuse 1 Clemson 6
Third Down Total: Syracuse 3 Clemson 8
4r: none
Total: Syracuse 0 Clemson 0
4p: I
Total: Syracuse 0 Clemson 1
Fourth Down Total: Syracuse 0 Clemson 1

Total on running plays: Syracuse 13 Clemson 9
Total on passing plays: Syracuse 14 Clemson 19
Total on plays from scrimmage: Syracuse 27 Clemson 28

Penalties not tacked on to plays: -5, -5, -5, -10, -5, -10, -5 Syracuse 0 Clemson 7

Game total when Syracuse had the ball: Syracuse 37 Clemson 39

Big Plays: 25 on a pass, Interception, Fumble returned for a TD, stopped 4th down run, 25 on a run, Fumble recovered, 23 on a pass, Interception, Intercepted two point conversion attempt, 22 on a pass


When Clemson had the ball:

Drive Starts: C29, C25, C47, C36, C25, C25, S41, C11, C20, C39, C18, S49, C15 = 400/13 = C31 with 900 yards to go.

KO: S25, S25, S25, S25, S25, S25
Total: Syracuse 0 Clemson 6
P: 54 to S4, 43 to S19
Total: Syracuse 0 Clemson 2
FG: Good for 44, Good from 44
Total: Syracuse 0 Clemson 2
XP: Good, try- No Good, (intercepted but that counts only as a failed try) Try- Good
Total: Syracuse 1 Clemson 2
Kicking plays total: Syracuse 1 Clemson 12

1r: 4, 9, 0, 4(15), 3, 2, 8, 7, Fumble returned for a TD, 9, 5, 5, 4, Fumble, 4, 9, 7, 1, 5, 11, 50TD, 4, 2, 3, 5, -1V
Total: Syracuse 9 Clemson 16
1p: 41, 6, I, I, I, 10, 0, 12, 19, 8, I, 0, I
Total: Syracuse 7 Clemson 6
First Down Total: Syracuse 16 Clemson 22
2r: 10(6), 9(4), 1TD, -1(p), 14(7), 7, 10(2), 0, 3(3), 3(1), 4(5), 2(5), 13(10), 3(2), 11(6), 2, 3, 2(3), 7, 1(3), 10(6), 4(8), 4(7), 2(5)
Total: Syracuse 7 Clemson 18
2p: 8, I, -11(s), 18(1), -11(s)
Total: Syracuse 3 Clemson 2
Second Down Total: Syracuse 10 Clemson 20
3r: 1(3), 2(1), 1(3), 2(1), 25(p), 17(3p) 1(2)
Total: Syracuse 3 Clemson 4
3p: 4(2), Interception, 12, 5(21), I, Interception, 1(3)
Total: Syracuse 5 Clemson 2
Third Down Total: Syracuse 8 Clemson 6
4r: 5(2), 1(2), 1TD
Total: Syracuse 1 Clemson 2
4p: none
Total: Syracuse 0 Clemson 0
Fourth Down Total: Syracuse 1 Clemson 2

Total on running plays: Syracuse 20 Clemson 40
Total on passing plays: Syracuse 15 Clemson 10
Total on plays from scrimmage: Syracuse 35 Clemson 50

Penalties not tacked on to plays: -5, -5, -5, -5, +15 Syracuse 4 Clemson 1

Game total when Clemson had the ball: Syracuse 40 Clemson 63

Big Plays: 4th down incomplete pass, 41-yard pass, 50 yard TD run, Interception

Overall Game Total: Syracuse 77 Clemson 102

Comments: We had only four second down running plays, partially because we got first downs on first down 8 times and partially because when we didn’t it tended to be second and long. Our terrible performance on third down passes (1/6), enabled Clemson to dominate the second half. We got boat raced on first and second down runs: 16-34, which is why there were 50 first and second down runs, which is why we got off just 54 plays.

In the end, we lost on two 44 yard field goals! ☹

In the remarkably similar 2018 game, SU won 86 plays to 102 for Clemson. In this game it was 77-102 – and I don’t think this Clemson team was as good as that one.

So this was a -25 play game. Here are the closest games to that in the Dino Babers Era:
2017 Syracuse 80 Louisiana State 103 = -23 We lost 26-35
2019 Syracuse 78 North Carolina State 100 = -22 We lost 10-16
2020 Syracuse 76 Wake Forest 99 = -23 We lost 14-38
2020 Syracuse 68 Boston College 96 = -28 We lost 13-16
2021 Syracuse 65 North Carolina State 88 = -23 We lost 17-41
2021 Syracuse 67 Pittsburgh 95 = -28 We lost 14-31
 

SWC75

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SEASON TOTALS

When SYRACUSE had the ball:

Drive Starts: 341/10 = S34, 482/12 = S40, 302/11 = S27, 424/13 = S33, 368/10 =S37, 248/8 =S31, 290/12 = S24 TOTAL: 2,455/76 = S34 with 5,145 yards to go

KO: 4-2 + 9-0 + 6-0 + 5-1 + 8-2 + 5-0 + 3-1 = 40-6
P: 3-0 + 1-1 + 3-3 + 3-0 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 4-3 = 15-8
FG: 1-0 + 2-0 + 1-1 + 5-0 + 1-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 = 11-1
XP: 4-0 + 6-0 + 4-0 + 1-0 + 8-0 + 3-0 + 3-0 = 29-0
Kicking plays total: 12-2, 18-1, 14-4 + 14-1 + 17-2 + 10-1 + 10-4 = 95-15

1r: 15-5 + 15-10 + 9-7 + 6-15 + 16-3 + 7-9 + 7-6 = 75-55
1p: 7-5 + 7-4 + 7-7 + 6-7 + 11-0 + 5-7 + 7-6 = 50-36
First Down Total: 22-10 + 22-14 + 16-14 + 12-22 + 27-3 + 12-16 + 14-12 = 125-91
2r: 8-3 + 10-7 + 7-7 + 3-6 + 7-4 + 7-2 + 4-1 = 46-30
2p: 7-5 + 9-3 + 3-5 + 7-5 + 6-0 + 9-2 + 6-6 = 47-26
Second Down Total: 15-8 + 19-10 + 10-12 + 10-11 + 13-4 + 16-4 + 10-7 = 93-56
3r: 7-2 + 4-0 + 1-2 + 2-3 + 6-2 + 3-2 + 2-2 = 25-13
3p: 0-3 + 3-4 + 3-6 + 4-7 + 1-0 + 1-1 + 1-6 = 13-27
Third Down Total: 7-5 + 7-4 + 4-8 + 6-10 + 7-2 + 4-3 + 3-8 = 38-40
4r: 0-0 + 0-1 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 = 2-1
4p: 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-1 = 1-1
Fourth Down Total: 0-0 + 0-1 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 + 1-0 + 0-1 = 3-2

Total on running plays: 30-10 + 29-18 + 17-16 + 11-24 + 30-9 + 18-13 + 13-9 = 148-99
Total on passing plays: 14-13 + 19-11 + 14-18 + 17-19 + 18-0 + 15-10 + 14-19 = 111-90
Total on plays from scrimmage: 44-23 + 48-29 + 31-34 + 28-43 + 48-9 + 33-23 + 27-28 = 259-189

Penalties not tacked on to plays: 0-16 + 1-2 + 7-4 + 3-10 + 0-5 + 0-3 + 0-7 = 11-47

Game total when SYRACUSE had the ball: 56-41 + 67-32 + 52-42 + 45-54 + 65-16 + 43-27 + 37-39 = 365-251

Comments: We’ve kicked off 46 times and punted 23 times. That’s a good trend. We are 218-147 on first and second down and 25-13 on third down runs, (which means they weren’t third and long). We are only 13-27 on third down passes, something that could hold us back from having a really special season.


When OPPONENT had the ball:

Drive Starts: 199/9 = L22, 269/11 = C24, 352/13 = P27, 556/14 = V40, 259/10 = W26, 229/9 = NCS 25 400/13 = C31 TOTAL: 2,264/79= O29 with 5,636 yards to go

KO: 0-2 + 2-1 + 2-3 + 1-3 + 1-0 + 2-2 + 0-6 = 8-17
P: 1-2 + 3-3 + 1-2 + 0-4 + 7-2 + 1-3 + 0-2 = 13-18
FG: 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 2-0 + 0-0 + 0-3 + 0-2 = 3-6
XP: 0-1 + 0-2 + 2-2 + 1-2 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-2 = 4-9
Kicking plays total: 1-5 + 5-6 + 6-8 + 4-9 + 8-2 + 3-8 + 1-12 = 28-50

1r: 7-9 + 8-8 + 8-2 + 4-9 + 8-4 + 10-6 + 9-16 = 54-54
1p: 4-3 + 1-1 + 14-10 + 10-6 + 1-1 + 5-4 + 7-6 = 42-31
First Down Total: 11-12 + 9-9 + 22-12 + 14-15 + 9-5 + 15-10 + 16-22 = 96-85
2r: 3-5 + 5-4 + 3-4 + 3-7 + 7-3 + 3-4 + 7-18 = 31-45
2p: 7-3 + 2-3 + 6-13 + 7-7 + 3-0 + 9-6 + 3-2 = 37-34
Second Down Total: 10-8 + 7-7 + 9-17 + 10-14 + 10-3 + 12-10 + 10-20 = 68-79
3r: 3-2 + 0-3 + 1-2 + 0-1 + 5-2 + 3-5 + 3-4 = 15-19
3p: 3-3 + 6-2 + 5-8 + 9-2 + 4-0 + 7-1 + 5-2 = 39-18
Third Down Total: 6-5 + 6-5 + 6-10 + 9-3 + 9-2 + 10-6 + 8-6 = 54-37
4r: 2-0 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-2 + 1-2 = 4-5
4p: 0-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 0-0 = 3-2
Fourth Down Total: 2-0 + 1-0 + 1-1 + 1-1 + 0-0 + 1-3 + 1-2 = 7-7

Total on running plays: 15-16 + 13-15 + 13-9 + 7-17 + 20-9 + 16-17 + 20-40 = 104-123
Total on passing plays: 14-9 + 10-6 + 25-31 + 27-16 + 8-1 + 22-12 + 15-10 = 121-85
Total on plays from scrimmage: 29-25 + 23-21 + 38-40 + 34-33 + 28-10 + 38-29 + 35-50 = 225-208

Penalties not tacked on to plays: 6-2 + 1-0 + 3-2 + 5-3 + 2-0 + 5-1 + 4-1 = 26-9

Game total when OPPONENT had the ball: 36-32 + 29-27 + 47-50 + 43-45 + 38-12 + 46-38 + 40-63 = 279-267

Comments: Being 50-28 when they kick the ball vs. 15-95 when we kick the ball is a very big disadvantage for our opposition.
 

SWC75

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HISTORICAL WINNING PLAYS (Babers Era – game totals only)

2016
Syracuse 101 Colgate 74 = +27
Syracuse 99 Louisville 132 = -33
Syracuse 95 South Florida 116 = -21
Syracuse 91 Connecticut 99 = -8
Syracuse 98 Notre Dame 111 = -13
Syracuse 72 Wake Forest 101 = -29
Syracuse 103 Virginia Tech 104 = -1
Syracuse 93 Boston College 84 = +9
Syracuse 74 Clemson 120 = -46
Syracuse 71 North Carolina State 103 = -32
Syracuse 71 Florida State 120 = -49
Syracuse 107 Pittsburgh 118 = -11
TOTAL: Syracuse 1075 Opponent 1282 = -207 We 'won' 2 of 12 games.

2017
Syracuse 132 Central Connecticut 65 = +67
Syracuse 104 Middle Tennessee 98 = +6
Syracuse 107 Central Michigan 100 = +7
Syracuse 80 Louisiana State 103 = -23
Syracuse 93 North Carolina State 112 = -19
Syracuse 97 Pittsburgh 96 = +1
Syracuse 95 Clemson 97= -2
Syracuse 86 Miami 119 = -33
Syracuse 90 Florida State 108 = -18
Syracuse 120 Wake Forest 125 = -5
Syracuse 96 Louisville 100 = -4
Syracuse 77 Boston College 87 = -10
TOTAL: Syracuse 1177 Opponents 1210 = -33 We ‘won’ 4 of12 games

2018
Syracuse 109 Western Michigan 96 = +13
Syracuse 139 Wagner 65 = +74
Syracuse 113 Florida State 77 = +36
Syracuse 109 Connecticut 83 = +26
Syracuse 86 Clemson 102= -16
Syracuse 99 Pittsburgh 97 = +2
Syracuse 113 North Carolina 115 = -2
Syracuse 113 North Carolina State 96 = +17
Syracuse 117 Wake Forest 107 = +10
Syracuse 124 Louisville 83 = +41
Syracuse 86 Notre Dame 99 = -13
Syracuse 110 Boston College 96 = +14
Syracuse 116 West Virginia 79 +37
TOTAL: Syracuse 1434 Opponents 1195 = +239 We ‘won’ 10 of 13 games

2019
Syracuse 104 Liberty 84 = +20
Syracuse 82 Maryland 112 = -30
Syracuse 77 Clemson 113 = -36
Syracuse 113 Western Michigan 99 =+14
Syracuse 110 Holy Cross 67 = +43
Syracuse 78 North Carolina State 100 = -22
Syracuse 92 Pittsburgh 114 = -22
Syracuse 96 Florida State 115 = -19
Syracuse 76 Boston College 119 = -43
Syracuse 107 Duke 78 = +29
Syracuse 85 Louisville 104 = -19
Syracuse 118 Wake Forest 111 = +7
TOTAL: Syracuse 1138 Opponents 1216 = -78 We ‘won’ 5 of 12 games

2020
Syracuse 70 North Carolina 114 = -44
Syracuse 78 Pittsburgh 89 = -11
Syracuse 108 Georgia Tech 102 = +6
Syracuse 79 Duke 114 = -35
Syracuse 77 Liberty 93 = -16
Syracuse 72 Clemson 112 = -40
Syracuse 76 Wake Forest 99 = -23
Syracuse 68 Boston College 96 = -28
Syracuse 76 Louisville 81 = -5
Syracuse 76 North Carolina State 108 = -32
Syracuse 82 Notre Dame 100 = -18
TOTAL: Syracuse 862 Opponents 1108 = -248 We ‘won’ 1 of 11 games

2021
Syracuse 86 Ohio U. 63 = +23
Syracuse 64 Rutgers 101 = -37
Syracuse 103 Albany 69 = +34
Syracuse 79 Liberty 83 = -4
Syracuse 79 Florida State 90 = -11
Syracuse 102 Wake Forest 92 = +10
Syracuse 79 Clemson 99 = -20
Syracuse 90 Virginia Tech 94 = -4
Syracuse 86 Boston College 79 = +7
Syracuse 56 Louisville 91 = -35
Syracuse 65 North Carolina State 88 = -23
Syracuse 67 Pittsburgh 95 = -28
TOTAL: Syracuse 956 opponents 1044 = -88 We ‘won’ 4 of 12 games

2022
Syracuse 92 Louisville 73 = +19
Syracuse 96 Connecticut 59 = +37
Syracuse 99 Purdue 92 = +7
Syracuse 88 Virginia 99 = -11
Syracuse 103 Wagner 28 = +75
Syracuse 89 North Carolina State 65 = +24
Syracuse 77 Clemson 102 = -25 We’ve ‘won’ 5 of 7 games
TOTAL: Syracuse 644 opponents 518 = +126
Totals since 2016: Syracuse has won 7,286 plays, (49.0%) and 30 games, (38.0%). The opposition has won 7,573 plays and 49 games. They’ve obtained their goals on 287 more plays than we have in 79 games, an average of 3.63 plays a game.
 

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