SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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This year I will be again charting how teams have done “against ranked teams”, which is something that always comes up at the end of the year when the arguments over who should be in the 4 team national championship playoff takes place. As usual, this is not meant to end those arguments, just to give those making them something to look at in forming their opinions.
I’m going to do it a bit differently this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference between this year and last year if that I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to try to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
WEEK 14
Clemson beat #7 U of Miami 38-3 = +54 points
Georgia beat #2 Auburn 28-7 = +45 points
Oklahoma beat #11 Texas Christian 41-17 = +39 points
Ohio State beat #4 Wisconsin 27-21 = +28 points
Southern California beat #12 Stanford 31-28 = +17 points
Central Florida beat #20 Memphis 62-55 = +13 points
Stanford lost to #10 Southern California 28-31 = +13 points
Wisconsin lost to #8 Ohio State 21-27 = +12 points
Memphis lost to #14 Central Florida 55-62 = +5 points
Boise State beat #25 Fresno State 17-14 = +4 points
Auburn lost to #6 Georgia 7-28 = -1 point
Texas Christian lost to #3 Oklahoma 17-41 = -1 point
U of Miami lost to #1 Clemson 3-38 = -10 points
Comments: By this measure, (and this is just one thing to look at in making the decision, Ohio State out-ranks Alabama. But they both out-rank Georgia. Meanwhile we continue to cling to our positon at the bottom of the Top 25 and can claim that we somehow beat the #1 team. The memories of that game will still be there long after the memories of the subsequent games fade.
TOP 25
Clemson +180 points
Oklahoma +141 points
Auburn +133 points
Ohio State +118 points
Alabama +96 points
Stanford +82 points
Georgia +78 points
U of Miami +77 points
Notre Dame +66 points
Iowa +65 points
Iowa State +63 points
Wisconsin +58 points
Penn State +54 points
California +53 points
North Carolina State +53 points
Southern California +50 points
Texas +42 points
Washington +40 points
Louisiana State +36 points
West Virginia +36 points
Wake Forest +35 points
Michigan +33 points
Texas Christian +33 points
Arizona +29 points
Syracuse +29 points
East Carolina is last with -148 points
I’m going to do it a bit differently this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference between this year and last year if that I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to try to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
WEEK 14
Clemson beat #7 U of Miami 38-3 = +54 points
Georgia beat #2 Auburn 28-7 = +45 points
Oklahoma beat #11 Texas Christian 41-17 = +39 points
Ohio State beat #4 Wisconsin 27-21 = +28 points
Southern California beat #12 Stanford 31-28 = +17 points
Central Florida beat #20 Memphis 62-55 = +13 points
Stanford lost to #10 Southern California 28-31 = +13 points
Wisconsin lost to #8 Ohio State 21-27 = +12 points
Memphis lost to #14 Central Florida 55-62 = +5 points
Boise State beat #25 Fresno State 17-14 = +4 points
Auburn lost to #6 Georgia 7-28 = -1 point
Texas Christian lost to #3 Oklahoma 17-41 = -1 point
U of Miami lost to #1 Clemson 3-38 = -10 points
Comments: By this measure, (and this is just one thing to look at in making the decision, Ohio State out-ranks Alabama. But they both out-rank Georgia. Meanwhile we continue to cling to our positon at the bottom of the Top 25 and can claim that we somehow beat the #1 team. The memories of that game will still be there long after the memories of the subsequent games fade.
TOP 25
Clemson +180 points
Oklahoma +141 points
Auburn +133 points
Ohio State +118 points
Alabama +96 points
Stanford +82 points
Georgia +78 points
U of Miami +77 points
Notre Dame +66 points
Iowa +65 points
Iowa State +63 points
Wisconsin +58 points
Penn State +54 points
California +53 points
North Carolina State +53 points
Southern California +50 points
Texas +42 points
Washington +40 points
Louisiana State +36 points
West Virginia +36 points
Wake Forest +35 points
Michigan +33 points
Texas Christian +33 points
Arizona +29 points
Syracuse +29 points
East Carolina is last with -148 points
