SWC75
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This year I will be again charting how teams have done “against ranked teams”, which is something that always comes up at the end of the year when the arguments over who should be in the 4 team national championship playoff takes place. As usual, this is not meant to end those arguments, just to give those making them something to look at in forming their opinions.
I’m going to do it using the procedure I started last year. The original procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference between this procedure and the original one if that I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to try to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
WEEK FIVE
Notre Dame beat #7 Stanford 38-17 = +40 points
Washington beat #20 Brigham Young 35-7 = +34 points
Penn State lost to #4 Ohio State 26-27 = +21 points
Virginia Tech beat #22 Duke 31-14 = +21 points
Oregon beat #24 California 42-24 = +20 points
Syracuse lost to #3 Clemson 23-27 = +19 points
Ohio State beat #9 Penn State 27-26 = +18 points
Florida beat #23 Mississippi State 13-6 = +10 points
Northwestern lost to #14 Michigan 17-20 = +9 points
West Virginia beat #25 Texas Tech 42-34 = +9 points
Texas Tech lost to #12 West Virginia 34-42 = +6 points
Kansas State lost to #18 Texas 14-18 = +4 points
Southern Mississippi lost to #10 Auburn 13-24 = +3 points
Tennessee lost to #2 Georgia 12-38 = -2 points
Stanford lost to #8 Notre Dame 17-38 = -3 points
South Carolina lost to #17 Kentucky 10-24 = -5 points
Central Michigan lost to #21 Michigan State 20-31 = -6 points
Mississippi lost to #5 Louisiana State 16-45 = -8 points
Baylor lost to #6 Oklahoma 33-66 = -13 points
Brigham Young lost to #11 Washington 7-35 = -13 points
California lost to #19 Oregon 24-42 = -13 points
Pittsburgh lost to #13 Central Florida 14-45 = -18 points
(SW) Louisiana lost to #1 Alabama 10-56 = -21 points
North Carolina lost to #16 U of Miami 10-47 = -27 points
Comments: Well, we finally made the standings, even with the loss. Notre Dame is looking awfully good now that they’ve made the QB switch. They might run the table- at least until they play us. Duke played the Hokies at the wrong time. Oregon is making a strong comeback. Remember that palace Tennessee was building for their players? They need to put better players in it. Pitt and UNC are not looking so good right now. It would be cool if we could beat them by the scores they lost by yesterday. Will they be on the list the next two weeks for playing us?
TOP 25 against ranked teams after week #1
Notre Dame +59 points
Louisiana State +54 points
Texas +51 points
Virginia Tech +49 points
Washington +46 points
Kentucky +45 points
Ohio State +41 points
Texas Tech +41 points
Auburn +38 points
Stanford +33 points
Oklahoma State +32 points
Oregon +32 points
Old Dominion +27 points
Alabama +26 points
Georgia +26 points
Texas A&M +25 points
Arizona State +23 points
Penn State +21 points
Purdue +20 points
Syracuse +19 points
Army +14 points
Vanderbilt +13 points
Iowa State +11 points
Ball State +10 points
Brigham Young +10 points
Florida +10 points
Missouri +10 points
Texas Christian +10 points
Connecticut -83 points is the worst
I’m going to do it using the procedure I started last year. The original procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference between this procedure and the original one if that I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to try to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
WEEK FIVE
Notre Dame beat #7 Stanford 38-17 = +40 points
Washington beat #20 Brigham Young 35-7 = +34 points
Penn State lost to #4 Ohio State 26-27 = +21 points
Virginia Tech beat #22 Duke 31-14 = +21 points
Oregon beat #24 California 42-24 = +20 points
Syracuse lost to #3 Clemson 23-27 = +19 points
Ohio State beat #9 Penn State 27-26 = +18 points
Florida beat #23 Mississippi State 13-6 = +10 points
Northwestern lost to #14 Michigan 17-20 = +9 points
West Virginia beat #25 Texas Tech 42-34 = +9 points
Texas Tech lost to #12 West Virginia 34-42 = +6 points
Kansas State lost to #18 Texas 14-18 = +4 points
Southern Mississippi lost to #10 Auburn 13-24 = +3 points
Tennessee lost to #2 Georgia 12-38 = -2 points
Stanford lost to #8 Notre Dame 17-38 = -3 points
South Carolina lost to #17 Kentucky 10-24 = -5 points
Central Michigan lost to #21 Michigan State 20-31 = -6 points
Mississippi lost to #5 Louisiana State 16-45 = -8 points
Baylor lost to #6 Oklahoma 33-66 = -13 points
Brigham Young lost to #11 Washington 7-35 = -13 points
California lost to #19 Oregon 24-42 = -13 points
Pittsburgh lost to #13 Central Florida 14-45 = -18 points
(SW) Louisiana lost to #1 Alabama 10-56 = -21 points
North Carolina lost to #16 U of Miami 10-47 = -27 points
Comments: Well, we finally made the standings, even with the loss. Notre Dame is looking awfully good now that they’ve made the QB switch. They might run the table- at least until they play us. Duke played the Hokies at the wrong time. Oregon is making a strong comeback. Remember that palace Tennessee was building for their players? They need to put better players in it. Pitt and UNC are not looking so good right now. It would be cool if we could beat them by the scores they lost by yesterday. Will they be on the list the next two weeks for playing us?
TOP 25 against ranked teams after week #1
Notre Dame +59 points
Louisiana State +54 points
Texas +51 points
Virginia Tech +49 points
Washington +46 points
Kentucky +45 points
Ohio State +41 points
Texas Tech +41 points
Auburn +38 points
Stanford +33 points
Oklahoma State +32 points
Oregon +32 points
Old Dominion +27 points
Alabama +26 points
Georgia +26 points
Texas A&M +25 points
Arizona State +23 points
Penn State +21 points
Purdue +20 points
Syracuse +19 points
Army +14 points
Vanderbilt +13 points
Iowa State +11 points
Ball State +10 points
Brigham Young +10 points
Florida +10 points
Missouri +10 points
Texas Christian +10 points
Connecticut -83 points is the worst
