BT is the key...
MCW , despite what many say, has been been playing much better. Still a few silly to's and bad moments at the end but he's getting to the rim at will and making plays. I think he'll continue, unless VO is on him (but that really opens up Fair and BT).
CJ - I think we're all confident he'll have 20/10.
James - at worst, is average getting 10 points/5 boards. At best, he could give us 20/10. I'm confident with James, just pull him if he gets 2 fouls in 1st half.
Baye is playing well enough to hold down the middle, even if we see bad Christmas.
That leaves BT. If Crean is smart, he takes his chances and tries to stop MCW, or Fair (if poss) by putting VO on him. That will leave BT with many, many, open looks from three, and more so from the foul line and in. He has to hit those pull ups from 10, running shots, quick turnarounds, etc, that he's been missing. If he does that, it changes the dynamic in this game.