Syracuse 15-1

[Flora'cuse]

Here are your new odds to win this season’s NCAA Tournament,... ... ...
Louisville 3-1
Indiana 7-2
Florida 5-1
Miami 6-1
Kansas 7-1
Ohio State 7-1
Duke 7-1
Michigan State 12-1
Michigan 14-1
Syracuse 15-1
Arizona 22-1
Marquette 35-1
Wichita State 45-1
Oregon 45-1
Field (Florida Gulf Coast, La Salle) 35-1

http://www.syracuse.com/orangebaske...use_basketball_now_has_15.html#incart_m-rpt-2

I'll take those odds - we winning it anyway.

 

[SU2NASA]

Sure thing on MSU...

Michigan State, the Buffalo Bills of the Final Four.

 

[HakAttack]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...ulf-coast-and-the-rest-of-the-final-16-teams/

Interesting to see how our odds have risen, while Indiana's have fallen significantly.

 

[FreeFries100]

Good thing I'm already locked in at 20-1.

 

[SouthernCuse]

Odds analysis:

These are independent events in the sense that 1 team will win and all the others will lose. Plus 1 and only 1 team will will with probability=1.00. Therefore, fair implied odds should be much lower, payout odds should be much higher. If Louisville is paying 3:1 then fair odds of them winning are 0.25: 3 times out of 4 I lose my dollar - 1 time out of 4 I make 3 dollars. If I add up the Wynn's implied odds for all teams then they add to 1.56, much higher than 1.00. Implied odds at this percentage for SU are 0.0625.

They are taking a 56% probability advantage, before the 10% vig, which they will charge. Interesting, prop bets are goldmines, apparently.

 

[Millhouse]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...ulf-coast-and-the-rest-of-the-final-16-teams/

Interesting to see how our odds have risen, while Indiana's have fallen significantly.

for some reason silver originally had our odds of winning the regional final at 66% should we make it that far. i'm skeptical that we're that bad a matchup for indiana

that's probably pretty high relative to the rest of the teams which improves our chances. i am very skeptical of his analysis based on that