TheCusian
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will tell us a lot.
Bill Connelly has updated his Syracuse profile.
- The data gives us a 61% shot at winning this weekend (the highest of any game left on the schedule).
- The data gives us a 30% shot at winning vs ND (much higher than anyone here would have suggested at the beginning of the season, I think)
What's interesting is that ND's D has been not good, esp vs the pass. They are giving up 6 yards a play as a defense. We've played better/comparable offenses. We're giving up 7.17 yards a play with is really horrible. It's those big plays (and some of those Louisville big plays need an "holy crap they are amazing and probably the #1 offense in the country" asterisk. We're bad and give up big plays - but that game is skewing things a bit.)
For me to believe that we can beat ND, I need to see some things vs UCONN:
- a win. Obviously.
- a better defensive effort vs the run (I don't think UCONN is capable of torching us through the air. But we need to show that we can stop the run).
- no big plays vs a really bad UCONN O
- our offense with a more consistent performance (less occasionally great, more consistently good)
It's crazy to think that we may have shot vs ND. More talent, yes. Unlikely, sure.
But I'll take 30%.
Bill Connelly has updated his Syracuse profile.
- The data gives us a 61% shot at winning this weekend (the highest of any game left on the schedule).
- The data gives us a 30% shot at winning vs ND (much higher than anyone here would have suggested at the beginning of the season, I think)
What's interesting is that ND's D has been not good, esp vs the pass. They are giving up 6 yards a play as a defense. We've played better/comparable offenses. We're giving up 7.17 yards a play with is really horrible. It's those big plays (and some of those Louisville big plays need an "holy crap they are amazing and probably the #1 offense in the country" asterisk. We're bad and give up big plays - but that game is skewing things a bit.)
For me to believe that we can beat ND, I need to see some things vs UCONN:
- a win. Obviously.
- a better defensive effort vs the run (I don't think UCONN is capable of torching us through the air. But we need to show that we can stop the run).
- no big plays vs a really bad UCONN O
- our offense with a more consistent performance (less occasionally great, more consistently good)
It's crazy to think that we may have shot vs ND. More talent, yes. Unlikely, sure.
But I'll take 30%.