Albany beats SU in the Dome, smokes UMass, loses to Yale and Drexel.
Hobart beats Colgate.
UVA beats Vermont by only two.
Duke is a disaster.
Looks like it's Maryland and Cornell right now.
It looks more crazy then it really is, a couple of quick points.
Hobart is an improved team this year offensively, there still wildely inconsistent but they can have good games, Colgate is simply not that good, there pretty much Baum and a few complitementary parts, they will be lucky to make the Tourney.
Albany is a great offensive team but theres not much there outside of the Thompsons and defensively they leave a lot to be desired. Myles Thompson has missed the last 2 games with injury and probably will miss a few more (broken hand). If SU played ALbany again, id be pretty confident SU would prevail, its hard to rely soley on three players to carry you game in and game out. When 1 or 2 are off ALbany will struggle its as simple as that.
Duke and UVA both lost a TON to graduation, Duke has been riding high for about 6-7 years now so a down year was inevitable. They should be much better come Mid April with a full year of Danowski coaching them, this is like SU in 07, trying to replace to many seniors at once and a down year ensues.
UVA is in a similar boat, lost pretty much there entire starting offense save for Crockerton. I wouldnt put to much stock into the close Vermont game, UVA is notorious for playing down to lesser teams even in there good years. There still a good team but again there replacing a ton.
Cornell and Maryland are legit, both loaded though I wonder if Maryland will ever get over the hump if they dont win it all this year as SU, UVA, and Princeton look to be re-loaded next year.