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-1.5 point dogs for tomorrow
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[QUOTE="AZcuse77, post: 2054798, member: 6173"] It varies by year but in college BB usually averages about 3.5 points. Syracuse over the last few years (as JB noted) has been a good road team and only has a differential of 2.2 points ([URL='https://www.boydsbets.com/college-basketball-home-court-advantage/']NCAA Basketball Home Court Advantage: The Ultimate Guide[/URL]) This year is a completely different story but it does not seem like Vegas cares about the poor performance in a small road sample size this year at least with the initial line. We are 30 spots better in KenPom so using the regular -1.5 + 3.5 = 2 points which is about what you'd expect based on KenPom rankings. If you consider how awful we are on the road this year, it looks like a lock to bet on NCSU but its only 5 games. HOME: 1146 (76.4) pts for, 964 (64.3) pts against, 15 games +12.1 AVG... AWAY: 348 (69.6) pts for, 425 (85.0) pts against, 5 games -15.4 AVG... NEUTRAL: 50-52 MSG UConn, 50-64 Brooklyn SC Average Home / Away differential = 13.75 This includes the cream puffs at the beginning of the year so the home differential would expect to lower with including the full year of ACC games but 13.75 is still pretty crazy. I just ran the math for SU but I wonder what it is for the ACC overall this year. It sure does seem like ACC teams are really struggling to win on the road more than usual. [/QUOTE]
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-1.5 point dogs for tomorrow
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