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Message: [QUOTE="Cusefan0307, post: 2055909, member: 1743"] Duke has lost 4 conference games outright the past year and a half at Home. They are 9-12 against the spread this year alone. I'm not sure what the home/road splits are, but I doubt they cover much at home. Casual bettors usually lose a lot of their bets because they tend to follow popular opinion doesn't have a very good track record in Vegas. Notre Dame is the complete Opposite. They've covered about 60-65 percent this year. The devil is in the details (or in this case, the math). [/QUOTE]