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[QUOTE="AZcuse77, post: 2055996, member: 6173"]
In general I was more looking at initial lines vs where it moves from betting public... though Vegas will try to predict this to some degree as well expecting the public to bet Duke more often with the goal being 50 / 5o money on each side.

Notre Dame was projected middle of the pack while Duke was projected to win the ACC, so clearly based on their teams results Notre Dame would have covered more often than Duke since those expectations change gradually... but in general I would think Notre Dame has one of the quietest / least intimidating stadiums (with a good underrated smart team playing in it).  You are correct that at least the last few years based on that historical link I posted, Notre Dame has been better than average differential at home... the data would have to go back much more than a few years to not be impacted by individual teams/players and be just based on the stadium.  Duke has been just slightly above the average differential at Cameron the last few years.

Even then, it'd be somewhat of a "moving target" as for example everyone thinking our current student fan base being so much worse 'these days' in games like FSU vs 'back in the day' (whether its true or not, though chanting overrated to start the second half was a pretty damning Exhibit A).
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