#1 seed odds per Joey Backets | Syracusefan.com

#1 seed odds per Joey Backets

Marsh01

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Race for No. 1 seeds



TeamS-CurveNo. 1 Seed Odds

Syracuse No. 1 65 percent
Kentucky No. 2 60 percent
North Carolina No. 3 60 percent
Ohio State No. 4 50 percent
Duke No. 5 40 percent
Baylor No. 6 20 percent
Missouri No. 7 15 percent
Kansas No. 8 15 percent
Georgetown No. 9 10 percent
Indiana No. 10 10 percent
Michigan St. No. 11 10 percent
Connecticut No. 12 10 percent
"FIELD" -- 35 percent
There are some awfully good teams in college basketball this year, but Syracuse has emerged as No. 1 in the polls and the clear No. 1 overall seed for NCAA tournament projection purposes. More importantly, the Orange boast the nation's best slate of quality wins and have obviously not hurt themselves with any bad losses. The first half of the Big East schedule is also relatively friendly, so Syracuse could still be perfect at the end of January. All of that combines to give the Orange the best shot of securing a No. 1 seed come March, as reflected in their No. 1 odds of 65 percent. But that doesn't mean they won't be passed for No. 1 overall.

Kentucky and North Carolina are No. 2 and No. 3, respectively, and it wouldn't take much of a slide by Syracuse for either to move up. Ohio State is No. 4 overall and grabs the last spot on this week's top line thanks mainly to its December blowout of Duke. As is so often the case, we can look down the road to whomever wins the Duke-Carolina season series as an almost certain No. 1 seed. Everyone else on this list likely needs a clear-cut conference championship to stay in the conversation for a spot on the top line in March.
 
Wow, I am surprised; I kinda thought UK would have better odds to get a #1 seed just because of the cofnerence.
 
How do we have the best slate of quality wins? That shocks me considering Kentucky has beaten multiple top 10 teams, if I'm not mistaken.
 
How do we have the best slate of quality wins? That shocks me considering Kentucky has beaten multiple top 10 teams, if I'm not mistaken.
I thought Indiana as well. Clearly better than our best wins.
 
I don't see how he can say we have the best slate of quality wins...
 
I am guessing he just looked at RPI top 50 wins? We have 4, others have 4, but I don't think anyone has more than 4. We have 7 top 100 RPi wins, that may also be first.

Not sure it's the best measure, but I think thats how we got to it.
 
Keep in mind that the ACC is incredibly weak this year. Duke and UNC likely will not lose a game except to each other. If they split, Duke will end the regular season with just 2 loses, UNC 3 loses. SU has a tougher road in the Big East.
 
Keep in mind that the ACC is incredibly weak this year. Duke and UNC likely will not lose a game except to each other. If they split, Duke will end the regular season with just 2 loses, UNC 3 loses. SU has a tougher road in the Big East.
A recipe for the number 1 number 1 seed. With SU and Pitt joining soon it may be more difficult for them in the future to get their annual gift at tourney time.
 
A recipe for the number 1 number 1 seed. With SU and Pitt joining soon it may be more difficult for them in the future to get their annual gift at tourney time.

I'm curious to see how we do against UNC and Duke. To hear some people talk, those two teams are paper tigers. They are usually among the 10 best teams in the country, at worst.They've each won a national title in the last 3 years. They each won 2 titles in the last decade. Etc.
 
I'm curious to see how we do against UNC and Duke. To hear some people talk, those two teams are paper tigers. They are usually among the 10 best teams in the country, at worst.They've each won a national title in the last 3 years. They each won 2 titles in the last decade. Etc.

I wouldn't call UNC paper tigers. Duke generally looks stronger on paper then they do in game talent wise, but they're so well coached that it makes up for it. On paper SU matches up very favorably with Duke most years. Yet most years Duke is in the final 4 and SU is not...
 

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