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Message: [QUOTE="OrangeXtreme, post: 5125146, member: 41"] [MEDIA=twitter]1817950294971748620[/MEDIA] First, an explanation: Why is this happening? Basically the House settlement eliminates scholarship limits an unfair restraint of athletes. BUT a roster limit is just a means of competitive balance (semantics!), so NCAA can still cap that. (And note: NCAA cannot cap scholarships but schools can determine their own limit.) Most P4s are currently at somewhere between 120-130 total roster spots (including walk-ons) but schools don't want the scholarship number that high because it would be VERY expensive to hand out 130 football scholarships (which also likely means 45 + on women's side too for T9). So they've negotiated for a lower number that theoretically still allows a team to handle normal attrition and hold full practices, though most coaches I've talked to aren't thrilled with the outcome. But, set all that aside, and there are bigger ripple effects. 1st, assume all P4s max out & go 85->105. That's 20 new scholies/team or 1,380 new P4 schols. Where do nearly 1400 scholarship players come from? Well, for one, it's a great year to be a high school recruit. After years of saying they're getting squeezed by the portal, there are going to be WAY more offers from bigger schools. But the flip side of that is G5s are going to get KILLED. First, tons of fringe players who might've gone to Ohio or Troy will be going to Ohio State or Auburn now. Second, a whole mess of G5s are going to hit the portal knowing there's room at a higher level. I've talked to a number of G5 coaches who think they can at least still sell playing time but... it's going to be a bloodbath. Moreover, most G5s are NOT going to be able to afford 105 scholarships, so they'll be at a bigger disadvantage regardless. And yes, players who go P4 and don't see the field will get frustrated and hit the portal... but with fewer scholarships available, G5s may not be able to get them (and due to credit transfers, higher academic P4s may not either). Worried about how many players enter the portal each year now? Get ready for that to skyrocket. Every coach I've talked to expects a 50-60% increase in portal after this as P4 schollie guys who and barely got practice reps as the 104th or 105th guy on the roster opt to leave. Moreover, I think there's a big question as to just how many P4s even want to go to 105. Yes, the majority of coaches I spoke to said they'd HAVE to do it to keep up with the Joneses, but few seemed eager. And yes, as Dabo notes, if the vast majority of P4s go to 105 scholarships, that means no more walk-ons, which coaches I've talked to said will likely result in a) lawsuits and b) pissing off some big time boosters whose kids are walk-ons. Clearly some underfunded P4s are going to be reluctant. Several schools I talked to who will not go to 105 -- and some may even go below 85(!) in this new world and just choose to invest elsewhere. They'll get killed for it on the recruiting trail but they'll live w/it. BUT... I've talked to a number of coaches who would be OK with that because 105 is a) really hard to manage and b) potentially waters down your revenue share number once the House settlement is figured out. Let's say 40% of that $20M rev share number is going to football. That's $8M. Spread over 105 players = $76,190 per player. Spread over 85 is 94,117. So $18K/player when those last 20 guys are not really impact guys at all.Most coaches I've talked to would MUCH prefer to heavily invest in their 2 deep (48ish guys) + a dozen or so developmental players. Paying 105 nearly doubles the total you're investing in (or pissing off by not investing in). I've heard varying numbers on actual budget impacts btw, but I think for all-in schools, the rev share + scholarship increases + legal costs of settlement will be somewhere between $25-30M/year. That's a big number and a swallow-hard moment for 90% of schools. Long story short, the impact on budgets, transfers, G5s (and below), walk-ons, and end-of-season depth is going to be dramatic across the board. Oh, and it'll likely take effect a year from now, meaning coaches are already recruiting with this in mind despite having ZERO idea what the details will actually look like. Fun times. [/QUOTE]

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