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[QUOTE="Knicks411, post: 138203, member: 767"]
Is this true?

Our scoring margin is fantastic, there's a pretty large difference in points scored and allowed per possession for us. The easiest explanation is simply that Wisconsin has the best adjusted scoring differential, so they are #1. It isn't that simple, SU and UK are basically tied with their differential, but UK is ahead of us. (Though the margin is so slim as to be irrelevant).

UK and SU are essentially tied; and both teams are pretty far ahead of #5, and at the same time, pretty far behind #2. Our luck factor is positive, meaning we have been slightly lucky, though all that really is saying is that no team is "expected" to be undefeated after 15 games. (our luck rating is over 100th in the country, so while it is positive, it's not ridiculous. All of the undefeated teams, pretty much by definition, are positive in the luck rating. Our expected record is 14.4-.6, and we're actually 15-0, so that's where the luck rating comes in.It doesn't have anything to do with the actual rating, it is just additional information.  I believe it's just the difference between the Pomeroy expected winning% and your actual win%.  Basically, if we had the same efficiency numbers, but had one loss (say we lost to Florida by a point, that wouldn't move the efficiency numbers at all) our rating would be the same, but now it would say we were slightly unlucky.
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