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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4566060, member: 1969"] The reason they are favoured much more in those other games is because they are all home games. That makes a massive difference. Teams on average are 7 points better at home than on the road. So of course the expected win% are going to be much higher in home games against all those teams. For example if Syracuse was playing at NC St this week they would be about 8 point underdogs. At home they are going to open about a one point dog Using KP here are the projected lines for all the remaining NC St games as of now. NC ST (-1) at Syracuse NC ST (-2.5) vs UNC NC ST (-6.5) vs Wake NC St (-7.0) vs Clemson NC St (+4) at Duke So it doesn't surprise that ESPN Analytics views NC St's second hardest remaining game as vs Syracuse. It's in line with KP and probably betting lines at this point - KP sees us as the 88th best team. [/QUOTE]