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Message: [QUOTE="IthacaMatt, post: 2754443, member: 405"] If we're 10-2 with a win against #3 ND and a 4 point loss [I]AT [/I]Clemson, the computer is going to look very favorably upon us. That's why we are the #2 ACC team right now. Let's take a closer look. I think most everybody agrees that Alabama and Clemson are locks for the final four teams. Notre Dame is next, and we play them head to head. If we win that game, how does ND get into the playoff ahead of us? Although LSU is number 4, they cannot make the SEC title game, and they still have a road game at #25 Texas A&M, which they could certainly lose. Next up is Michigan. They still have to play #14 Penn State on the road, plus #8 Ohio State and then still win the Big Ten title game against Northwestern to make the Playoff. That's a tall order. They already lost to ND. I think they could easily lose another, and then they would be a 2 loss team, too. If we have a head-to-head win vs. ND and they lost to ND and we both have 2 losses, who gets in? Georgia is #6, but they are going to lose to Alabama in the SEC title game, and thus will have two losses, too. Their other loss is by 20 to LSU. The computer isn't going to help them there, but they would still probably get in before us. Oklahoma is ahead of us, but they still have to play one-loss WVU. So one of them will be a 2 loss team, too. Unless they get upset by Okie State or Kansas, both long shots, Oklahoma will probably be in if they beat West Virginia. After that, you're looking at teams like Central Florida, Kentucky and Washington State. Everybody else already has at least 2 losses with four weeks plus a conference championship game left to play. I don't think it's legit to say we have absolutely no chance at the playoff. Because so many good teams are yet to play each other above us in the rankings, if we win out, we are going to be in the Top 10, and might have a shot. [/QUOTE]

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