Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="cuse522, post: 2756728, member: 1149"] We are a huge longshot, but part of that is the fact that winning out is not very likely. 538 has us at <1% to make the playoff, but they only have us at 8% to win out. If we win out they bump us to 2%. When you start playing with that calculator, it's pretty amazing what can happen to our odds. A Northwestern loss to ND takes us to 3%. A UCF loss to Navy next week bumps us to 5% (538 only gives Navy a 7% chance to win, but hey, you can always get a triple option miracle upset). That parlay alone, in the 538 odds, would move us to 8% and into a T-11 for odds of making the playoff. And this is the fun part of having a longshot chance at the playoffs... Each week from here on out, as long as we keep winning, will become significantly more exciting than the last. [/QUOTE]