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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 3990016, member: 1969"]
Sac Flies actually hurt your -- they do make some, but at least not the huge gap in stats there is in that situation compared to others.   The reason as I see it, is that with the bases loaded the batter gets all kind of leverage because the types of pitches a pitcher makes and the location will tend to be much more restricted.

[B]Regarding walking Stanton.
I[/B] strongly disagree with walking Stanton with 2 outs, assuming you get Judge out.  To me there is a debate on walking Judge, but none really with Stanton.

Not sure what is accomplished by doing that?   With 2 outs you don't need a force at home or need a DP, which is the big advantage of walking a player in the first place in that scenario.

With runners at second and third and two outs, you are beat just as badly by any type of hit, so a prime power hitter has no real extra value.   If you walk Stanton, you are not only getting beat by a hit but also a walk.

This scenario is actually quite a bit easier to analyze (at a simple level anyway) then the Judge non-walk.

Go after Stanton, you are beat 27.3% of the time (his batting average being .273)
Walk Stanton and go after Gallo you are beat  35.1% of the time (his on base % being 35.1%)

Of course there are other factors that come into play such as Lefty / Lefty matchups, but typically walking a guy with 2 outs in a walk-off scenario only makes sense if that player
a) has a really high average, or
b) the player on deck is really not that good and has an OBP that is very low, or has a severe platoon disadvantage.
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