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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 3887180, member: 1969"]
I think he has a decent shot because he is very streaky.   When he is playing bad it last a while, but when he figures it out he tends to play well for a while.

He doesn't have a top 50 finish in the majors so he has no majors pedigree.   He won in 2016, but didn't really contend to win much agains until the 2020 season -- when he did contend in tourneys he tended not to give it away but just come up short.

He had missed 5 cuts in a row, which I suspect is part of the reason he was giving out such high odds.   But the thing is he has a history of coming back strong off bad streaks and playing well.   Last year he missed 8 cuts out of 11 over a run with no top 50 finishes -- then he went on a run of three top 6 finishes in 6 events.

I think many Canadians have inherited the post 2003 Mike Weir Sunday syndrome where they get in contention and fall apart on Sunday.   Weir was terrible on Sunday after his great 2003 season.    Graham Deleat was terrible on Sundays when he was a top player.  Connors has been in contention and that made some bad putts on Sunday the past year or so.   But as noted above Hughes played pretty well last year when he was in contention.
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