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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 3988760, member: 1969"]
And now specifically to the Yankees after today

[B]- 65.4% chance that they clinch a WildCard spot today[/B]
a) 49.9% chance that only Boston and New York advance after today.  In this Scenario they play at Boston on Tuesday.
b) 16.5% chance that New York is the only team that clinches a wildcard spot today.  Multiple Scenarios here
7.7% chance that there is a 3 way tie for the Final Wild Card, and New York would host Wednesday.
8.8% chance that there is a 2 way tie for the Final Wild Card, and New York would host Tuesday
[B]
- 34.6% chance that they are involved in some sort of playoff[/B]
a) 5.9% chance that it is a 4 team mini-tournament played Monday/Tuesday for two wildcard spots
b) 13.9% chance that New York, Seattle and Toronto are tied (in this case New York would play Seattle on Monday and the winner vs Toronto on Tuesday, to play Boston on Wednesday)
c) 3.5% chance of a Boston/New York / Toronto tie for two wildcard spots, whereby they would play the Boston/Toronto Monday Night Loser on Tuesday for a chance to get into the Wednesday Wildcard
d) 2.3% chance of a Boston/New York / Seattle tie for two wildcard spots, whereby New York would play Monday against Boston and if they lose they still get a chance against Seattle on Tuesday to get into the Wednesday Wildcard
e) 4.5% chance they are playing at Toronto on Monday night for a chance at the last wildcard.
) 3.0% chance they are playing at home vs Seattle on Monday night for a chance at the last wildcard.
[/QUOTE]

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