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[QUOTE="Knicks411, post: 4984172, member: 767"] It's interesting because 3 point rate may have finally hit an equilibrium; we've been right around 40% of FGA coming as 3's for the past few years, and in fact, we're just a little bit below the rate from a few years back. But 2 point FG% keep going up, we are at 54.6% this year, it was 54.8% last year and as recently as 2019-20 was 52%. My hypothesis is something like while teams may have hit the optimal level of 3 point rate, defenses still need to cover so much more ground (and possibly with smaller players to get shooting on offense) that teams are learning how to take advantage of that to make 2's. I made a chart showing what I mean, I plotted the effective FG% on 2's vs 3's (so adjusting the 3 for being worth more) from the start of the 3 point era to this season. When the 3 point line first started basically no one really took any and when they did they were generally awful, so the 2 pointer started out as more valuable. As time went on the league started to adapt and in the 91-92 season the 3 became the more efficient shot and stayed that way until the last year or so, where they are basically the same. I also threw another chart in, just the rate of 2PA vs 3PA, you can see how 3 Point rate steadily grew but has basically flattened out the last 4 or 5 seasons [/QUOTE]
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