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2023 Pre-NCAA Tourney Discussion and Bubble Watch
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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4598344, member: 1969"] #1. My analysis is based on quality wins against teams out of conference, not within conference. So any rankings bias within conference would not matter. But more importantly r[B]ankings have zero impact on the NET[/B], and therefore have zero impact on what is defined as a Q1 or Q2 win. What drives NET is how a team performs, and how their conference performs as a whole in OOC, because this will drive the NET up of members (and Q1+q2 opportunities) when they start playing each other in conference. #2. The Big 12 was extremely dominant compared to the ACC. Sure you watched some games in Iowa, but the OOC numbers speak for themselves, and that is what drives up the net of conference members once conference play starts. At the end of the day the ACC lacked dominant teams, and more importantly they had 4 or 5 really bad teams that killed their metrics / limited quality wins compared to other better conferences. B12 had 30 quality out of conference wins (3 per team). The ACC had 21 (1.4 per team) (Q1+Q2_ ACC had 18 out of conference bad losses. The B12 had 2. (Q3+Q4) B12 had 15 Q1 wins out of conference, ACC had 7. B12 has the #1 conference NET and conference RPI, ACC has the #7 conference NET (#6 RPI) #3. While it is true that the ACC did beat the B10 8-6, the OOC slate is about 160 games for both conference -- not just 14 games. And thankfully the ACC did do well in the challenge, or their out of conference would have been really bad. These games helped limit the damage. What happened in those other 140 or so games is going to be more important than the 14 games. Despite what the ACC did in the challenge, in the end the B10 did much better, which will end up driving NET up for its member teams once conference play starts. Again the numbers speak for themselves. - the B10 has 16 Q1 victories out of conference vs ACC's 7. - And they only had 7 bad losses vs the 18 bad losses for the ACC. - The B10 lost 37 games, the ACC lost 52. - The B10 is #2 in Conference NET and #3 in Conference RPI [/QUOTE]
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