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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4599121, member: 1969"]
I just use the consolidated views from the bracket matrix as the 30K foot view.

The interesting thing with your theory is that there is not much evidence to prove it right or wrong the last 20 years - perhaps one instance as discussed below.   I don't disagree at all that it could happen -- but we have never really seen a trend or any conclusive evidence either way.

The only time one of those programs was close to a legit bubble team was the 2013 Kentucky Team.    17 of the 120 people on the matrix had them in - and I suspect those people only put them in because they were Kentucky - one could argue they were not close enough to disregard the theory.

Kansas has been a 4 seed or above every year since 2001.

Duke has only missed the tourney once since 2000 -- that was in 2020 and they were not close to a tourney team.

When UNC has been bad, they have been bad - 2002, 2003, 2010, 2020 - they were not close to a tourney team.

Kentucky was clearly out in 2009 and in 2013 there was a debate (as discussed above)
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