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Message: [QUOTE="fieldystick, post: 5042619, member: 8152"] Three things before I really start: 1) I am not Patrick Stevens. You're comparing two different people's opinions here: Stevens 03/28 to my 04/08. If Stevens remains consistent with his thread of logic so far, I expect he will have UVA seeded #3 whenever he posts this week... but I guess him having UVA 4th behind Duke is possible too. I have consistently held Virginia ahead of Hopkins and had them 8th, not 9th, at the time you referenced. I will continue to hold UVA ahead of Hopkins, unless/until something fundamentally changes involving the profiles of the two teams. 2) The time period you're referencing is two weeks, not one week. (8th to 4th to 2nd) 3) I sense derision instead of genuine curiosity here, but I'll attempt to explain anyway. - [ATTACH alt="1.jpg"]239764[/ATTACH][ATTACH alt="2.jpg"]239765[/ATTACH][ATTACH alt="3.jpg"]239766[/ATTACH]- These are Virginia's profiles across the 3 relevant Mondays (2 weeks). Even ignoring what else has changed with the national picture, Virginia's win profile - as far as the selection criteria are stated - has dramatically changed during this time period. Couple this with the highly expected RPI hit to Yale, a couple of Penn State losses, a few other losses by seeded teams, and, welcome, here we are. Are end of March brackets usually wonky to some extent? Yes. But I must admit, I absolutely love the constant cries of "too early" that I see from some here, on UVA's own forum, and elsewhere. I have to assume that the average person must just think that these things make themselves. I will not speak for Stevens, but I have been looking at/thinking about this stuff "behind the scenes" since the first weekend in March at this point. What I would deem my "serious" posts start the last Monday in March. I'd rather show my work along the way than pull something out the last weekend in April and say *surprise* this is where I think we are. And that is the basic reason that I do not pay a lick of attention to 99% of the "this is what I think the bracket should be" posts from people on forums come the last week of April/first week of May. I have no way to look back over their work and try to follow their logic. It's an opinion that they pulled out of their behind on the spot, with at most an hour of thought put into it, and only when it mattered the most. Many many people seem to think that I am off the deep end wrong for continuing to hold Virginia over Hopkins in the seeding, and I have just about had a mental breakdown in the last week(s) discussing/arguing the logic of that behind the scenes - thousands and thousands of words on the topic have been spilled. But my logic has been consistent on this point and anyone who follows my posts from the end of March until the end of the season(/or whenever something fundamentally changes between the two teams) will be able to see this consistent logic on this point. My general frustration is leaking into this post, and I apologize for that. But these are some thoughts. To be clear, Virginia's seeding is the topic at hand, not the cause for my frustration. [/QUOTE]

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