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[QUOTE="Zack80, post: 5063542, member: 1245"] If Maryland wins the Big Ten tmt by beating PSU and JHU, it will give it 4 top 10 wins with 2 in the top 5. If Notre Dame then wins the ACC tmt., the most likely result, then you have to consider, who wins in the Syracuse-Duke game. If Syracuse wins they will have 4 top 10 wins with 3 top 5, this beats UMd, but UMd has 3 11-20 wins including #13 Princeton, while Syracuse has no 11-20 wins - this seems like a 50-50 decision for the committee to me. If Duke wins, they will only have 3 top 10 wins, so UMd would be the choice. Further, if UVa wins the ACC tmt, they will only have 3 top 10 wins, so they would probably not get the #2 seed, and you have essentially the somewhat the same situation with Syracuse and Duke, except that UVa would move up to perhaps a top 5 RPI, which might favor Syracuse over UMD for the #2 seed. If Syracuse or Duke wins the ACC tmt, then they will most likely be the #2 seed. All of this probably leads to a likelihood of about 1 in 30 for UMd to get the #2 seed. If Hopkins wins the Big Ten tmt, they will have 4 top 10 wins, but no top 5 wins. Hopkins also has a bad loss to Navy. So I think their chances are low of being the #2 seed. Perhaps their best hope would be if Georetown wins and moves into the top 10, giving them a 5th top 10 victory. At around 1 in 30, it would be a surprise that UMd was the #2 seed. You might want to take this advice yourself with respect to Hopkins. Maryland won the NCAA title 2 years ago, and I feel like I still have money on the table from that. I have already assessed that this is a bit of an off year for the Terps - although I hope they can go far. [/QUOTE]
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