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Message: [QUOTE="fieldystick, post: 5064226, member: 8152"] [B]On the topic of Hopkins and Syracuse[/B]: Last week we had for 2nd-4th seed: T5/T10/T20, RPI/SOS, *note Duke: 1/2/5, 1st/6th Hopkins: 0/3/7, 3rd/4th, *1 bad loss Syracuse: 2/3/4, 5th/2nd And I came out of this with 2) Syracuse, 3) Duke, 4) Hopkins Now we have for 2nd/3rd seed: T5/T10/T20, RPI/SOS, *note Hopkins: 0/3/8, 2nd/3rd, *1 bad loss Syracuse: 2/3/3, 4th/5th Hopkins just has too much in my opinion. Syracuse has the better wins and the head-to-head but is once again looking really thin overall. Losing Colgate in the top 20 and gaining Towson was what swung me here. This debate between these two actually went all the way to the final game result on Saturday which moved OSU back into the RPI T20 at the expense of UNC. That was when I finally decided it was just too overwhelming in favor of Hopkins for the head-to-head result to matter. - Other than the 2/3 stuff, I think the top 5 seeds are all very straightforward and are essentially locked as some kind of seeds in the end. - [B]On the topic of the last few seeds[/B]: 6-8 is the part of the bracket that I think is most up for debate right now. Maryland and Cornell have had basically identical wins and losses for a month now and are functioning as a pair. Maryland has better RPI/SOS and has consistently been ahead of Cornell because of this, but they are moving in lock step. The comp that matters here is Virginia/Cornell. If Virginia evals ahead of Cornell, they also have to be ahead of Cornell's twin (Maryland)... because 1) they look nearly identical to Cornell and 2) to what very small extent Maryland does look better than Cornell, that is surely overridden by Virginia having head-to-head over Maryland but not Cornell. So last week, the relevant comp here was: T5/T10/T20, RPI/SOS Cornell: 1/2/5, 8th/5th Virginia: 0/1/4, 6th/7th And now it's: T5/T10/T20, RPI/SOS Cornell: 1/2/5, 9th/6th Virginia: 0/1/5, 6th/2nd It's tight. I think this could still go either way, but Towson moving back into the RPI top 20 also flipped this for me. And hence also moved Virginia back ahead of Maryland. - [B]On the topic of why Syracuse got Army[/B]: The natural seeding of this bracket 9-16 goes: 9) PSU, 10) Yale, 11) Georgetown, 12) Army, 13) Towson, 14) St. Joe's, 15) Utah, 16) Play-in So it should be Army @ #5. #5 is Denver and has to draw Utah right now to avoid 3 flights. So what about Army @ #4 Duke? Flight. Army @ #3 seems rough, but it's the only thing I can do to avoid 3 flights right now - except send them to #2, which is even more crazy seeming. [/QUOTE]

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