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[QUOTE="fieldystick, post: 5064281, member: 8152"]
This is the messiest final scenario by far. It will likely be the non-AQ Ivy League teams + non-AQ Georgetown for 2 spots. If Georgetown wins the BET, it becomes the non-AQ Ivies for 1 spot.

It's boring to say, but I think we have to wait for the final numbers to call it with any degree of certainty. I would lean Cornell is probably in still, but hard to say 100% right now. And if there's another spot to split between Yale/(Princeton/Penn loser)/Georgetown... will depend on the numbers.

Princeton is in a weird situation where their absolutely ideal non-AQ scenario for them is that Yale finishes 10th in RPI and Princeton 11th. I think that end result is better for them than Princeton 10th, Yale 11th. Princeton would have no top 10 wins with Princeton 10th, Yale 11th, and it would make them very vulnerable to either of the other likely bubble teams.

The only true potential bid steal/bubble shrinkage from this year comes from Providence/Villanova winning the Big East.

The ones that most would point to elsewhere: Princeton or Michigan... I actually think they'd be in the field anyway even without the AQ. What I mean by that: if the NCAA stripped the Big Ten or Ivy League AQs, the wins that Princeton/Michigan earned along the way to winning their now non-AQ conference championships would put them in as at-larges. I think this was the case for Michigan last year too.
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