Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 5242342, member: 1969"] Rollins was 14% last year (his 3rd on the ballot). Too far back to ever get close. I think your probably right on Beltran. Beltran went from 48% in year 1, to 57% in year 2. My guess is that by year 5/year 6 on the ballot he gets in. Wagner will be fine - at 73.8% going into year 10, there will be enough people that relent. I'm one of those guys that would be picky on first year candidates if I had a vote. I just like the distinction it provides -- although I can see why some think this is silly. Sabathia is a borderline first year for me, but after that I would put him in,for sure, [/QUOTE]