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[QUOTE="AcAndAc, post: 5317307, member: 10310"]
Not sure a rational fan--whatever that is--set the over/under at 6.5.  If being rational, I think 5.5 is the optimistic over/under.  To get to 6, absent an upset, we have to sweep Colgate, UConn, Duke (with new $$$), UNC (with mega new $$$$$), BC (beat us in 2024 with McCord), Pitt (beat us badly in 2024 with McCord)... just to get to a bowl.  While we certainly CAN get an upset, we certainly can BE UPSET also.  See Stanford 2024.  So that just offsets.

The sad thing is that if we go 13-0, we will make the playoffs out of the ACC.  If we go 12-1, we will probably make the playoffs out of the ACC.  Either we win the ACC CG at 11-1 or be a 12-0 team losing the championship game.

SMU did at 11-2... barely.  Miami went 10-2 and did not.  Of course, SMU may have ruined that for the ACC for the foreseeable future.  At the very least, 10-2 Syracuse is very very unlikely to make the playoffs unless we win the ACC CG.  Avoiding losses is more important than getting wins, if that makes sense.  9-3 Alabama did not make the playoffs.  9-3 ACC teams that do not win the CCG are NOT making the playoffs.

None of the above really comes down to who we beat.  Alabama beat Georgia.  So what?  They lost 3 games.  Not sure the logic for scheduling tough while in the ACC.  If the ACC disbands or the playoff rules change, then maybe schedule will be important.  Today, it is not.

So... I think we should have worked really hard to try to diplomatically get that ND trip sent over to Stanford.  They have 11 games.  They are at Hawaii... so I think they could even get 13 games if they wanted.  But they at least have room for ND.  We need another winnable home game.
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