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[QUOTE="donniesyracuse, post: 5394032, member: 101"]
More data from Perplexity AI with citations.

[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.perplexity.ai/search/in-the-mlb-postseason-how-ofte-c8vC9s5GS_Or.7PE.nIYJg#0[/URL]

[I][B]Historical Winning Percentages for Teams with Home Run Advantage[/B]
The correlation between outhomering opponents and winning playoff games has been consistently strong throughout baseball history. When looking at comprehensive data from the divisional era (beginning in 1969):
    •    From 1969-2020, teams that hit more home runs than their opponents in a postseason game won at a .780 clip
    •    In more recent history (2010-2020), the winning percentage remained remarkably stable at .775
    •    The trend has actually intensified in the most recent postseasons:
    •    In 2021, teams outhomering their opponents went an incredible 25-2 (.926 winning percentage)
    •    In 2023, through the Championship Series, teams with more homers went 21-4 (.840 winning percentage)
These postseason winning percentages consistently exceed the already impressive regular season rates, where teams hitting more homers win approximately 73-75% of games historically.

[B]The 2023 Postseason Case Study[/B]
The 2023 playoffs provide the most recent comprehensive example of this phenomenon, with remarkable consistency across different rounds:

[B]League Championship Series[/B]
    •    NLCS (Diamondbacks vs. Phillies): Team with more home runs went 4-1
    •    ALCS (Rangers vs. Astros): Team with more home runs went 3-2

[B]Division Series[/B]
    •    NLDS (Phillies vs. Braves): Team with more home runs went 4-0
    •    NLDS (Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers): Team with more home runs went 2-0
    •    ALDS (Astros vs. Twins): Team with more home runs went 2-0
    •    ALDS (Rangers vs. Orioles): Team with more home runs went 1-1
In the 2023 Divisional Round alone, teams outhomering their opponents posted an overwhelming 9-1 record.[/I]
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