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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4091382, member: 1969"]
I don't think we need to go 16-5 to make the tournament.

This is a discussion we have often had at this time of year when we struggle to various degrees in OOC and people tend to consistently overshoot what we need to do to get in the tournament at this time of the year.   I can probably pull out similar discussions almost every year on this where I said we don't need to reach such a high target.

I think we need to go 14-7 to get on the bubble line (although not full confidence on that), and 15-6 to clear it.  ****   And that does consider the fact that the ACC is really stinky.   And after the ACC likely goes 3-7 this weekend it becomes a little harder (i.e. little less confident about that 14-7 figure then before this weekend)

**** Note I am not making any conclusions on our ability to get to 14-7 or 15-6, just on what record we need to get in.

Whether its 14-7, 15-6, 16-5, my confidence level of achieving that record is low.

Will pull some Barttorvik NET projection / resume charts later to try to support my position.
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