538.com NCAA interactive predictions model

[Alsacs]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-march-madness-predictions/

We have a 72% chance to beat Middle Tennessee State tomorrow.

Gonzaga-Utah is a pick'em with Utah a 52% favorite. Virginia-Butler is a 79% favorite for UVA.
Our bracket could go major bracketbuster this year,

We have a 9% chance to make the Final Four.

Not bad for our metrics.

 

[CorduroyG]

Based on my own gut metrics i give us an 80% chance to win tomorrow.

 

[Orange2389]

my beer told me that SU has a 76% chance of advancing to the sweet sixteen. take it for what its worth

 

[CaptainJ]

To channel my Beavis and Butthead prediction model, "My butt tells me we have a better chance of winning than Beavith does of scoring, huh huh".

 

[CaptainJ]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-march-madness-predictions/

We have a 72% chance to beat Middle Tennessee State tomorrow.

Gonzaga-Utah is a pick'em with Utah a 52% favorite. Virginia-Butler is a 79% favorite for UVA.
Our bracket could go major bracketbuster this year,

We have a 9% chance to make the Final Four.

Not bad for our metrics.

I'm not ultra familiar with 538. Has anyone measured it's accuracy, if there is such a way to do so?