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Message: [QUOTE="SoBeCuse, post: 2047171, member: 796"] Optimistic take: FSU is an absolute must. With the assumption of rational coaching we have a decent chance there with Hamilton being the coach over there. Going with a W. No chance in hell we are beating Louisville and Virginia with our backcourt. Virginia, Perrantes, Shayok, and co. are going to have a little extra something for us and it won't be pretty. Another blowout, possibly three there with UL on the resume. Big talent gap IMO between SU and NC St in their favor but they are so up and down and it is a home game. They are talented but those Cat Barber/TJ Warren teams are much better. W. Clemson we squeak one out. Hopefully the team learns from the tough UVA defense and it prepares them for Clemson's. First road win! Pitt has folded it seems. We sweep them. W Duke is down but it is still Duke. They have multiple shooters and Jefferson is healthy now. Roberson needs to match him. It took everything we had last year and Jefferson was out. Hopefully our perimeter D plays inspired on ball. A very cautious W. GTech I think we split and win the H meeting. They are much improved under Pastner. He has underacheived big time but his infusion of energy to their program is probably just what they need compared to Gregory. I have us 11-7 at best. I think a deep run into the ACC Tourney must happen to get in. Maybe to the title game. Whole resume will be scrutinized. There still was NOTHING done in the OOC part of the schedule. I have a feeling that our computer numbers are better than the actual product on the floor so I think that could benefit us. Our KenPom numbers aren't that bad right now. They sort of defy logic right now, IMO. But, committee members attend games around the country as well. The team often looks lifeless, like they don't know what the hell they are doing, and they have quit in certain games. Hopefully they haven't witnessed too many of those in person. I have a feeling both Pitt AND Miami will be NIT teams when it all plays out. There will be MANY blowout losses on our resume. That matters. There already is and I am pretty certain barring some miracle that the two to UL and one UVA will be really ugly. For these reasons I think we still would need to go on a pretty big run in the ACC Tourney. No idea how many but one or two ain't gonna cut it. Whole body of work needs to be considered. It can be done! [/QUOTE]

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