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[QUOTE="orangenirvana, post: 2098202, member: 156"]
I averaged the four main computer rankings (Sagarin, KenPom, BPI, RPI) for what I consider to be the top 32 bubble teams and ranked them.

If you don't see a team then it's likely because I consider them stone-cold locks (Wichita State, Creighton, Minnesota, etc.).

1. Xavier - 33.0        
2. Wake Forest - 37.75         
3. VCU - 39.0 
4. Arkansas - 40.5       
5. Marquette - 41.5     
6. Northwestern - 41.75   
7. Clemson - 42.25        
8. Virginia Tech - 42.75       
9. Houston - 43.0        
10. Michigan State - 43.75  
11. Middle Tennessee - 47.0
12. California - 47.0      
13. Illinois State - 47.25   
14. Vanderbilt - 47.75         
15. Rhode Island - 47.75    
16. Kansas State - 47.75    
17. TCU - 49.0      
18. Syracuse - 50.5
19. Indiana - 51.0
20. Texas Tech - 52.25
21. Seton Hall - 54.0     
22. Providence - 55.5    
23. Georgia - 55.5      
24. USC - 57.75    
25. Ohio State - 60.5
26. Illinois - 61.0
27. Tennessee - 61.5  
28. Georgetown - 66.75
29. BYU - 69.0    
30. Pittsburgh - 70.5
31. Iowa - 77.5   
32. Georgia Tech - 83.25

By comparison, here is what the Top 30 bubble teams looked like going into Selection Sunday last year. Tourney teams are in bold.

[B]1. Wichita State - 27.0 (11 seed - Play-in game)
2. Texas - 30.5 (6 seed)[/B]
[I]3. Saint Mary's - 33.25[/I]
[B]4. *Connecticut - 33.75 (9 seed)
5. Vanderbilt - 34.5 (11 seed - Play-in game)
6. Cincinnati - 34.5 (9 seed)
7. VCU - 35.5 (10 seed)
8. Dayton - 39.0 (7 seed)
9. Butler - 40.0 (9 seed)[/B]
[I]10. Florida - 42.25[/I]
[B]11. Texas Tech - 42.5 (8 seed)
12. *Saint Joseph's - 42.5 (8 seed)
13. Pittsburgh - 43.25 (10 seed)
14. Providence - 43.75 (9 seed)[/B]
[I]15. Valparaiso - 44.0[/I]
[B]16. Colorado - 45.75 (8 seed)
17. USC - 46.5 (8 seed)
18. Syracuse - 47.5 (10 seed)
19. Michigan - 49.0 (11 seed - Play-in game)[/B]
[I]20. South Carolina - 50.5[/I]
[B]21. Oregon State - 53.0 (7 seed)[/B]
[I]22. Georgia - 58.75 [/I]
[B]23. Tulsa - 61.0 (11 seed - Play-in game)[/B]
[I]24. Saint Bonaventure - 65.5
25. Ohio State - 66.25
26. Houston - 67.5
27. George Washington - 67.5
28. Monmouth - 71.75[/I]
[B]29. Temple - 73.0 (10 seed)[/B]
[I]30. Alabama - 84.0[/I]

*Automatic Bid

Saint Mary's last season shows that high rankings aren't an at-large guarantee. Could Xavier - with a comparable rank average - be in trouble?

Florida - a high-major program - was also left out last year despite a good ranking average. Only two Top 50 wins would explain that. Teams this season with a ranking average of 50.0 or better with two or less Top 50 wins: Wake Forest (1), VCU (2), Houston (2), Middle Tennessee (2), California (1), Illinois State (1), Rhode Island (2), and TCU (2).
[/QUOTE]

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