So, like all here, I'm still trying to process exactly what has gone on this season and what happened to turn this thing around. I mean the broad story is most likely the series of moves that put White at the 3, Lydon at the 5, sticking with Gillon at PG and sliding battle in at the 2. But I felt like posting a few more subtle observations from this current five-game run and a few thoughts as we go forward.
White is on a pretty ridiculous run
A lot has been made of the five-game 20+ streak from AW3, but what I actually find the most interesting in many ways is how well he has played since the start of ACC play. Consider this:
Pre-conference (13 games): 14.7 ppg, .407 FG (61/150), .377 (3-pt)
Conference (12 games): 20.4 ppg 46% FG (81/178), 43% (3-pt)
That is pretty crazy. Now some of that is due to playing a few less minutes against some bad teams, but White was at 30 minutes in most of our games and even his shooting percentages have spiked. What's more, the North Florida game was the only game when he reached 20 pts in the pre-conference slate (though he was at 19 twice). In conference play he has the last five games but also put up 20+ against BC/Miami/Pitt to start conference play.
I can't really remember anyone outside of Melo and maybe Wallace not only maintaining but actually improving their numbers AND putting up 20+ ppg in conference play since the mid-90s. His numbers and his play have been really impressive.
White isn't alone in terms of impressive offense
I don't think this is our best team since 09-10 (at least not yet) but it's easily our most dangerous team in the past several seasons and maybe even dating back to 09-10. This team has eclipsed 70 points in 9 of 12 conference games and been at 99+ four times on the season (that's pretty rare as far as my memory goes). Individually, in addition to White's streak, we've seen Gillon put up 43 on 13 shots, score the last 13 points of the FSU win; Lydon who has a 29 point game and is shooting 50/42/82 on the year; Battle who has been decent generally but had a huge effort vs. UVA at a big time, putting up a crucial 23; and Thompson put up 12 in six minutes on Tuesday -- something we haven't had many big men capable of doing in a long time. Really intriguing mix of offensive talent.
More on Thompson
So I mentioned his game vs. Clemson, but Thompson has scored 216 points this season (25 games, 419 minutes). To put that in perspective, Fab's breakout sophomore season saw him score 234 points in 30 games and 763 minutes. For his career he had 311 points. So Thompson should easily eclipse that number by Fab (who was, by most accounts a decent offensive threat at C) and, if he can play enough defense to get himself some extended run (like he did last night), he could make a run at 300 or so by the end of the season. The kid has some warts but he can score some points.
Frank drives everyone nuts, but ...
So Howard has had a remarkably disappointing season but, IMO, if we have any shot to get away with playing him just get a breather here and there for Battle/Gillon is really important -- even more so as we approach the conference tourney and NCAA tourney. Can we squeeze 6-8 mins of decent basketball out of Frank each night? I don't know -- focus seems to be a major issue right now -- but I thought he was OK vs. Clemson and certainly better than the previous few games. We'll see.
Defensive lapses are still hurting this group
As bad as NC State was, I was hopeful going into Clemson that we had turned a bit of a corner defensively -- something like going from pretty bad to passable thanks to pretty solid performances vs. UVA and FSU. But then Clemson put up 81 on 54% shooting and 40+% from 3. Ouch. One thing I'd love to see them iron out -- even if our hopes of seeing really good defense are slim to none -- are the lapses that lead to wide open 3s with no one even attempting to close out. It didn't happen much against Clemson but we've had similar issues on the backline with teams overloading and no one calling it out. Would love to see those fairly simple things improve at some point.
Post touches
Really liked how often Lydon/Roberson/Thompson got the ball down low and were able to make something good happen. I love seeing Lydon around 12 shots (like he was in that game) and if Thompson's on the floor, he's worth getting involved as well. Roberson did a nice job catching and finishing.
A thought on the lure of the NBA
Was watching the fourth quarter of the OKC/Cleveland game last night. Grant got some good run for OKC which is great to see him in the crunch time rotation (at least for a night). I'm happy for him. But, at the same time, it was really interesting. He played the last 10 minutes. He got zero offensive touches. Not only that, they had him stand in the corner and essentially draw one man away from the other four Thunder players who were participating in the offense. For the game, he had two shots -- one of which came from his own offensive rebound.
So what's my point in saying this? To me, one of the misleading things about the NBA is that you develop more because you play basketball all the time (instead of going to the couple of classes these guys actually attend each week, I suppose) and against the best competition, etc. But, if you really look at it, most of the NBA's top players came in as polished players ready to score double-figures from the jump. Of the top 20 scorers in the league, 13 scored in double-figures their first season. One player was foreign (the Greek kid) and they fit into a little different category and he was in double-figures by his second year.
The remaining six are Kawhi Leonard (1st -- 15th), Lowry (1st rd -- 24th) , Paul George (1st -10th), C.J. McCollum (1st -- 10th), Jimmy Butler (1st -- 30th), and DeRozan (1st -- 9th). Of those, Butler and McCollum played four years in college while Leonard and George each had two productive years, DeRozan had one and Lowry had two solid years at Nova.
Anyway, point is of the best scorers (and arguably best players in the league) really only one of these guys 'developed' over the course of a few years in the NBA and that is Lowry. Everyone else either walked into the league scoring double-figures or got there by their second year. Or, in the case of Butler, it potentially took a little time but that was after four years of college ball.
So, to me, kids can leave whenever they want -- I'm not going to hold a grudge. But it's important to remember the NBA isn't really going to wait for you. If you want to use your athleticism to put together a career as a hustle/defense guy like Grant appears to be doing? Fine. If you want to collect a paycheck early and let the chips fall where they may? Fine. If you want to hope you can hang around the league for long enough to figure it out (like Lowry)? Fine. But if you really want to go to the league and become one of it's better players, the key is waiting to enter the league until you're ready to do that. It's worth noting when looking at a lot of our early entries (Fab/McCullough/Grant/Mali) that undoubtedly had a lot of development remaining. Hope they get there (the players still playing) but I'd say the odds are stacked significantly against it. Food for thought.
White is on a pretty ridiculous run
A lot has been made of the five-game 20+ streak from AW3, but what I actually find the most interesting in many ways is how well he has played since the start of ACC play. Consider this:
Pre-conference (13 games): 14.7 ppg, .407 FG (61/150), .377 (3-pt)
Conference (12 games): 20.4 ppg 46% FG (81/178), 43% (3-pt)
That is pretty crazy. Now some of that is due to playing a few less minutes against some bad teams, but White was at 30 minutes in most of our games and even his shooting percentages have spiked. What's more, the North Florida game was the only game when he reached 20 pts in the pre-conference slate (though he was at 19 twice). In conference play he has the last five games but also put up 20+ against BC/Miami/Pitt to start conference play.
I can't really remember anyone outside of Melo and maybe Wallace not only maintaining but actually improving their numbers AND putting up 20+ ppg in conference play since the mid-90s. His numbers and his play have been really impressive.
White isn't alone in terms of impressive offense
I don't think this is our best team since 09-10 (at least not yet) but it's easily our most dangerous team in the past several seasons and maybe even dating back to 09-10. This team has eclipsed 70 points in 9 of 12 conference games and been at 99+ four times on the season (that's pretty rare as far as my memory goes). Individually, in addition to White's streak, we've seen Gillon put up 43 on 13 shots, score the last 13 points of the FSU win; Lydon who has a 29 point game and is shooting 50/42/82 on the year; Battle who has been decent generally but had a huge effort vs. UVA at a big time, putting up a crucial 23; and Thompson put up 12 in six minutes on Tuesday -- something we haven't had many big men capable of doing in a long time. Really intriguing mix of offensive talent.
More on Thompson
So I mentioned his game vs. Clemson, but Thompson has scored 216 points this season (25 games, 419 minutes). To put that in perspective, Fab's breakout sophomore season saw him score 234 points in 30 games and 763 minutes. For his career he had 311 points. So Thompson should easily eclipse that number by Fab (who was, by most accounts a decent offensive threat at C) and, if he can play enough defense to get himself some extended run (like he did last night), he could make a run at 300 or so by the end of the season. The kid has some warts but he can score some points.
Frank drives everyone nuts, but ...
So Howard has had a remarkably disappointing season but, IMO, if we have any shot to get away with playing him just get a breather here and there for Battle/Gillon is really important -- even more so as we approach the conference tourney and NCAA tourney. Can we squeeze 6-8 mins of decent basketball out of Frank each night? I don't know -- focus seems to be a major issue right now -- but I thought he was OK vs. Clemson and certainly better than the previous few games. We'll see.
Defensive lapses are still hurting this group
As bad as NC State was, I was hopeful going into Clemson that we had turned a bit of a corner defensively -- something like going from pretty bad to passable thanks to pretty solid performances vs. UVA and FSU. But then Clemson put up 81 on 54% shooting and 40+% from 3. Ouch. One thing I'd love to see them iron out -- even if our hopes of seeing really good defense are slim to none -- are the lapses that lead to wide open 3s with no one even attempting to close out. It didn't happen much against Clemson but we've had similar issues on the backline with teams overloading and no one calling it out. Would love to see those fairly simple things improve at some point.
Post touches
Really liked how often Lydon/Roberson/Thompson got the ball down low and were able to make something good happen. I love seeing Lydon around 12 shots (like he was in that game) and if Thompson's on the floor, he's worth getting involved as well. Roberson did a nice job catching and finishing.
A thought on the lure of the NBA
Was watching the fourth quarter of the OKC/Cleveland game last night. Grant got some good run for OKC which is great to see him in the crunch time rotation (at least for a night). I'm happy for him. But, at the same time, it was really interesting. He played the last 10 minutes. He got zero offensive touches. Not only that, they had him stand in the corner and essentially draw one man away from the other four Thunder players who were participating in the offense. For the game, he had two shots -- one of which came from his own offensive rebound.
So what's my point in saying this? To me, one of the misleading things about the NBA is that you develop more because you play basketball all the time (instead of going to the couple of classes these guys actually attend each week, I suppose) and against the best competition, etc. But, if you really look at it, most of the NBA's top players came in as polished players ready to score double-figures from the jump. Of the top 20 scorers in the league, 13 scored in double-figures their first season. One player was foreign (the Greek kid) and they fit into a little different category and he was in double-figures by his second year.
The remaining six are Kawhi Leonard (1st -- 15th), Lowry (1st rd -- 24th) , Paul George (1st -10th), C.J. McCollum (1st -- 10th), Jimmy Butler (1st -- 30th), and DeRozan (1st -- 9th). Of those, Butler and McCollum played four years in college while Leonard and George each had two productive years, DeRozan had one and Lowry had two solid years at Nova.
Anyway, point is of the best scorers (and arguably best players in the league) really only one of these guys 'developed' over the course of a few years in the NBA and that is Lowry. Everyone else either walked into the league scoring double-figures or got there by their second year. Or, in the case of Butler, it potentially took a little time but that was after four years of college ball.
So, to me, kids can leave whenever they want -- I'm not going to hold a grudge. But it's important to remember the NBA isn't really going to wait for you. If you want to use your athleticism to put together a career as a hustle/defense guy like Grant appears to be doing? Fine. If you want to collect a paycheck early and let the chips fall where they may? Fine. If you want to hope you can hang around the league for long enough to figure it out (like Lowry)? Fine. But if you really want to go to the league and become one of it's better players, the key is waiting to enter the league until you're ready to do that. It's worth noting when looking at a lot of our early entries (Fab/McCullough/Grant/Mali) that undoubtedly had a lot of development remaining. Hope they get there (the players still playing) but I'd say the odds are stacked significantly against it. Food for thought.