Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="Cusefannotindc, post: 1345784, member: 1567"] I don't have 2015 data fully collected, but for the 2014 team, the splits of offensive vs defensive rebounds were almost identical for 2 point jumpers and 3 point shots. 40% offensive to 60% defensive. Assuming whichever team gets the rebound has an expected 1 point per possession, with this years teams 2pt Jumper % (34.5%) and 3pt % (30%), even factoring in more rebounds given up, a 3 point shot would have expected net points (expected SU points minus expected opponents points) of .76 while the 2pt jumper would have an expected net points of .58. The point isn't that KJ should be taking 3s instead of long 2s, it's that he shouldn't be taking either. The team as a whole should be working to take shots with the highest expected return. [/QUOTE]